The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says (2024)

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The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says (1) The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says (2)
  • The S&P 500 just flashed a bullish signal that suggests a 19% gain by August 2025, according to Bank of America.
  • The bank highlighted the stock market's 12 consecutive months of positive year-over-year gains.
  • The signal suggests that equities still have a bullish backdrop despite weakness in April.

The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says (3)

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The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says (5)

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A bullish signal just flashed in the stock market, and it suggests that the S&P 500 could surge another 19% to 6,000 by August 2025, according to Bank of America.

In a note on Tuesday, Bank of America technical analyst Stephen Suttmeier highlighted that the S&P 500 posted 12 consecutive months of positive year-over-year gains.

In other words, from March 2023 to March 2024, the S&P 500 had a positive year-over-year return each month. That bullish signal is the exact opposite to what happened in the prior year, when the S&P 500 delivered 12 consecutive months with negative year-over-year gains, from April 2022 through March 2023.

"April 2023 broke this bearish streak with a positive YoY return. We viewed this as a bullish backdrop signal for US equities, and the SPX has rallied over 20% since then," Suttmeier said.

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The positive signal that just flashed is a reminder to investors that despite the stock market's weakness in April, with the S&P 500 down about 4%, the long-term trend in stocks is still up. And that suggests there could be further gains ahead.

"Don't lose sight of the secular bull market," Suttmeier said.

According to Suttmeier, the monthly streak of positive returns can extend from the current 12 month-reading to 20 months, based on historical averages, which coincides with a 17% gain for stocks. Meanwhile, the median streak of positive returns can extend to 17 months with a gain of 14%, based on historical data.

That suggests the S&P 500 could trade to 6,000 by August 2025, and to as high as 6,150 by November 2025.

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But in the short-term, amid the ongoing weakness in stocks, Suttmeier said investors should keep an eye on potential support levels for the S&P 500 at 5,000 as well as a range from 4,600 to 4,800.

Those support levels represent a potential decline of as much as 9%, signaling that the current risk/reward profile for stocks remains attractive.

The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says (2024)

FAQs

The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says? ›

The S&P 500 just flashed a bullish signal that suggests a 19% gain by August 2025, according to Bank of America. The bank highlighted the stock market's 12 consecutive months of positive year-over-year gains. The signal suggests that equities still have a bullish backdrop despite weakness in April.

What is the stock market prediction for 2025? ›

Here's its new S&P 500 target. The rally in May has also forced one of Wall Street's most prominent bears to turn bullish and bump up his prediction of where equities will go next. Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. equity strategist, said he sees the S&P 500 climbing to 5,400 by the second quarter of 2025.

What is the stock market prediction for 2024? ›

The Big Money bulls forecast that the Dow Jones Industrial Average will end 2024 at about 41,231, 9% higher than current levels. Market optimists had a mean forecast of 5461 for the S&P 500 and 17,143 for the Nasdaq Composite —up 9% and 10%, respectively, from where the indexes were trading on May 1.

Why was Black Thursday so devastating? ›

Many investors—both institutional and individual—had borrowed or leveraged heavily to buy stocks, and the crash that began on Black Thursday wiped them out financially, leading to widespread bank failures. That, in turn, became the catalyst that sent the United States into the Great Depression of the 1930s.

Has the stock market hit bottom yet Bank of America says 6 of 10 signs point to no? ›

Bank of America says 6 of 10 signs point to no. The S&P 500's decline this year—it's down nearly 18% since January—accelerated last week after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated more “pain” was ahead.

Which stock is best for 2025? ›

Best Upcoming Multibagger Penny Stocks in 2025
  • Trident Ltd. 20,057.7. 47.46. ...
  • Yes Bank Ltd. 78,640.23. 61.19. ...
  • Exide Industries Ltd. 40,146. 45.79. ...
  • Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd. 4,587. NA. 337.80.
  • South Indian Bank. 8,049.57. 7.21. 82.55.
  • Urja Global Ltd. 1,224. 494.82. 813.04.
  • Facor Alloys Ltd. 151.16. NA. 308,42.
  • Airan Ltd. 331. 30.81. 69.99.
May 2, 2024

Is a recession coming in 2025? ›

The research of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, currently puts the probability of a U.S. recession before February 2025 at 58%, that's about as high as a forward-looking recession probability has been on this model since the 1980s.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term.

What is the stock market prediction for the next 5 years? ›

Thus, we expect growth to eventually slow to 1.4% in terms of an annual average number in 2025, before accelerating again in 2026 through 2028 on the back of eventual Fed rate cuts. Now inflation, we do expect inflation to essentially return to normal this year. Our latest forecast is 2.2% for full-year 2024.

What is the expected return of the stock market in the next 10 years? ›

Highlights: 5.2% 10-year expected nominal return for U.S. large-cap equities; 9.9% for European equities; 9.1% for emerging-markets equities; 5.0% for U.S. aggregate bonds (as of September 2023). All return assumptions are nominal (non-inflation-adjusted).

Who got rich during the Great Depression? ›

Business titans such as William Boeing and Walter Chrysler actually grew their fortunes during the Great Depression.

What stocks did well during the Great Depression? ›

The Top 10 Depression Stocks
CompanyIndustryReturn, 1932 to 1954
International Paper & PowerPaper, hydroelectric power30,501%
Spicer ManufacturingAuto parts26,221%
Bulova WatchWatches24,146%
Zenith RadioRadios, televisions24,146%
7 more rows
Mar 22, 2010

How much money was lost in the stock market crash? ›

Around $14 billion of stock value was lost, wiping out thousands of investors. The panic selling reached its peak with some stocks having no buyers at any price. The Dow lost an additional 30.57 points, or 11.73%, for a total drop of 68.90 points, or 23.05% in two days. On October 29, William C.

How high can Bank of America stock go? ›

BAC Stock 12 Month Forecast

Based on 24 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Bank of America in the last 3 months. The average price target is $39.71 with a high forecast of $46.00 and a low forecast of $33.00. The average price target represents a 0.15% change from the last price of $39.65.

What are signs that a stock will go up? ›

The price of a stock is largely determined by supply and demand. If demand is high, the price tends to go up, and if supply is high, the price tends to go down.

Are stocks going up in 2024? ›

Rising inflation and slower GDP growth have thrown a wrench in the U.S. Federal Reserve's reported plans to start cutting interest rates. Stocks are up 8.8% in 2024 through May 7, as measured by the S&P 500, but markets have cooled and the large-cap index is down 1.3% in the second quarter.

What is the path stock price forecast for 2030? ›

According to our UiPath Inc. stock prediction for 2030, PATH stock will be priced at $ 14.83 in 2030. This forecast is based on the stock's average growth over the past 10 years.

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