Average long-term US mortgage rate climbs above 7% to highest level since late November (2024)

By ALEX VEIGA

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LOS ANGELES (AP) — Prospective homebuyers are facing higher costs to finance a home with the average long-term U.S. mortgage rate moving above 7% this week to its highest level in nearly five months.

The average rate on a 30-year mortgage rose to 7.1% from 6.88% last week, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday. A year ago, the rate averaged 6.39%.

When mortgage rates rise, they can add hundreds of dollars a month in costs for borrowers, limiting how much they can afford at a time when the U.S. housing market remains constrained by relatively few homes for sale and rising home prices.

“As rates trend higher, potential homebuyers are deciding whether to buy before rates rise even more or hold off in hopes of decreases later in the year,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Last week, purchase applications rose modestly, but it remains unclear how many homebuyers can withstand increasing rates in the future.”

AP business correspondent Alex Veiga reports mortgage rates reaching their highest level in months.

After climbing to a 23-year high of 7.79% in October, the average rate on a 30-year mortgage had remained below 7% since early December amid expectations that inflation would ease enough this year for the Federal Reserve to begin cutting its short-term interest rate.

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Mortgage rates are influenced by several factors, including how the bond market reacts to the Fed’s interest rate policy and the moves in the 10-year Treasury yield, which lenders use as a guide to pricing home loans.

But home loan rates have been mostly drifting higher in recent weeks as stronger-than-expected reports on employment and inflation have stoked doubts over how soon the Fed might decide to start lowering its benchmark interest rate. The uncertainty has pushed up bond yields.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury jumped to around 4.66% on Tuesday — its highest level since early November — after top officials at the Federal Reserve suggested the central bank may hold its main interest steady for a while. The Fed wants to get more confidence that inflation is sustainably heading toward its target of 2%.

The yield was at 4.64% at midday Thursday after new data on applications for unemployment benefits and a report showing manufacturing growth in the mid-Atlantic region pointed to a stronger-than-expected U.S. economy.

“With no cuts to the federal funds rate imminent and with the economy still strong, there is no reason to see downward pressure on mortgage rates right now,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS. “It seems increasingly likely that mortgage rates are not going to come down any time soon.”

Sturtevant said it’s likely the average rate on a 30-year mortgage will hold close to 7% throughout the spring before easing to the mid-to-high 6% range into the summer.

Other economists also expect that mortgage rates will ease moderately later this year, with forecasts generally calling for the average rate to remain above 6%.

Mortgage rates have now risen three weeks in a row, a setback for home shoppers this spring homebuying season, traditionally the housing market’s busiest time of the year.

Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes fell last month as home shoppers contended with elevated mortgage rates and rising prices.

While easing mortgage rates helped push home sales higher in January and February, the average rate on a 30-year mortgage remains well above 5.1%, where was just two years ago.

That large gap between rates now and then has helped limit the number of previously occupied homes on the market because many homeowners who bought or refinanced more than two years ago are reluctant to sell and give up their fixed-rate mortgages below 3% or 4%.

Meanwhile, the cost of refinancing a home loan also got pricier this week. Borrowing costs on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, often used to refinance longer-term mortgages, rose this week, pushing the average rate to 6.39% from 6.16% last week. A year ago it averaged 5.76%, Freddie Mac said.

Average long-term US mortgage rate climbs above 7% to highest level since late November (2024)

FAQs

Did US mortgage rates climb back above 7%? ›

US mortgage rates climbed back above 7% last week, driving a decline in applications to finance home purchases. The contract rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage rose 10 basis points, the steepest increase in more than two months, to 7.03% in the week ended June 28.

When was the last time we had 7% mortgage rates? ›

Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate by year
Year30-year fixed-rate average
20026.57%
20017.01%
20008.08%
19997.46%
49 more rows
Aug 8, 2024

What is the average mortgage rate over the years? ›

Historical Mortgage Rates by Decade
Minimum Mortgage RateMedian Mortgage Rate
1990-19996.49%7.88%
2000-20094.71%6.18%
2010-20193.31%4.03%
2020-Present2.65%4.55%
2 more rows
Jun 26, 2024

What is the long term mortgage rate forecast? ›



The Mortgage Bankers Association predicts in its August Mortgage Finance Forecast that mortgage rates will fall from 6.7% in the third quarter of 2024 to 6.5% by the fourth quarter. The industry group expects rates will fall to 5.9% at the end of 2025 and will continue to average 5.9% in 2026.

What is the highest 30 year mortgage rate in US history? ›

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States averaged 7.72 percent from 1971 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 18.63 percent in October of 1981 and a record low of 2.65 percent in January of 2021. This page includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

Is the 7 mortgage rate high? ›

However, in 2022, rates experienced a notable increase due to factors like inflation and Federal Reserve actions, climbing from 3.22% in January to a high of 7.08% by October. At present, mortgage rates have pulled back from the peak they reached last year and are hovering between the low-6% and mid-6% range.

What is the highest interest rate in US history? ›

The fed funds rate began the decade at a target level of 14 percent in January 1980. By the time officials concluded a conference call on Dec. 5, 1980, they hiked the target range by 2 percentage points to 19-20 percent, its highest ever. Consumer borrowing costs soared as a result.

What were mortgage rates March 7? ›

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.88% in the week ending March 7, down from 6.94% the previous week, according to data from Freddie Mac released Thursday. A year ago, the average 30-year fixed-rate was 6.73%.

Why did mortgage rates jump up? ›

This rate dictates how much banks pay each other in interest to borrow funds from their reserves, kept at the Fed on an overnight basis. In 2022 and 2023, the Fed increased this key interest rate to help calm inflation — hikes that made it more costly for Americans to borrow money or take out credit.

Will interest rates ever go back to 3? ›

The short answer is: It's highly unlikely we'll see mortgage rates drop back to 3% anytime soon. However, recent inflation numbers point to cooling of the pace of inflation. This will allow the FED to start lowing the FED funds rates soon, most experts predict September will be the first cut.

What percent of American homeowners have a mortgage? ›

Key Takeaways. Over 60% of homeowners had a mortgage on their property, which may be their primary residence or a rental property. Data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis shows that, as of the first quarter of 2024, 65.6% of homes were owner-occupied.

What is the lowest mortgage interest rate in history? ›

The Lowest Mortgage Rate Ever Recorded

The lowest weekly average mortgage rate for the conventional 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage was recorded at 2.65% in January of 2021.

How high could mortgage rates go by 2025? ›

There are no sources for officially projected interest rates in five years, but the Mortgage Bankers Association and Fannie Mae both predict rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages will drop to 5.9% by the end of 2025.

What is the interest rate forecast for the next 5 years? ›

Projected Interest Rates In The Next Five Years

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

What will interest rates be in 2026? ›

CPI inflation to fall further than most expect in 2025 and prompt BoE to cut interest rates to 3.00% by early 2026 | Capital Economics.

How much did the Feds raise mortgage rates? ›

Over the past two years, the Fed has raised its benchmark rate, or the federal funds rate, to a target range of 5.25% to 5.50%. Learn more: What prospective homebuyers should know about mortgages. And the Fed's rate hikes seem to be working—in June 2022, year-over-year inflation was 9.1%. Now, it's 3%.

What is the highest US interest rates have ever been? ›

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 5.50 percent. Interest Rate in the United States averaged 5.42 percent from 1971 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 20.00 percent in March of 1980 and a record low of 0.25 percent in December of 2008.

When did mortgage rates go up again? ›

Mortgage interest rates fell to historic lows in 2020 and 2021 during the Covid pandemic. Emergency actions by the Federal Reserve helped push mortgage rates below 3% and kept them there. The story changed in 2022. With inflation running ultra-hot, mortgage interest rates surged to their highest levels since 2002.

What percentage of US mortgages are federally backed? ›

The overall government-backed share of such home purchase loans, including FHA, VA, Rural Housing Service, and Farm Service Agency loans, was 28.1 percent in 2022, down from 29.3 percent in 2021.

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