Why Bonds Will Make You Broke (2024)

Your 2% bonds are going to make you broke. You need to buy these safe, higher paying dividends instead.

We’ll get to these “real yields” (up to 9.3%!) in a moment. First, let’s recap. Treasury yields just took their biggest bath in weeks, sending the 10-year T-note to 2%. Less than a year ago, the 10-year was flirting with (a not exactly nosebleed) 3%.

And now that Fed chair Jay Powell has fallen in love with the doves (whether by choice or by force), he’s going to keep rates low for a long time. Which means bonds will have no place in a retirement portfolio geared towards income.

It wasn’t always this way. Decades ago, bonds rightfully earned their reputation as a source of not just safe, but substantial income that could actually support a high-quality retirement.

But for nearly a decade, investors subject to traditional wisdom have been put in peril. They’ve been told that bonds are safe, that they’re “wealth preservers.” However, they now yield so little that their income is almost completely gobbled up by inflation, and their paltry coupons don’t even support basic necessities.

Put another way: If you rely on plain-Jane bonds in retirement, you’ll be underwater paying for even the most bare-bones lifestyle.

The table below shows the monthly income from a $1 million nest egg 100% invested in Treasuries, as well as the average Social Security paycheck, stacked up against a list of basic retirement costs compiled by NerdWallet.

Contrarian Outlook

Contrarian Outlook

Bond investors come up $380 shy each and every month under this low-frills budget. And even if they didn’t spend a penny in “entertainment,” they’d still be broke.

This “new normal” requires a different set of income strategies. You need better yields and substantial payout growth to make sure you’re ahead of the inflation curve.

Of course, you’re not going to get those from Uncle Sam at 2%. You will, however, find them in this five-pack of bigger paying bonds.

BlackRock Core Bond Trust (BHK)

Type: Multi-Sector

Distribution Yield: 5.6%

The BlackRock Core Bond Trust (BHK) closed-end fund (CEF) lives up to its name, providing a core collection of primarily investment-grade bonds. Investment-grade corporates make up about a third of the portfolio, with double-digit holdings in U.S. government bonds, junk debt and agency mortgages. It also holds developed- and emerging-market debt, securitized products, bank loans and more.

About three-quarters of the portfolio is rated BBB or above, so quality is no issue. And you even have roughly 15% exposure to international debt, which gives you a splash of geographic diversity.

A core ETF such as the iShares Core Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) will offer typically a little better overall credit quality, but less than half the yield. That’s the power of closed-end funds, which can use leverage and wily active management to juice returns and distributions.

A 7% discount to the fund’s net asset value (NAV) would seem to cinch the deal. After all, who wouldn’t want broad bond-market exposure with 2x the yield for 93 cents on the dollar?

The problem is that there are better options. BHK has delivered 7.1% in annual total returns since inception, versus a 7.6% category average. Plus it has underperformed in most other time periods, too.

Luckily, BlackRock has more to offer, as I’ll show you in a minute.

Calamos Convertible & High Income Fund (CHY)

Type: Multi-Sector

Distribution Yield: 9.3%

Calamos offers another type of somewhat-blended fixed income, though it’s far from the “core” allocation you’d get via BHK.

The Calamos Convertible & High Income Fund (CHY) invests in a portfolio of convertible securities and other high-yield fixed income instruments. Convertible securities are the lion’s share at 57%, followed by corporate bonds at 32%.

Convertible bonds get very little press. They’re like traditional bonds in that they make regular, fixed coupon payments. But as the name implies, they can be converted–into common stock. So, you can enjoy the income of bonds with the potential upside of equities.

While convertibles’ yields are typically less than regular bonds, CHY’s other holdings, as well as a hefty amount of leverage, help fuel a massive distribution of more than 9% despite a slight reduction in the payout late last year. Its 7.7% annualized total return since inception is in line with the category average.

A 3% discount to NAV is a bargain considering CHY has traded at a premium on average over the past year.

BlackRock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust (BBN)

Type: Taxable Municipal

Distribution Yield: 6.1%

It’s hard to read “taxable municipal bond” without doing a double-take. Isn’t the whole appeal of a municipal bond the fact that you get to pull a fast one on the IRS?

Sure, tax-free munis can offer smaller yields thanks to that tax benefit. But what happens when you collect that income in a tax-advantaged account like an IRA?

That’s right: You lose municipal bonds’ primary perk.

Enter the BlackRock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust (BBN), which invests at least 80% of its assets in taxable munis, including Build America Bonds. The fund can, if necessary, invest in other assets, from Treasuries to even tax-exempt bonds, but it mostly stays faithful to its charge.

There’s plenty to like here. BBN is able to juice a 6.1% yield its taxable municipal bonds, which it has converted into a 9.4% average annual total return since inception. That’s better than the category mark by 50 basis points. And you can purchase that outperformance at a tidy little discount of about 4% to NAV right now.

That makes BBN an unorthodox but nonetheless attractive buy.

Cohen & Steers Limited Duration Preferred & Income (LDP)

Type: Preferred

Distribution Yield: 7.6%

I love preferred stocks. These under-covered, under-loved “hybrid” securities fall well off the radar of many investors. But for those in the know, they’re a dependable source of high yield.

Cohen & Steers skims a lesser-traveled area of the preferred world with its Limited Duration Preferred & Income (LDP) closed-end fund, which, as the name suggests, invests in low-duration preferreds. Just like many investors will duck into low-duration bonds to fight off interest-rate risk, they can tap into this fund when they’re worried about rising rates.

Given the Fed’s current disposition, that’s a big strike against it for now. So is a mere 2% discount that sits below its 52-week average discount of about 5%. (In other words, we’re likely to see this fund trading at a bigger bargain down the road.)

But I always make sure to have a plan for every market condition, and that includes an eventual return to rising rates, whenever that might be. Under that condition, LDP and its collection of about 150 holdings–including preferreds from JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC)–will be the right way to play this asset class.

BlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund (HYT)

Type: High Yield

Distribution Yield: 8.1%

Junk debt has looked less like a fixed-income product and more like a hard-charging blue chip in 2019. That has led to stellar returns for the likes of the BlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund (HYT).

HYT’s more than 1,100 holdings aren’t exclusively junk debt, of course. While 83% of the fund is dedicated to junk, another 11% of assets are piled into term loans, with a peppering of collateralized loan obligations, preferred stocks and other assets.

This closed-end fund takes chances, too. Only a little more than a third of the fund is in the highest credit-quality level of junk (BB); much more is in B (45%), and another 14% is dedicated to CCC-rated bonds. That’s much farther down the ladder than what you get in typical junk index funds such as iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) and SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK). BlackRock’s managers double down on those risks, too, with a healthy 28% leverage ratio.

The chutzpah is worth it. BlackRock Corporate High Yield has stomped its category return, 8.3%-6.7%, since inception. And anyone who steps into the fund today can buy HYT’s high-performing assets at a 9% discount.

Brett Owens is chief investment strategist for Contrarian Outlook. For more great income ideas, click here for his latest report How To Live Off $500,000 Forever: 9 Diversified Plays For 7%+ Income.

Disclosure: none

Why Bonds Will Make You Broke (2024)

FAQs

Why do you lose money on bonds? ›

What causes bond prices to fall? Bond prices move in inverse fashion to interest rates, reflecting an important bond investing consideration known as interest rate risk. If bond yields decline, the value of bonds already on the market move higher. If bond yields rise, existing bonds lose value.

Why bonds are no longer a good investment? ›

The rise in rates hurt bond prices throughout 2022, with the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index falling 13 percent for the year, the worst bond performance in decades. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions, meaning prices fall as yields rise, and vice versa.

What is bad about bonds? ›

Risk Considerations: The primary risks associated with corporate bonds are credit risk, interest rate risk, and market risk. In addition, some corporate bonds can be called for redemption by the issuer and have their principal repaid prior to the maturity date.

Should I get out of bonds right now? ›

High-quality bond investments remain attractive. With yields on investment-grade-rated1 bonds still near 15-year highs,2 we believe investors should continue to consider intermediate- and longer-term bonds to lock in those high yields.

Will bonds recover in 2024? ›

According to Moore, bonds should become increasingly able in the second half of 2024 to play their historic role of delivering significant income and also of preserving capital by rising in price when stocks fall.

What happens if bonds crash? ›

So, if the bond market declines or crashes, your investment account will likely feel it in some way. This can be especially concerning for investors with portfolios heavily weighted toward bonds, such as those in or near retirement.

Is there a better investment than bonds? ›

Stocks offer an opportunity for higher long-term returns compared with bonds but come with greater risk. Bonds are generally more stable than stocks but have provided lower long-term returns. By owning a mix of different investments, you're diversifying your portfolio.

Why do investors dump bonds? ›

They include: Selling bonds because interest rates are about to increase, making your existing bonds less valuable. Selling bonds because its issuer has become financially unstable, raising the risk that it will default on its payments. Selling bonds to take advantage of a current upswing in its market value.

Why are bonds bad in a recession? ›

When the interest rate drops during a recession, the yields paid on bonds can decline. Because of this, some investors prefer to hold short-duration bonds that mature quicker than long-term bonds. With long-term bonds, you could potentially lose more money on your initial investment.

Are bonds riskier than savings? ›

It's an important question to ask if you're trying to grow wealth. Investing can offer the potential for higher returns, but it can also mean taking more risks. Saving money tends to be safer, though it may limit growth. If you're looking for an investment that's also safe, you might consider bonds.

Why would anyone buy bonds? ›

Investors buy bonds because: They provide a predictable income stream. Typically, bonds pay interest on a regular schedule, such as every six months. If the bonds are held to maturity, bondholders get back the entire principal, so bonds are a way to preserve capital while investing.

How do you make money from bonds? ›

There are two ways that investors make money from bonds. The individual investor buys bonds directly, with the aim of holding them until they mature in order to profit from the interest they earn. They may also buy into a bond mutual fund or a bond exchange-traded fund (ETF).

Why are bonds losing so much money? ›

Bond prices decline when interest rates rise, when the issuer experiences a negative credit event, or as market liquidity dries up. Inflation can also erode the returns on bonds, as well as taxes or regulatory changes.

Should I cash my bonds now? ›

If you want to keep all your good interest and get the most out of your I Bonds you should cash out: after earning 3 months of lower interest and. just after the 1st of the month.

Is it smart to put money in bonds? ›

Historically, bonds are less volatile than stocks.

Bond prices will fluctuate, but overall these investments are more stable, compared to other investments. “Bonds can bring stability, in part because their market prices have been more stable than stocks over long time periods,” says Alvarado.

Why have bond funds dropped so much? ›

Rising interest rates crushed bond funds, sending the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate bond index down a record 13%. Stocks fell, too, stinging investors who had expected bonds to cushion their portfolio during market turbulence.

Can you lose money on Treasury bonds if held to maturity? ›

If you don't have to sell those bonds, and you can just hold them to maturity, you won't risk a loss of principal. You will get paid back as you normally would and you will receive your interest. Sell at as discount. The other option is that Treasuries can be sold at a discount.

Why shouldn't you invest all your money in bonds? ›

The initial yield is only good for the first six months you own the bond. After that, the investment acts like any other variable vehicle, meaning rates could go down and you have no control over it.

Are bonds safer than stocks? ›

Given the numerous reasons a company's business can decline, stocks are typically riskier than bonds. However, with that higher risk can come higher returns. The market's average annual return is about 10%, not accounting for inflation.

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