What's the best way to size your trades? (2024)

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1

Why trade size matters

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2

Fixed percentage method

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3

Fixed dollar method

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Kelly criterion method

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5

Risk-to-reward method

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6

Here’s what else to consider

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Trading is not only about finding the right entry and exit points, but also about managing your risk and capital. One of the most important decisions you have to make as a trader is how much to invest in each trade, or in other words, how to size your trades. In this article, we will explore some of the best methods and principles to help you determine the optimal trade size for your strategy, goals, and risk tolerance.

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1 Why trade size matters

The size of your trades affects your potential profits and losses, as well as your exposure to market fluctuations and volatility. If you trade too small, you may miss out on significant opportunities and limit your growth potential. If you trade too large, you may risk losing more than you can afford and damage your trading psychology. Therefore, finding the right balance between risk and reward is essential for long-term success and consistency.

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2 Fixed percentage method

One of the most common and simple ways to size your trades is to use a fixed percentage of your account balance or equity. For example, you may decide to risk 1% or 2% of your account on each trade, regardless of the market conditions or the trade setup. This method ensures that you keep your risk proportional to your capital and that you do not overtrade or undertrade. However, this method also has some drawbacks, such as reducing your trade size during a drawdown and increasing it during a winning streak, which may affect your performance and emotions.

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3 Fixed dollar method

Another way to size your trades is to use a fixed dollar amount per trade, regardless of your account size or the trade parameters. For example, you may decide to risk $100 or $200 on each trade, no matter what. This method allows you to maintain a consistent trade size and avoid the effects of compounding or depleting your capital. However, this method also has some disadvantages, such as not adjusting your risk to your account growth or decline, and not taking into account the volatility or the stop loss of each trade.

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4 Kelly criterion method

A more advanced and mathematical way to size your trades is to use the Kelly criterion, which is a formula that calculates the optimal trade size based on your expected return and win rate. The Kelly criterion aims to maximize your long-term growth rate and minimize your risk of ruin. The formula is: K = W - (1 - W) / R where K is the optimal trade size as a percentage of your capital, W is your win rate as a decimal, and R is your reward-to-risk ratio. For example, if you have a 50% win rate and a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio, the Kelly criterion suggests that you should risk 25% of your capital on each trade. However, this method also has some limitations, such as being sensitive to errors in estimating your win rate and reward-to-risk ratio, and being too aggressive for most traders.

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5 Risk-to-reward method

The risk-to-reward method is a practical and flexible way to size your trades, based on the potential profit and loss of each trade relative to your account size. This method allows you to adjust your position size according to the quality and probability of each trade, as well as your risk appetite and trading style. It involves identifying entry, exit, and stop loss levels for each trade, calculating potential profit and loss in dollars and as a percentage of your account, comparing potential profit and loss to desired risk-to-reward ratio, and adjusting position size accordingly. For example, if you have a $10,000 account with a 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio, you can buy a stock at $50 with a stop loss at $48 and a target at $56. Your potential profit is $6 per share and your potential loss is $2 per share. Your actual risk-to-reward ratio is 3:1 which matches your desired ratio. Your position size is 100 shares, which equals $5,000 or 50% of your account. This method enables you to tailor your trade size to each trade and align your risk and reward with expectations and goals.

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6 Here’s what else to consider

This is a space to share examples, stories, or insights that don’t fit into any of the previous sections. What else would you like to add?

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Technical Analysis What's the best way to size your trades? (5)

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What's the best way to size your trades? (2024)

FAQs

What's the best way to size your trades? ›

To determine the correct position size, you must know two things: (1) where you're placing your stop; and (2) the percentage or dollar amount of your account that you are willing to risk on the trade. First up is where you'll place your stop-loss order for the trade. Stops should not be set at random levels.

What is the 3 5 7 rule in trading? ›

The 3-5-7 rule is a simple approach to managing your trades. Here's how it works: as your trade gains value, you take profits at three different levels—3%, 5%, and 7%. This method helps you lock in profits gradually, instead of waiting and hoping for a bigger win that might never come.

What is the 3 30 rule in trading? ›

The 3-30 rule in the stock market suggests that a stock's price tends to move in cycles, with the first 3 days after a major event often showing the most significant price change. Then, there's usually a period of around 30 days where the stock's price stabilizes or corrects before potentially starting a new cycle.

What is the best way to scale out of a trade? ›

Selling incrementally: In this method, you sell a percentage of your position at specific price levels. For example, you may plan to sell 25% of your holdings if the stock price rises by 10%, another 25% if the price rises by 20%, and so on. This helps reduce the risk of missing the market's high.

What is the best ratio for trading? ›

In many cases, market strategists find the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments to be approximately 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Investors can manage risk/reward more directly through the use of stop-loss orders and derivatives such as put options.

What is 90% rule in trading? ›

According to this rule, 90% of novice traders will experience significant losses within their first 90 days of trading, ultimately wiping out 90% of their initial capital.

What is the 80 20 rule in trading? ›

In investing, the 80-20 rule generally holds that 20% of the holdings in a portfolio are responsible for 80% of the portfolio's growth. On the flip side, 20% of a portfolio's holdings could be responsible for 80% of its losses.

What is the 1 2 3 trading method? ›

The 123 setup consists of three pivot points. The confirmation of the 123 reversal pattern lays at Pivot Point 2. The target when trading a 123 formation is at a distance equal to the size of the pattern, applied beyond Pivot Point 2. Your stop loss should go beyond Pivot Point 3.

How to trade without losing? ›

The secret of limiting losses lies in the triad Position sizing – Leverage – Stop Loss. It is good to have more money on an account when you start trading: if you have $1000 on your account and lose $10, psychologically it affects you much less than if you had $50 initially.

How do you trade smartly? ›

  1. 1: Always Use a Trading Plan.
  2. 2: Treat It Like a Business.
  3. 3: Use Technology.
  4. 4: Protect Your Capital.
  5. 5: Study the Markets.
  6. 6: Risk What You Can Afford.
  7. 7: Develop a Methodology.
  8. 8: Always Use a Stop Loss.

What is the 1% rule in trading? ›

The 1% risk rule means not risking more than 1% of account capital on a single trade. It doesn't mean only putting 1% of your capital into a trade. Put as much capital as you wish, but if the trade is losing more than 1% of your total capital, close the position.

What is the 5 3 1 rule in trading? ›

Advantages and risks of the 5-3-1 strategy

The principles of choosing five currency pairs, developing three trading strategies, and selecting one specific time of day offer a structured approach, reducing ambiguity and enhancing decision-making.

What is the golden ratio for stock trading? ›

What is the Fibonacci sequence? The golden ratio of 1.618 – the magic number – gets translated into three percentages: 23.6%, 38.2% and 61.8%. These are the three most popular percentages, although some traders will also look at the 50% and 76.4% levels.

What is the 357 strategy in trading? ›

The strategy is very simple: count how many days, hours, or bars a run-up or a sell-off has transpired. Then on the third, fifth, or seventh bar, look for a bounce in the opposite direction. Too easy? Perhaps, but it's uncanny how often it happens.

What is the 3 5 7 rule? ›

And that's where the “3-5-7 Rule” comes into play, which essentially means styling with odd numbers to create an asymmetric but still visually pleasing arrangement of things. Maybe you've heard groupings of three can be more visually pleasing to the eye and memorable than perfectly symmetric arrangements.

What is the 70 30 rule in trading? ›

The 70/30 RSI trading strategy has two threshold levels

The RSI, which has a range from 0 to 100, is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market. The 70/30 RSI strategy involves setting two threshold levels on the RSI indicator: 70 for overbought conditions and 30 for oversold conditions.

What is the 60 40 rule in trading? ›

Futures, forex, and options

Section 1256 contracts get special tax treatment of 60/40. This means that positions held for any amount of time will receive 60% long-term capital gains treatment and 40% short-term capital gains treatment.

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