Will Social Security run out? Here's what could happen to your benefits (2024)

The financial future of the more than 70 million Americans who receive Social Security benefits is slightly more secure than anticipated, according to theagency's annual trustees report,released May 6: The trust fund reserves used to pay beneficiaries are projected to become insolvent in 2035, a year later than previously projected.

Social Security will still exist after 2035, according to the trustees' findings, but retirees will only receive 83% of their full benefits. Preventing that shortfall requires congressional action and would likely involve trimming benefits or increasing the Social Security payroll tax.

Will Social Security run out?

  • How Social Security is financed
  • Why is Social Security important?
  • What can Congress do about Social Security?
  • What is the Cost of Living Adjustment?
  • How you can supplement Social Security
  • FAQ
  • Bottom line

Find the best investment account to secure your future

How is Social Security financed?

Social Security is funded through payroll tax deductions paid by both employees and employers. In tax year 2024, payroll taxes are applied to the first $168,600 of an individual's yearly income.

The Social Security tax applied to both employees and employers is 6.2% of an employee's paycheck — or 12.4% in total. (Self-employed individuals pay the entire 12.4% themselves.)

More help: Take the Social Security retirement earnings test

When you contribute to Social Security, the money doesn't go to a specific fund allocated to you: Workers are paying into a system that pays for current retirees' benefits. For every dollar you pay in, 85 cents goes towards the Social Security trust fund, according to the Social Security Administration.

The other 15 cents goes to a separate fund that pays benefits to people with disabilities and their families.

According to the trustees' report, the Social Security Administration will run out of its reserves in 2035. Without congressional action, the fund will then only be able to pay out 83% of retirees' full benefits.

Why is Social Security important?

Social Security is one of the few programs that enjoys broad support across the political spectrum: In a 2024 AARP survey of Americans age 50 and older, 90% of respondents call it very important.

While it's intended to supplement peoples' retirement savings, about half of all seniors get at least 50% of their retirement income from Social Security, according to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

Social Security has been referred to as part of the "three-legged stool" retirement, alongside personal savings and worker contribution plans like 401(k) plans and IRAs.

Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment

In addition to meeting its current obligations, the Social Security fund must also account for the annual Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA): To help beneficiaries maintain their purchasing power, the Social Security Administration announces the COLA for the following year's benefits.

The yearly adjustment is based on the change in the Labor Department's Consumer Price Index from the third quarter of the prior year to the third quarter of the current year.

The COLA for 2024 is3.2%, which works out to an average increase of $55 per check for the nearly 67 million Americans who receive benefits.This increase began with December 2023 benefits, which were paid in January 2024.

What can Congress do about Social Security?

Changes to Social Security benefits and revenue sourcesneed to come from Congress. There are different strategies but most involve one or more of the following:

  • Cutting benefits
  • Increasing the payroll tax (or the income limit).
  • Increasing the age at which taxpayers can claim benefits

The last time Social Security faced a reserve deficit was in 1983. Bipartisan legislation increased the full retirement age from 65 to 67 and charged income tax on Social Security benefits.

How to supplement your Social Security

When it comes to saving for retirement, it's essential to start as early as possible. Experts recommend setting aside between 10% and 15% of your paycheck, but you can start small and increase over time. If you have outstanding credit card bills or student loans, clearing those debts may take precedence.

401(k) plan

A 401(k is a retirement investment account sponsored by an employer. Contributions are tax-deferred, so they can lower your taxable income the year they're made and give you more to invest. If your company matches 401(k)s, maxing out your contributions should be the priority. Many employers will match between 2% and 4% of an employee's annual salary.

IRA

An individual Retirement account (IRA) is another investment option, but it's not connected to your employer and typically has more options.

Like a 401(k), a traditional IRA is tax-deferred and contributions can be tax-deductible, funds in the account grow tax-free, but withdrawals are subject to income tax when you take distributions. CNBC Select tapped Charles Schwab, Fidelity and Betterment as among the top picks for IRAs.

Charles Schwab

  • Minimum deposit and balance

    Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. No account minimum for active investing through Schwab One®Brokerage Account. Automated investing through Schwab Intelligent Portfolios® requires a $5,000 minimum deposit

  • Fees

    Fees may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. Schwab One®Brokerage Account has no account fees, $0 commission fees for stock and ETF trades, $0 transaction fees for over 4,000 mutual funds and a $0.65 fee per options contract

  • Bonus

    None

  • Investment vehicles

    Robo-advisor: Schwab Intelligent Portfolios® and Schwab Intelligent Portfolios Premium™ IRA: Charles Schwab Traditional, Roth, Rollover, Inherited and Custodial IRAs; plus, a Personal Choice Retirement Account® (PCRA) Brokerage and trading: Schwab One®Brokerage Account, Brokerage Account + Specialized Platforms and Support for Trading, Schwab Global Account™ and Schwab Organization Account

  • Investment options

    Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, CDs and ETFs

  • Educational resources

    Extensive retirement planning tools

Terms apply.

Fidelity Investments

  • Minimum deposit and balance

    Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. No minimum to open a Fidelity Go®account, but minimum $10 balance according to the investment strategy chosen

  • Fees

    Fees may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. Zero commission fees for stock, ETF, options trades and some mutual funds; zero transaction fees for over 3,400 mutual funds; $0.65 per options contract. Fidelity Go® has no advisory fees for balances under $25,000 (0.35% per year for balances of $25,000 and over and this includes access to unlimited 1-on-1 coaching calls from a Fidelity advisor)

  • Bonus

    Find special offers here

  • Investment vehicles

    Robo-advisor: Fidelity Go® IRA: Traditional, Roth and Rollover IRAs Brokerage and trading: Fidelity Investments Trading Other:Fidelity Investments 529 College Savings; Fidelity HSA®

  • Investment options

    Stocks, bonds, ETFs, mutual funds, CDs, options and fractional shares

  • Educational resources

    Extensive tools and industry-leading, in-depth research from 20-plus independent providers

Terms apply.

Betterment

  • Minimum deposit and balance

    Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. For example, Betterment doesn't require clients to maintain a minimum investment account balance, but there is a ACH deposit minimum of $10. Premium Investing requires a $100,000 minimum balance.

  • Fees

    Fees may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected, account balances, etc. Click here for details.

  • Investment vehicles

  • Investment options

    Stocks, bonds, ETFs and cash

  • Educational resources

    Betterment offers retirement and other education materials

Terms apply. Does not apply to crypto asset portfolios.

A Roth IRA is an after-tax account, so you don't have to pay taxes on your gains later. Ally Invest and Wealthfront rank among the best options for Roth IRAs.

There are also robo-advisor services that can build a portfolio for you based on your risk tolerance and time horizon and rebalance as you get closer to retirement. Top robo-advisors include E-Trade and SoFi.

E*TRADE

  • Minimum deposit and balance

    Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. No minimum to open an E*TRADE brokerageaccount; minimum $500 deposit to invest in robo-advisor platform Core Portfolios

  • Fees

    Fees may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. Zero commission fees for stock, ETF and options trades; zero transaction fees for over 4,400 mutual funds; robo-advisor Core Portfolios charges 0.30% annual advisory fee

  • Investment vehicles

    Robo-advisor: E*TRADE Core Portfolios IRA: E*TRADE Traditional, Roth, Rollover, Beneficiary, SEP and SIMPLE IRAs, IRA for Minors and E*TRADE Complete™IRA Brokerage and trading: E*TRADE Trading Other:E*TRADE Coverdell ESA (Education Savings Account), Custodial Account for minors and small business retirement plans

  • Investment options

    Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, CDs, ETFs, options and futures

  • Educational resources

    Educational library includes in-depth articles and videos for any type of investor

Terms apply.

SoFi Invest®

On SoFi's secure site

  • Minimum deposit and balance

    Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. No account minimum for active or automated investing, or to participate in IPOs. $5 minimum to own a fractional share of a company.

  • Fees

    Fees may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. Active investing has zero commission fees for trading stocks and ETFs (exchange and fund management fees may apply). Automated investing has zero management fees

  • Bonus

    Download the SoFi appand get up to $1,000 when you open an Active SoFi Invest® Brokerage Account. SoFi covers up to $75 of any transfer fees your brokerage may charge when you transfer an account to SoFi

  • Investment vehicles

  • Investment options

    Stocks, bonds, ETFs, fractional shares and IPO participation

  • Educational resources

    Investors can create a personal watchlist that follows their stocks to stay up to date and receive the latest investing news

Terms apply.

Find the investment platform that works for you

FAQs

As of January 2024, the average monthly Social Security retirement benefit is $1,907.

According to the May 2024 Social Security trustees report, the fund reserves that help pay for Social Security benefits will run out in 2035. Without congressional intervention, retirees would then only be able to receive 83% of their full benefits.

Full Social Security benefitsare available at age 67. You can start to receive benefits as early as 62, but the amount will be less. If you turn 62 in 2024, for example, your benefit would be about 30% lower than if you waited until you turned 67.

you can receive Social Security retirement benefits and work full-time. If you are younger than the full retirement age of 67 and earn more than the yearly earnings limit, however, your benefits will be reduced.

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Bottom line

The Social Security trustees board predicts the agency's reserves will run out in 2035. Without action by Congress, recipients of Social Security benefits would then only receive 83% of their full benefits. Most Americans agree Social Security is a vital public service — and nearly half of seniors count on their Social Security checks for at least 50% of their retirement income.

Why trust CNBC Select?

At CNBC Select, our mission is to provide our readers with high-quality service journalism and comprehensive consumer advice so they can make informed decisions with their money. Every article is based on rigorous reporting by our team of expert writers and editors with extensive knowledge of financial products. While CNBC Select earns a commission from affiliate partners on many offers and links, we create all our content without input from our commercial team or any outside third parties, and we pride ourselves on our journalistic standards and ethics.

Catch up on CNBC Select's in-depth coverage ofcredit cards,bankingandmoney, and follow us onTikTok,Facebook,InstagramandTwitterto stay up to date.

Read more

When should you start collecting Social Security?

The most common questions about Social Security, answered

How the 4% rule can help you save for retirement

Take the Social Security retirement earnings test

Editorial Note: Opinions, analyses, reviews or recommendations expressed in this article are those of the Select editorial staff’s alone, and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any third party.

Will Social Security run out? Here's what could happen to your benefits (2024)

FAQs

What will happen if Social Security runs out of money? ›

Federal law prohibits Social Security from paying benefits exceeding its available funds. Even if the trust fund runs out in 2035, the program will continue collecting more than $1.6 trillion each year in payroll tax contributions from workers and income taxes on Social Security benefits.

How much longer will Social Security benefits last? ›

When will Social Security run out? According to the May 2024 Social Security trustees report, the fund reserves that help pay for Social Security benefits will run out in 2035. Without congressional intervention, retirees would then only be able to receive 83% of their full benefits.

Will the government run out of Social Security money? ›

Social Security faces a gap between income and expenses, which is being covered by reserve funds. If the shortfall continues as projected, the pool of surplus funds (about $2.8 trillion) will be depleted in or around the year 2034.

Who will lose Social Security benefits? ›

If you go to jail or prison, your Social Security benefits can be affected. If you're incarcerated for more than 30 days, the administration may suspend your Social Security and SSI benefits.

What happens to Social Security if the dollar collapses? ›

If no action is taken and benefits are reduced on a proportionate basis when the trust funds become exhausted, total income of those at the lowest economic levels will be affected the most, significantly increasing the numbers of individuals in poverty and eligible for Supplemental Security Income or other means-tested ...

What will replace Social Security benefits? ›

In the proposals presented to the Commission, the use of retirement bonds--and annuities based on bond accumulations- would also replace the entire benefit structure of Social Security for the future.

Will Social Security exist in 30 years? ›

Will Social Security still be around when I retire? Yes. The Social Security taxes you now pay go into the Social Security Trust Funds and are used to pay benefits to current beneficiaries. The Social Security Board of Trustees now estimates that based on current law, in 2041, the Trust Funds will be depleted.

How likely is Social Security to end? ›

The Social Security Administration will be unable to pay scheduled benefits in full and on time starting in 2035 if no changes are made, according to the most recent annual report from the Social Security Board of Trustees.

At what age is Social Security no longer taxed? ›

Social Security income can be taxable no matter how old you are. It all depends on whether your total combined income exceeds a certain level set for your filing status. You may have heard that Social Security income is not taxed after age 70; this is false.

What happens if Social Security is eliminated? ›

The result would likely lead to a spike in poverty rates for older Americans, predicted Nancy Altman, the president of Social Security Works, an advocacy group for the benefits program. "Not only would it increase poverty, it would deepen poverty for those already in poverty," she noted.

Why do people say Social Security will go away? ›

There are fewer workers left to contribute to retirement benefits as the U.S. population ages and more Baby Boomers retire. The Social Security retirement trust fund is projected to be depleted by 2033 as a result.

What would happen without Social Security? ›

The poverty rate for the elderly would be four times as high without Social Security and 15 million more seniors would be left struggling to survive; About 33 percent of Americans rely on Social Security for more than 90 percent of their income. This includes 52 percent of Latinos and 45 percent of African Americans.

What are the three ways you can lose your Social Security? ›

Indeed, here are three ways you can lose at least part of your Social Security benefit.
  • No. 1: Keep working while taking benefits early. ...
  • No. 2: Be a substantially lower-earning spouse. ...
  • No. 3: Be alive in 2034. ...
  • Social Security still provides an important foundation for retirement.

At what age do you get 100% of your Social Security? ›

The full retirement age is 66 if you were born from 1943 to 1954. The full retirement age increases gradually if you were born from 1955 to 1960 until it reaches 67.

Do you get Social Security if you never worked? ›

Although many of the programs base benefit amounts and eligibility to work history, there are some instances where a person who has never worked can collect benefits. One program that provides benefits to people, not based on their work history, is Supplemental Security Income (SSI).

What will happen when Social Security goes broke? ›

The current projection is that payroll-tax revenue will be enough to pay for 83 percent of benefits when the trust funds go bankrupt in 2035. Benefits would then continue to be cut year after year, since benefits tend to grow faster than payroll-tax revenue.

What would happen if Social Security lost its funding? ›

If trust fund assets are exhausted without reform, benefits will necessarily be lowered with no effect on budget deficits. The author is the Chief Actuary of the Social Security Administration.

What happens when the Social Security trust fund is depleted? ›

The trust fund reserves will make up the difference between income and costs until the reserves are depleted. At that point, Social Security's income will still be able to pay roughly 83 percent of promised benefits — even in the unlikely event that policymakers fail to act.

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