Can private credit continue to perform? | J.P. Morgan Private Bank U.S. (2024)

Index Definitions:

Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index is composed of fixed-rate, publicly issued, non-investment grade debt.

PVAR Index: The Invesco Variable Rate Preferred ETF (Fund) is based on the ICE Variable Rate Preferred & Hybrid Securities Index (Index). The Fund will generally invest at least 90% of its total assets in floating and variable rate investment grade and below investment grade U.S. dollar-denominated preferred stock and hybrid debt publicly issued by corporations in the U.S. domestic market.

The Cliffwater Direct Lending Index, or CDLI, is an asset-weighted index of 12,000+ directly originated middle market loans totaling $276 billion as of March 31, 2023. The CDLI assists investors to better understand asset class characteristics and to benchmark manager performance. The Cliffwater Direct Lending Index (CDLI) seeks to measure the unlevered, gross of fees performance of U.S. middle market corporate loans, as represented by the underlying assets of Business Development Companies (BDCs), including both exchange-traded and unlisted BDCs, subject to certain Eligibility Criteria. The CDLI is an asset-weighted index that is calculated on a quarterly basis using financial statements and other information contained in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings of all eligible BDCs.

EBITDA, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, is an alternate measure of profitability to net income.

The JPM Domestic High Yield Index is designed to mirror the investable universe of the U.S. dollar domestic high yield corporate debt market.

The JPM Investment Grade Index (JULI) provides performance comparisons and valuation metrics across a carefully defined universe of investment grade corporate bonds, tracking individual issuers, sectors and sub-sectors by their various ratings and maturities.

Key Risks

Past Performance is not indicative of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

Investing in alternative assets involves higher risks than traditional investments and is suitable only for sophisticated investors. Alternative investments involve greater risks than traditional investments and should not be deemed a complete investment program. They are not tax efficient and an investor should consult with his/her tax advisor prior to investing. Alternative investments have higher fees than traditional investments and they may also be highly leveraged and engage in speculative investment techniques, which can magnify the potential for investment loss or gain. The value of the investment may fall as well as rise and investors may get back less than they invested.

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Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

Given the complex risk-reward trade-offs involved, we advise clients to rely on judgment as well as quantitative optimization approaches in setting strategic allocations. Please note that all information shown is based on qualitative analysis. Exclusive reliance on the above is not advised. This information is not intended as a recommendation to invest in any particular asset class or strategy or as a promise of future performance. Note that these asset class and strategy assumptions are passive only—they do not consider the impact of active management. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Assumptions, opinions and estimates are provided for illustrative purposes only. They should not be relied upon as recommendations to buy or sell securities. Forecasts of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material has been prepared for information purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. The outputs of the assumptions are provided for illustration/discussion purposes only and are subject to significant limitations.

“Expected” or “alpha” return estimates are subject to uncertainty and error. For example, changes in the historical data from which it is estimated will result in different implications for asset class returns. Expected returns for each asset class are conditional on an economic scenario; actual returns in the event the scenario comes to pass could be higher or lower, as they have been in the past, so an investor should not expect to achieve returns similar to the outputs shown herein. References to future returns for either asset allocation strategies or asset classes are not promises of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Because of the inherent limitations of all models, potential investors should not rely exclusively on the model when making a decision. The model cannot account for the impact that economic, market and other factors may have on the implementation and ongoing management of an actual investment portfolio. Unlike actual portfolio outcomes, the model outcomes do not reflect actual trading, liquidity constraints, fees, expenses, taxes and other factors that could impact the future returns. The model assumptions are passive only—they do not consider the impact of active management. A manager’s ability to achieve similar outcomes is subject to risk factors over which the manager may have no or limited control.

The views contained herein are not to be taken as advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any investment in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yield are not a reliable indicator of current and future results.

General Risks & Considerations

Any views, strategies or products discussed in this material may not be appropriate for all individuals and are subject to risks. Investors may get back less than they invested, and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.Asset allocation/diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss. Nothing in this material should be relied upon in isolation for the purpose of making an investment decision. You are urged to consider carefully whether the services, products, asset classes (e.g., equities, fixed income, alternative investments, commodities, etc.) or strategies discussed are suitable to your needs. You must also consider the objectives, risks, charges, and expenses associated with an investment service, product or strategy prior to making an investment decision. For this and more complete information, including discussion of your goals/situation, contact your J.P. Morgan team.

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Certain information contained in this material is believed to be reliable; however, JPM does not represent or warrant its accuracy, reliability or completeness, or accept any liability for anyloss or damage (whether direct or indirect) arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. No representation or warranty should be made with regard to any computations, graphs, tables, diagrams or commentary in this material, which are provided for illustration/ reference purposes only. The views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed in this material constitute our judgment based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. JPM assumes no duty to update any information in this material in theevent that such information changes. Views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed herein may differ from those expressed by other areas of JPM, views expressed for other purposes or in other contexts, and this material should not be regarded as a research report. Any projected results and risks are based solely on hypothetical examples cited, and actual results and risks will vary depending on specific circ*mstances. Forward-looking statements should not be considered as guarantees or predictions of future events.

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Can private credit continue to perform? | J.P. Morgan Private Bank U.S. (2024)

FAQs

What is the outlook for private credit in 2024? ›

Private credit is predicted to grow in 2024, as numerous leveraged loans and high-yield bonds reach their maturity wall and will need to be refinanced. With M&A volumes down, investors will be looking for new ways to exit investments.

What is the minimum net worth for JP Morgan Private Bank? ›

The minimum requirement to open a private banking account with HSBC in the US is $5 million, while the minimum for banks like JP Morgan is $10 million. It's not unusual for larger private banking institutions to require eight-figure sums from their clients.

Is private credit here to stay? ›

That includes “all things private, the syndicated market, hybrid structures, junior capital and senior capital”, he says. Dan Pietrzak, global head of private credit at KKR, believes “private credit is unequivocally here to stay and the syndicated loan market is here to stay.

What is the future of private credit? ›

In its latest five-year private markets outlook, Preqin forecasts that private credit will nearly double in size reaching $2.8 trillion by the end of 2028, after most investors it surveyed confirmed that they expect to invest even more money in this asset class.

How does private credit work? ›

Private credit (also known as direct lending) is generally defined as lending by non-bank financial institutions—including private equity firms and alternative asset managers—most often to small and mid-sized businesses, who are often highly leveraged and generally cannot borrow in corporate bond markets.

What is the salary of the CEO of JP Morgan Private Bank? ›

Dimon often ranks among the highest-paying names in banking and courtesy of JPMorgan's record-breaking results for 2023, that trend doesn't look set to change anytime soon. In an SEC filing seen by Fortune, JPMorgan's board approved a compensation increase from $34.5 million in 2022 to $36 million for 2023.

How much does a JP Morgan private bank advisor charge? ›

How Much Does J.P. Morgan Personal Advisors Charge? J.P. Morgan Personal Advisors charges between 0.40% and 0.60% of your assets under management annually. It's 0.60% for portfolios below $250,000, 0.50% for portfolios between $250,000 to $1 million, and 0.40% for portfolios over $1 million.

Is JP Morgan private bank worth it? ›

J.P. Morgan has been voted the “World's Best Private Bank” for good reason. With us, you enjoy an enduring relationship with a skilled banker who can marshal the resources of a global financial powerhouse for you, your family—and the impact you want to make on the world.

Why is private credit booming? ›

This market emerged about three decades ago as a financing source for companies too large or risky for commercial banks and too small to raise debt in public markets. In the past few years, it has grown rapidly as features such as, speed, flexibility, and attentiveness have proved valuable to borrowers.

What are the risks associated with private credit? ›

The allure of private credit is tempered by inherent risks, including credit, liquidity and market uncertainties. Loans in this sector are typically extended to entities beyond the purview of public debt markets, inherently carrying higher credit risks.

Is there a difference between private debt and private credit? ›

You will sometimes see private debt and private credit used interchangeably. However, an important distinction is that private credit is just one type of private debt. At PitchBook, we define private credit, or direct lending, as directly originated loans to corporate borrowers that are not broadly syndicated.

Which is better private credit or private equity? ›

Private credit may be appropriate for investors seeking relatively stable and predictable returns that often exceed those of bonds and other fixed-income assets. Private equity could be suitable for those in search of high potential returns, although this also means elevated risks.

What is the return rate for private credit? ›

Private credit offers high yields, floating rates, and has some defensive characteristics at a time when interest rates are fluctuating. The 10.1% total return since inception is far less than the 10.5% that the fund has returned to investors annually over three years.

Why is private credit better than private equity? ›

Private credit investments are typically short- or long-term, depending on the investor's risk appetite or interests. Commitments tend to be more flexible than private equity investments, making it easier for investors to withdraw their money in the short term rather than holding their capital in a debt instrument.

How much money do you need for Chase private banking? ›

Chase Private Client services are available for those able to maintain an average daily balance of at least $150,000 in Chase accounts. The funds can be held across any combination of eligible Chase deposit and investment accounts.

How much money do you need for a JP Morgan account? ›

What are the requirements to open new accounts with J.P. Morgan? Most of our funds require an initial investment of $1,000 to open an account.

How much do you need to get in private banking? ›

Eligibility requirements for private banking

While minimums vary by bank, the starting point is often a combined monthly balance of at least $1 million in linked deposit, retirement, and investment accounts at the bank (some banks offer better perks the more assets you have).

How much money do you need for Morgan Stanley Private Bank? ›

Morgan Stanley Private Bank savings overview

There is no minimum deposit required to open the account, but it must be funded within 30 days to remain open.

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