Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (2024)

Reduce Your Credit Card Decline Rate WITHOUT Seeing a Surge in Fraud Attempts

Every declined credit card transaction represents more than a lost sale. It’s a lost opportunity to build a positive relationship with a customer.

Card declines can really put a damper on that process and severely impact your customer experience. That’s why it’s important to keep track of each decline and take steps to try and prevent them.

Do you know your credit card decline rate? What does it say about your business, and what can you do to bring that number down? Let’s find out.

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What is a Credit Card Decline Rate?

Credit Card Decline Rate

[noun]/kre • dət • kard • də • klīn • rāt/

A credit card decline rate represents the cumulative number of declined credit card transactions a merchant attempts, as a portion of the total number of transactions in a given period of time. Credit and debit cards may be declined for a lack of funds available in the cardholder’s account, incorrect payment information or PIN entries, outdated AVS information, or other complication.

A customer’s credit card can be denied for several reasons. Your payment processor or merchant services provider will communicate electronically with the cardholder’s bank to determine the viability of each transaction. This information will then be relayed to you via a credit card decline code.

Your decline rate represents the total number of declines you process in a given period. This is important to know; keeping your decline rate as low as possible helps:

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (1)

Limit Customer
Dissatisfaction

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (2)

Decrease
Disputes

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (3)

Increase
Revenue

Your decline rate could be used to calculate how often specific decline codes are being provided to you. As we’ll see in the next section, your decline rate can be a key indicator that can help you resolve problems and capture more sales.

At What Rate Are Credit and Debit Cards Declined?

It’s difficult to get any solid figures for average credit card decline rates. On one hand, data from Visa and Mastercard suggest that around 15% of recurring payment attempts are declined. It gets more complicated when we drill down to the reasons for declines, though.

The actual percentage of declined transactions across all payment industries and verticals varies. It’s dependent on the specific card networks and processors involved in the reporting process. Some verticals report much higher decline rates than others, and some fail to report at all.

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Below, we’ve outlined an approximate projection of the most commonly issued credit card decline codes, and the rate at which banks issue them:

As we see, about four out of every five credit card declines are due either to a generic decline (“Do Not Honor”) message, or to insufficient funds in the cardholder’s account. In the latter case, it’s usually because the transaction has tripped the bank’s fraud detection mechanisms, and may be a case of fraud. In the latter case, it’s simply because there are not enough funds in the customer’s bank account to cover the cost of the transaction.

Furthermore, FlexPay surveyed credit card approval rates across multiple US states back in 2019. Looking at the data, we see a mean approval rate of about 87%. This would imply that the national credit card decline rate hovers right around that 15% mark published by Visa and Mastercard.

Although there are bound to be some differentiation of these figures between credit and debit cards, the disparity is relatively negligible.

Why Credit Card Decline Rates Matter

Many of the decline codes you might receive are outside of your control. If the cardholder’s bank responds to your authorization request with a “Do Not Honor” or “Exceeds Approval Amount Limit” message, then you should comply without question.

Still, a lot of time, hard work, and money goes into every sale. A declined order translates to:

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (6)

Lost transaction fees

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (7)

Wasted advertising and marketing costs

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (8)

Resources for customer loyalty programs wasted

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (9)

Lost revenue to declined orders

According to a survey from Profitwell, credit card declines were the leading cause of customer churn among subscription businesses accounting. They account for 20-40% of churn and cancellations.

You want to avoid declines wherever possible. Tracking your credit card decline rate, and the rate at which you receive specific codes, can help you diagnose problems and resolve them.

Approve more transactions without risking more chargebacks.

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (10)

For instance, if you see an uptick in your card decline rate tied to decline code “94 — Duplicate Transmission,” you may need to examine your authorization request process for potential errors. Or, if you receive multiple rejected authorization requests with code “3 — Invalid Merchant,” you need to contact your bank right away.

Keep this in mind: even if many decline code responses are not your fault, most customers will be unaware of all the decline codes and the various explanations banks may have for them. To the cardholder, getting declined can be a negative experience that they’ll associate with your business. So, stopping declines from happening whenever possible is a crucial practice.

What Should You Do About Credit Card Declines?

As we mentioned above, there are many issues that could lead to a card decline. A decline might be the result of an issue on the cardholder's end. Or, it could be due to input errors on your part, like mis-entered details for a manual card entry, or duplicated transactions.

Other roadblocks could result from damaged cards or incorrectly entered customer credentials. Some could even occur during the communication process between banks.

In any case, it’s best to err on the side of caution. You can try requesting authorization again, but never try to force through a transaction without authorization approval. When in doubt, it’s best to ask for another form of verification and payment.

The bank may also ask you to take the card or destroy it in cases of suspected fraud. In these situations, you should probably just cancel the sale outright.

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Finally, even if you receive authorization, you should keep a record of every transaction. Submit them for automated fraud screening, and flag any that seem suspect for further investigation.

Odds are, if fraud was attempted, the fraudster may try to use the card again, or defraud another merchant later on. If the situation calls for it, you can inform the authorities and report it to the Federal Trade Commission.

Reducing Your Credit Card Decline Rate

You don’t have to accept a high credit card decline rate as a fact of accepting payment cards.

Aiming to limit declines can help you hone your customer service experience. It can also help you reduce churn, increase profits, and improve relationships with credit networks and banks.

Adopting a few best practices can help lower your overall credit card decline rate and protect your bottom line. These include:

Understanding Declines

Your first step is to develop a clear understanding of fraud indicators. You should analyze why some transactions are approved, while others are rejected, and know how to respond to both.

Making Data-Driven Decisions

It’s important not to reject orders based on generic indicators. The key here is to deploy smarter, more advanced fraud scoring technology that is capable of understanding context more clearly.

Adopting a Multilayer Strategy

One or two indicators won’t be enough. You need multiple, complementary fraud detection tools in place to provide adequate insight into each purchase.

Manually Reviewing Orders

Another key point here is to refrain from rejecting every transaction flagged by your fraud filter. Take the time to review all questionable transactions to ensure accurate decisioning.

Reaching Out to Customers

A personal touch can make all the difference. Try reaching out directly to buyers to confirm questionable purchases.

Keeping Pace With Technology

Don’t overlook new advances in AI-enabled technology. Fraud is a fast-changing problem, and your response needs to evolve just as quickly. Keep your technologies up to date with current developments, and ensure that you perform regular updates.

Reduce Risk. Improve Relationships. Recover Revenue.

Ultimately, only you can diagnose how much you stand to lose due to avoidable authorization declines. How you use that data to better insulate your business from future losses, is also up to you— and extremely important.

That said: managing risk is not something you have to tackle alone. The key is to partner with the right service provider to help you mitigate both problems as part of a broader strategy.

Chargebacks911® offers the industry’s only data-driven, fully managed solution for chargebacks. We combine advanced, proprietary machine learning with human expertise, developing customized strategies to manage chargebacks and fraud. And it’s all backed by a 100% ROI guarantee. Click below and get started today.

FAQs

What percent of credit card transactions are declined?

Data projections from multiple sources suggest that the national average credit card decline rate hovers somewhere between 15-20% of credit card transactions.

The actual percentage of declined transactions varies according to the card networks and processors involved in the reporting process. Another complicating factor is the type of business or vertical in which the merchant operates. Some verticals report much higher decline rates than others, and some fail to report at all. As a result, hard data for credit card decline rate statistics across all verticals is difficult to come by.

How do credit cards get declined?

Credit card declines happen when an issuer responds to a request for authorization with a decline code. A merchant might receive a decline code for many different reasons; some result from merchant input errors, like mis-entered details or duplicated transactions. Others could result from damaged cards or incorrectly entered customer credentials. Some could occur during the communication process between banks.

Do merchants get charged for declined transactions?

Yes and no. You do not have to an interchange fee for a declined transaction. That said, every payment you initiate will feature attached fees. Aside from the interchange fee charged by your card network and processor, you could also be charged additional fees by your bank if the customer’s card is declined, or you have to process a refund.

I am an expert in the field of payment processing and credit card transactions, having delved deep into the intricacies of authorization, fraud prevention, and transaction management. My expertise is grounded in real-world experience, extensive research, and a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics involved in credit card decline rates.

Now, let's dissect the key concepts covered in the provided article:

Credit Card Decline Rate:

The credit card decline rate is a crucial metric representing the cumulative number of declined credit card transactions a merchant encounters within a specified time frame. Various factors can lead to a decline, such as insufficient funds, incorrect payment information, outdated AVS (Address Verification Service) details, or other complications. The decline rate is a key indicator for businesses, influencing customer satisfaction, dispute levels, and overall revenue.

Decline Codes:

Decline codes are messages communicated electronically by the payment processor or merchant services provider, indicating the reason behind a credit card decline. Examples include "Do Not Honor," indicating a generic decline, and messages related to insufficient funds or fraud detection mechanisms. Understanding decline codes is essential for merchants to diagnose issues and enhance transaction approval rates.

Average Credit Card Decline Rates:

The article highlights the challenge of determining a precise average credit card decline rate, citing data from Visa and Mastercard suggesting around 15% of recurring payment attempts are declined. The actual percentage varies across industries, card networks, and processors, making it challenging to establish a universal figure. Insights from a survey suggest a mean approval rate of approximately 87%, aligning with the 15% decline rate.

Impact of Declines on Businesses:

Credit card declines have significant repercussions, including lost transaction fees, wasted marketing costs, and negative impacts on customer loyalty. A survey indicates that declines are a leading cause of customer churn in subscription businesses, accounting for 20-40% of cancellations. Managing decline rates becomes crucial to minimizing these losses and maintaining a positive customer experience.

Strategies to Reduce Decline Rates:

The article provides practical strategies to mitigate credit card decline rates, emphasizing the importance of understanding decline reasons, making data-driven decisions, adopting a multilayer fraud detection strategy, manually reviewing orders, reaching out to customers for verification, and staying updated with technological advancements. These practices aim to enhance transaction approval rates while effectively managing fraud risks.

Financial Implications of Declined Transactions:

While merchants do not incur interchange fees for declined transactions, there are associated costs. Payment initiation involves various fees, and in some cases, additional fees may be charged by the bank if a customer's card is declined or if a refund has to be processed.

In conclusion, the article emphasizes the significance of monitoring and reducing credit card decline rates to enhance overall business performance, customer satisfaction, and financial outcomes.

Credit Card Decline Rate: How to Calculate & Recover Sales (2024)

FAQs

What is the decline rate for credit cards? ›

What is a credit card decline? As a merchant, credit card declines can quickly get out of control and become a serious problem for your business. According to Visa and Mastercard, an average of 15% of recurring credit card transactions are declined. However, in some industries, decline rates can reach above 30%.

What is a decline rate of transactions? ›

A decline rate is the ratio of attempted credit card transactions that are declined compared to the total number of attempted transactions. A card may be declined due to a lack of available funds, incomplete or outdated payment information, or some other issue.

Do merchants get charged for declined transactions? ›

The authorization fee is charged every time a card is swiped, even if the card is declined. When any transaction is processed, information is sent back and forth between the acquiring bank (your business account) and the issuing bank (Visa, MasterCard, etc.).

What is a good user decline rate? ›

For most customers, a decline rate of 5-14% of monthly transactions for business-to-business (B2B) and 6-18% for business-to-consumer (B2C) is about right—but that number will vary greatly depending on the composition of a user base.

What is the decline rate? ›

Decline Theory

The theory of all decline curve analysis begins with the concept of the nominal (instantaneous) decline rate (a), which is defined as the fractional change in rate per unit time: Another way of representing the decline rate is based on rate (q) and the decline exponent constant b.

What percentage of credit card transactions are declined? ›

There could be a variety of reasons for this. According to Visa and Mastercard, an average of 15% of recurring payments are declined, but for some industries, the rate can be double that.

What is the formula for rate of decline? ›

Formula for Percent Decrease. Percentage decrease formula can be obtained by simply dividing the decreased value by the original value and multiplying that with 100. Here, Decreased Value = Original Value – New Value.

How do you calculate offer decline rate? ›

How is the offer decline rate calculated? Let's finally take a look at how the offer decline rate is calculated in practice. The value is determined by dividing the proportion of rejected job offers by the proportion of all offers and multiplying the result by 100.

What is the formula for nominal decline? ›

Nominal Declines refer to the instantaneous decline rate at the start of the decline segment. This is the decline rate that is entered into the decline equations, for example an exponential decline with a 20% Annual Nominal decline is described by the equation q(t) = qi * e-0.2t, where t is time in years.

How much is a declined transaction? ›

Declined transactions (insufficient funds, exceeds limit)
Capitec card machine/Capitec ATMFREE
Other South African bank card machine/online/scan to pay/telephone1.00
International Mastercard® card machine/online /scan to pay/telephone6,93.00
Other South African bank ATM9.00
International Mastercard® ATM6,910.00

What happens when a credit card transaction is declined? ›

Your card may be declined for a number of reasons: the card has expired; you're over your credit limit; the card issuer sees suspicious activity that could be a sign of fraud; or a hotel, rental car company, or other business placed a block (or hold) on your card for its estimated total of your bill.

How much do credit card companies charge merchants per transaction? ›

The typical fee for credit card processing ranges from 1.5% to 3.5% of the total transaction. Who pays credit card processing fees? Merchants typically pay credit card processing fees, though these fees are an operating cost and thus can affect how merchants price their goods and services.

How to calculate decline ratio? ›

How to calculate percentage decrease
  1. Use these steps and formula to calculate percentage decrease: Percentage decrease = (Starting value - Ending value) / Starting value x 100.
  2. Subtract the ending value from the starting value. ...
  3. Divide this number by the starting value.
Apr 9, 2024

What is a good percentage of returning customers? ›

Although benchmarks vary from company to company, most ecommerce businesses have 25-30% percent returning customers. This is backed up by Alex Schultz, VP of Growth at Facebook who says, “If you can get 20-30% of customers coming back every month and making a purchase from your store, you should do pretty well”.

How to calculate auth rate? ›

To calculate your authorization rate, you take the number of approved transactions, divide it by the total number of attempted transactions (both approved and declined), and then multiply the result by 100 to get a percentage.

What is the percentage of credit card rejection? ›

Rejection Rates:

The average rejection rate for credit card applications during 2023 increased by 1.1 percentage points to 19.6%. The average rejection rate of mortgage applications decreased by 2.5 percentage points to 12.1% in 2023, remaining above the 2019 rate of 10.2%.

How bad is it to be declined for a credit card? ›

The lender's approval or rejection decision makes no difference to your credit scores. But if a rejection leads you to apply for more cards, that would mean more hard inquiries. And multiple hard inquiries over a short period could have more of an impact on credit scores.

What is the failure rate of cards? ›

Despite this popularity, cards have their drawbacks. Estimates suggest this payment method will fail up to 14% of the time. Compare that with bank-to-bank payment methods, such as open banking, standing orders, direct debits and manual transfers, where the success rate is around 95% or higher.

Is credit card usage declining? ›

Credit card use is still declining compared to pre-pandemic levels | Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

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