What is the best way to select a model for your data? (2024)

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Data exploration

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Model specification

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Model estimation

When you have some data and want to analyze it, you need to choose a model that can represent the patterns and relationships in your data. But how do you know which model is the best for your data? There is no simple answer to this question, but there are some steps and criteria that can help you make an informed decision. In this article, you will learn about the basic concepts and methods of model selection and validation in statistics.

Key takeaways from this article

  • Cross-validation strategy:

    By using cross-validation, you can test your model's performance on different subsets of your data. This helps ensure that the model is reliable and will work well with new, unseen data.

  • Iterative evaluation:

    Don't settle for the first good result. If a model performs well with default settings, it might still improve—or not—with fine-tuning. Reassess with different hyperparameters to find the best fit for your data.

This summary is powered by AI and these experts

  • Praveen Kumar M Head of Clinical Sciences, Nference;…
  • Asif Shah Analyst | Banker | Cabin Crew | Team…

1 Data exploration

The first step in selecting a model is to explore your data. This means looking at the distribution, shape, outliers, and correlations of your variables. You can use descriptive statistics, such as mean, median, standard deviation, and range, to summarize your data. You can also use graphical methods, such as histograms, boxplots, scatterplots, and heatmaps, to visualize your data. Data exploration can help you identify the type, scale, and structure of your data, as well as potential problems, such as missing values, errors, or anomalies.

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  • Asif Shah Analyst | Banker | Cabin Crew | Team Player | Out-of-the-box Thinker
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    The best way to select a model for your data is through a combination of cross-validation, considering model complexity, and assessing performance metrics on a held-out validation set.

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (11) 1

  • Abhishek Soni Data scientist @ Amazon || Data Science Educator || Ex-Cipla || Ex-Verizon
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    Start by examining the distribution, shape, outliers and correlations using descriptive statistics and visualizations like histograms, heatmaps etc. This will give you your data's characteristics like type, scale, structure, and missing values or anomalies. After it is done, you can choose a model that aligns with your data's properties.For eg, if your data shows a linear relationship between variables with minimal outliers, a linear regression model might be suitable. On the other hand, if the relationships are more complex and nonlinear, you might consider using decision trees, support vector machines, or neural networks. Additionally, if your data has distinct clusters, a clustering algorithm like k-means could be appropriate.

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (20) 4

  • Castro G. HOUNMENOU PhD in Statistic and Probability | Expert in Data Analysis, Big data, Machine learning, Database creation and management
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    Selecting the best model for your data involves a systematic approach and consideration of various factors. Here’s a step-by-step guide:Understand the Problem, Data Exploration, Split Data, Select Model Families, Initial Model Selection,Evaluate Performance, Compare Models, Hyperparameter Tuning, Cross-Validation, Regularization and Feature Selection, Final Evaluation and Consider Practical AspectsRemember, there’s no one-size-fits-all approach. The best model choice often involves a balance between model performance, interpretability, computational cost, and practical constraints specific to your problem and dataset. Experimentation and iteration are key to finding the most suitable model for your data.

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (29) 4

  • Keturah Faurot PA, PhD Associate Professor, Dept. Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
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    If you mean a statistical model: your model depends on your research question. The model follows the question. Then the model follows the form of the data and the other data exploration considerations brought up earlier.

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (38) 3

  • Fégens SAINT-LOUIS MD, Epidémiologiste, PhD Researcher
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    The first step is to know your data. What are their significance. What are their limitations and what types of variables are they.

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (47) 2

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2 Model specification

The second step in selecting a model is to specify a model that can fit your data. This means choosing a model family, such as linear, logistic, or polynomial regression, and a set of explanatory variables, or predictors, that can explain the variation in your response variable, or outcome. You can use your domain knowledge, research questions, and data exploration results to guide your model specification. You can also use automated methods, such as stepwise selection or regularization, to select the most relevant predictors for your model.

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    Choosing the model based on pattern, linearity, exploratory analysis, or evidence is computerized. The haziest part is being 'subjective' (partially) rather than being 'objective', and sometimes that helps. Models are based on assumptions (beliefs, opinions, conjectures) and we never know what part of it is not the true one. Even the best-specified model can be the misspecified one. Domain knowledge, literature review, underlying assumptions, and data-driven exploration -all together with a hint of the objective/outcome of the research goal, help to specify the model. Again, the simplest model (lex parsimoniae) can be the best model, if it can distinguish the signal from the noise adequately. We may not always need the best model!

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (56) 3

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    Basis your domain knowledge and data type of the dependent variable ( need to identify this during EDA) we will identify model to be applied The next step is to identify relevant and most consequential predictor variables for the modelSometime we can decide to use a neural network - here then we need to identify the pre built model for transfer learning and the initial weights of the model

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    Selecting the best model for your data involves a systematic approach. Begin by understanding the nature of your data and the problem you aim to solve, as this informs the type of task (e.g., classification, regression) and potential model choices. Evaluate different algorithms and models, considering their strengths, weaknesses, and suitability for your specific dataset. Utilize techniques like cross-validation to assess model performance robustly, and fine-tune hyperparameters to optimize results. Continuous monitoring and adaptation of the chosen model over time, especially as data evolves, contribute to maintaining model effectiveness.

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    Model specification is an iterative process that involves refining the model based on the evaluation results and domain considerations. The goal is to identify a model that effectively captures the data's patterns and relationships while maintaining interpretability and generalization performance.It plays a pivotal role in ensuring that the model accurately captures the underlying patterns and relationships in the data, leading to reliablepredictions and decision-making.

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3 Model estimation

The third step in selecting a model is to estimate the model parameters, or coefficients, that can best describe the relationship between your variables. This means using a mathematical or computational method, such as ordinary least squares, maximum likelihood, or gradient descent, to find the values of the parameters that minimize the error or maximize the likelihood of your model. You can use software tools, such as R, Python, or Excel, to perform model estimation. You can also use

tags to show some code examples of how to estimate a model.###### Model evaluationThe fourth step in selecting a model is to evaluate the model performance, or goodness-of-fit, on your data. This means using some metrics, such as R-squared, root mean squared error, or accuracy, to measure how well your model captures the patterns and relationships in your data. You can also use some tests, such as F-test, t-test, or chi-square test, to assess the significance and confidence of your model parameters. You can use software tools, such as R, Python, or Excel, to perform model evaluation. You can also use <code> tags to show some code examples of how to evaluate a model.###### Model comparisonThe fifth step in selecting a model is to compare the model performance with other models that can fit your data. This means using some criteria, such as Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, or cross-validation, to rank and select the best model among a set of candidate models. You can use software tools, such as R, Python, or Excel, to perform model comparison. You can also use <code> tags to show some code examples of how to compare models.###### Model validationThe sixth step in selecting a model is to validate the model performance on new data that was not used for model estimation. This means using some methods, such as train-test split, k-fold cross-validation, or bootstrapping, to divide your data into training and testing sets, and then applying your model to the testing set to see how well it generalizes to new data. You can use software tools, such as R, Python, or Excel, to perform model validation. You can also use <code> tags to show some code examples of how to validate a model.######Here’s what else to considerThis is a space to share examples, stories, or insights that don’t fit into any of the previous sections. What else would you like to add? 
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  • Praveen Kumar M Head of Clinical Sciences, Nference; Ethirneechal
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    While selecting model, we can select set of best-performing model without doing hyper-parameter tuning. Then within this selected set of model, we can do hyper-parameter tuning to evaluate their performance on the data. The best performing model is then selected for even great robust evaluation on the unseen data (validation or test data). It is important to remember that a model that may perform well with default setting may not perform well with hyperparameter tuning. So it is important to be vigilant and undertake a cyclical or iterative process if required to select the best performing model out of all the models evaluated for the given dataset. This is resource intenstive both in terms of time and cost. But definitely robust.

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (89) 3

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    Performing a good model estimation involves several important steps, ensuring your model accurately reflects the underlying patterns and relationships in your data. . Data preparation:. Choose appropriate model(s). Train and split your data. Model training and hyperparameter tuning. Model evaluation. Address potential issues. Model interpretation and explanation. Model deployment and monitoring. Re-train or fine-tune your model as needed to maintain its accuracy and effectiveness.

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (98) 2

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    Model estimation is the process of finding values for the model's parameters that best fit the observed data. It involves minimizing a loss function, which measures the difference between the model's predictions and the actual values of the target variable.Main Types of Model Estimation:. Ordinary Least Squares. Maximum Likelihood Estimation . Generalized Least Squares . Bayesian Estimation

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    What is the best way to select a model for your data? (107) 1

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    Now we will apply the model and optimise the model. The idea here is that the modelMust have low error and bias. The first must be good and yet not an overfit

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What is the best way to select a model for your data? (2024)
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