Housing market in the Netherlands in 2024 (2024)

Many expats buy a house in the Netherlands to improve their living comfort and save on expensive rental costs. Are you considering purchasing your own property too? Then it's wise to do some research on the housing market in the Netherlands. After years of madness and sky-high house prices, the housing market now seems to be cooling down.What’s going on exactly on the Dutch housing market of 2024 and what are the forecasts? Should you buy a home, or should you wait? Read this article for up-to-date information about the housing market and smart tips to improve your chances of buying a house.

Housing market in the Netherlands in 2024 (1)

Situation housing market Netherlands

The property market in the Netherlands seems to be picking up stream in 2024. If we take a look at the number of homes for sale are increasing and available homes are again selling quickly.We’ll explain this with Dutch housing market data ofHypotheken Data Netwerk, NVM, Kadaster, Rabobank, CBSandABN Amro.

Development house prices

Since the all-time low of the Dutch housing market in 2013, house prices rose higher and higher.Especially the last years prices weresky-high and overbidding on a house was rule rather than exception. Also, in the first half of 2022 prices rose sharply at the housing market, with 10% compared to the year before. The average selling price of a house in Q2 2022 was 448,000 euros.

Slowly rising house prices in the Netherlands

Starting in 2024, the housing market in the Netherlands experienced a notable resurgence, with house prices picking up momentum despite the previous year's challenges. In 2023, the real estate sector witnessed a slight deceleration in prices and buying activity, largely attributed to an increase in interest rates. This monetary policy adjustment aimed to curb inflation and stabilize the economy, inadvertently impacting borrowers' affordability and dampening demand for housing. However, as the market adjusted to the new interest rate environment, buyer confidence gradually restored, leading to a revival in the housing market so far in 2024. Factors such as improved economic conditions, a persistent housing shortage, and robust demand, particularly in urban areas, contributed to the recovery of house prices in 2024, signaling resilience in the Dutch housing market.

Expectation house prices Netherlands

Banks like ABNO Amro and Rabobank are projecting a cautiously optimistic outlook for the Dutch housing market, expecting house prices to continue their upward trajectory, albeit at a modest pace. This expectation stems from a combination of factors, including sustained demand for housing, limited supply, and the stabilizing effect of the previous year's interest rate adjustments. Financial institutions anticipate that the market's resilience, coupled with ongoing economic recovery and supportive housing policies, will foster a conducive environment for gradual price growth. While mindful of the potential for macroeconomic shifts and policy changes to influence market dynamics, banks remain confident in the underlying strength of the housing sector and its capacity for sustained growth, albeit at a more tempered rate than in the past.

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Interest rates flattening

The flattening rise of the interest rates was a result of strong inflation.

  • Although the Dutch economy grew strongly in 2023 and many people have jobs, unemployment has stabilized.
  • Due to the rising of mortgage interest rates in the past years, people can borrow less for their maximum mortgage in the Netherlands. Prices seem to be rising, and people are starting to bid actively once again.

Because of this, people are once again actively searching for housing in the Netherlands. Competition and prices are starting to rise again, which makes it a good period to start search for your desired house in the Netherlands.

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More houses for sale

At the same time, there are more houses for sale on the housing market in the Netherlands. Compared to previous years, the supply was 55% larger in Q2 2022. This increase in available houses is probably partly because people who bought a newly built house are more likely to put their current home up for sale earlier, because they are afraid that they won't be able to sell their house.

Sell first, then buy a new house

It's also possible that the sale strategy on the housing market in the Netherlands is changing. The last few years it was common to first buy a new house and sell your own house second. Recently sellers are more likely to sell their old house first. This puts an end to the buy-then-sell strategy. After all, as a seller you don't want to end up with two houses and double housing costs.

Housing shortage remains

The message that the housing market is cooling down is positive for potential buyers. However, there's still a housing shortage. The housing market in the Netherlands has been tight for years, with too little houses for sale and a lot of competition.

  • Few homes were built during the previous housing crisis and the construction of newly built houses has been under pressure due to the nitrogen crisis.
  • Due to economic prosperity, high rental pricesand low interest rates many people wanted to purchase a property in the Netherlands.

It will take time (and a lot of houses) before this shortage will be under control.

Overbidding and your mortgage in the Netherlands

Despite the remaining shortage, overbidding on a house is decreasing. It's often unnecessary to make an offer above the asking price. And if people overbid, the amount is much lower than it used to be. That's a big difference compared to earlier this year. In the beginning of 2022, 80% of the houses was sold above the asking price.

Overbidding and maximum mortgage

That's great news, especially if you want to buy your first house in the Netherlands. Now overbidding is getting less common, you need less savings to purchase a property.You can get aDutch mortgageup to 100%of the market value of your house. All the extra costs purchase cost to buy a house and the amount that youoverbid on the value of the houseto win the offer, you’ll have to pay out of your own pocket.

Calculation example overbidding on a house

  • Asking price: € 410,000
  • Purchase price: € 465,000
  • Appraisal value: € 440,000
  • Maximum mortgage: € 440,000
  • Savings needed: € 25,000 > the difference between the purchase price and the appraisal value

Beware that the amount of savings in this example doesn’t include the purchasing costs and financing costs you’ll have to pay when buying a house in the Netherlands (about 3 to 6%of the purchase price). This calculation example only covers the amount of savings needed for overbidding.

Housing market crash in the Netherlands?

As we transitioned into the beginning of 2024, the housing market demonstrated resilience in the face of challenges encountered in the previous year. In 2023, the market saw a period of price stabilization and an uptick in interest rates, which led to speculations about a potential downturn. However, the early months of 2024 have painted a different picture, with housing prices beginning to rise again amidst a backdrop of stabilizing interest rates. This shift indicates a robustness within the housing market, suggesting that a crash is unlikely under the current conditions. The stabilization of interest rates has likely restored buyer confidence, encouraging investment and purchasing activities. Moreover, the slight increase in prices reflects a healthy demand, further dispelling fears of a market crash. The market's ability to adapt and the economic measures in place to support housing stability have played crucial roles in maintaining a positive trajectory, making a housing market crash an unlikely scenario in the near term.

To buy or not to buy a house in the Netherlands?

In summary, the Dutch housing market is showing positive signs and house prices are expected to keep rising.However, nobody knows for sure what's going to happen on the real estate market. It's a scientific fact that economic trends and house prices developments can't be foreseen.

So, to buy or not to buy a house in the Netherlands?If you want to purchase a property and you can afford it, you should.

House prices move up and down, and the value of your house will probably increase slightly or stay the same in the near future. In the long term the value of your property will rise for sure. Besides the developments in house prices, buying a house willincrease your living comfort and it's cheaper than renting.

How to improve your chances on the Dutch housing market?

Because of the remaining shortage at the housing market in the Netherlands, a good preparation before you start your house hunt is important. Itstrongly increases your chances of buying a house. Follow these three tips to help you purchase your dream house:

  • Hire a real estate agent: if your house hunting in a popular area, a realtor will give you a much better shot at actually buying a house. He or she has knowledge of the local housing market and knows in advance which houses will come on sale. With an estate agent you’ll be one up on your competition.
  • Put in a good opening bid: take your opening bid into careful consideration (an estate agent can also advise you on this!). If your offer on a house is too low, you’re out. However, if you overbid too much, you're wasting your money.
  • Book a free appointment with a mortgage advisor: it’s important to explore your mortgage options in the Netherlands in advance. This way you’re sure about your budget and you might be able make your offer more attractive by leaving out the financing clause. Want to know what’s possible for you? Book a free consultation with our experienced mortgage advisors.

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Want to know more about buying a house?

Do you want to know more aboutbuying a house in the Netherlands? Please read our article or sign up for our freehousing webinar 'how to buy a house in the Netherlands'. We're happy to help you purchase your own property.

Housing market in the Netherlands in 2024 (2024)

FAQs

Will mortgage rates go down in 2024 in the Netherlands? ›

If the ECB is assured that inflation will reach the target levels they will slowly start decreasing interest rates again. Potentially we could see this happening in the second half of 2024.

What is the real estate forecast for Amsterdam in 2024? ›

Housing transactions are projected to rise gradually by 0.5% in 2024 and then increase further to 3% by 2025, signaling a gradual recovery phase aided by renewed new construction sales which are vital in maintaining market fluidity.

Is it wise to buy a house now in Netherlands? ›

If you are considering buying or renting a property in the Netherlands, it is a good idea to be prepared to act quickly if you find a property that meets your needs. Overall, the housing market in the Netherlands is stable, with prices generally rising slowly over time.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

Will house prices drop in the Netherlands? ›

In 2023, the market saw a drop of 3% in housing prices, with the most significant drops occurring in Amsterdam, the Hague and Utrecht. However in 2024, housing prices have started going up again and it is expected that this trend will continue on in 2025 as well.

Will home rates go down in 2024? ›

The Federal Reserve's first reduction to the federal funds rate in more than four years is the latest sign that mortgage rates, already at a one-year low, are likely to fall even further in 2024.

What is the outlook for the Netherlands real estate market? ›

The market is anticipated to grow at an annual rate of 4.28% from 2024 to 2029, resulting in a market volume of US$7.57tn by 2029.

How much will housing cost in Rotterdam 2024? ›

Housing market in Rotterdam (September 2024)

The average transaction price this quarter was 391,061 euros, down from 394,405 euros in the previous quarter. The average transaction price per square meter also slightly dropped to 4,057 euros from 4,065 euros.

What is causing the housing crisis in the Netherlands? ›

“The key features of the housing crisis – rising prices, increasing inequality, shortages of affordable homes and foreign investors infiltrating the market – are the result of decades of dubious housing policies,” said Gregory Fuller of Groningen University.

What is the downside of moving to Netherlands? ›

The Netherlands has a high cost of living, which includes everything from accommodation, groceries, and services. On average, the cost of living in the Netherlands is 10.7% higher than in the UK. Owning a car is particularly expensive, with high road tax and expensive repair costs.

Is it difficult to find housing in Netherlands? ›

Finding a home in the Netherlands is a difficult process, especially for expats who are not as familiar with the local housing market.

When should I start looking for housing in the Netherlands? ›

If you need to look for accommodation yourself, our most important advice is: start as soon as possible. In many cities there is a shortage of student accommodation. Check at the institution the housing situation of your city.

Will there be a housing recession in 2024? ›

Housing market predictions 2024 FAQs

There probably won't be a housing recession in 2024 based on current expectations, as limited inventory is likely to push prices up further. Once rates drop, more buyers should re-enter the market as well.

What is the market prediction for 2024? ›

Analysts project 11.5% earnings growth and 5.5% revenue growth for S&P 500 companies in 2024. Fortunately, analysts see positive earnings and revenue growth for all eleven market sectors this year.

Should I buy a house now or wait for a recession? ›

On one hand, buying now may offer advantages such as low interest rates and potential appreciation. On the other hand, waiting for a recession may present opportunities for lower prices and a buyer's market. It's crucial to weigh these pros and cons and assess your personal situation before making a final decision.

What is the interest rate in the Netherlands in 2025? ›

Bank Lending Rate in Netherlands is expected to be 4.21 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the Netherlands Bank Lending Rate is projected to trend around 2.96 percent in 2025, according to our econometric models.

Will my house be worth less in 2024? ›

Housing Market Forecast for 2024 and 2025

Struvetant predicts that home prices will decline as we move into the later months of 2024 amid increasing inventory, but she sees no evidence of substantial declines in national home prices in 2024—or in 2025.

What is the interest rate on a mortgage in the Netherlands? ›

The average interest rate for a fixed-rate mortgage in the Netherlands is currently around 4%. As interest rates increase, the cost of borrowing money to purchase or refinance a home also increases.

What are Dutch style mortgages? ›

A Dutch-style mortgage is a home loan with an interest rate that falls over the course of the term as the homeowner pays off the debt. When the borrower enters a lower loan-to-value (LTV) band, they will automatically be switched to a lower rate if there's one available.

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