What is the #1 Downside Risk for New Real Estate Investors? | Maverick Investor Group (2024)

If we could give one piece of advice to new investors, what would it be?

We recently spoke with one of our clients who has been part of the Maverick community since 2010. We have been helping him build his portfolio of turnkey rental properties across multiple markets and he has done very well over the years. In this conversation, we asked him about his biggest real estate investing mistake over the years and specifically we asked him the question above: what’s ONE piece of advice for newbies?

What is the #1 Downside Risk for New Real Estate Investors? | Maverick Investor Group (1)

Our client said that his single largest mistake and regret was...

… NOT buying more properties a decade ago.

He had the means to buy more but only bought 2. He regrets his hesitation to this day because he has subsequently seen home price appreciation soar, property values double, and the historically unique price-to-rent ratios that he locked in have continued to, as he puts it, “print money” for him every month since.

He could have bought 4 or 6 properties instead of 2. He knew it was a great deal at the time, but he hesitated, and now that buying opportunity is gone forever. He can still buy properties in other markets of course, but not at those price-to-rent ratios.

This got us thinking. We regularly see new or prospective real estate investors hesitate and ultimately choose not to buy or at least to delay because they are afraid that they don’t know how to effectively mitigate risk when buying renal property, or they are not sure if it is the perfect investment property, and they suffer from the 'paralysis of analysis'.

...But the reality is that People’s hesitation to buy rental property is often what costs them the most money.

A brief review of optimal market conditions

While it is definitely prudent to study up on how to mitigate risk when buying rental property, what is often left out of this discussion is the substantial financial downside of failing or hesitating to buy rental property in optimal market conditions.

One of the value propositions of Maverick Investor Group is that we help our clients buy int he right markets at the right time…

  • In 2010: Maverick helped our clients buy in Phoenix, AZ and those clients saw home prices soar over 30% by 2012 according to Bloomsburg News.
  • In 2011: We brought our clients into Atlanta, and our clients who bought property there saw home prices increase by over 20% between April 2012 and April 2013, the greatest annual increase in Atlanta home prices since the Case-Shiller Home Price Index began tracking them over 20 years earlier.
  • In 2012: We brought our clients into the Chicago market and in the 3-month period of May-July of 2013 alone, Chicago home prices increased over 10%, which was more than any other market tracked by the Case-Shiller Index during that period.
  • In 2013: We brought our clients into the Dallas, TX market which, in 2013, led the nation in both job growth and population growth. Our clients saw home prices increase over 10% in 2013.

    This continued in similar fashion for the next decade+ as we helped our clients continually buy in the most investor-advantaged U.S. real estate markets, and to diversify across markets as the local property cycles shifted.

There is a classic saying: Millionaires make million-dollar decisions....

Lest this be written off as a fluffy platitude, let’s look at how investor tycoon and billionaire Warren Buffett invests.

Whether Warren Buffett is buying real estate, businesses, or anything else, he does his due diligence to make sure the investments are fundamentally solid and he always buys at the right time, for the right price. And these conditions are all created by the right circ*mstances, which are constantly changing. In other words, he knows exactly when to pull the trigger, and if he were to hesitate and wait, the opportunity would disappear or at least become less advantageous. So, the people who win big are the people who can identify a unique value proposition and pull the trigger right away.

What is the #1 Downside Risk for New Real Estate Investors? | Maverick Investor Group (2)

More Advice for New Real Estate Investors

Perfectionism is Particularly Expensive

Don’t try to be a perfectionist when investing in real estate. You are rarely going to secure the 'magic property' while timing the market perfectly. Nobody has a crystal ball so you will never know when the market is exactly at the bottom to buy or exactly at the top to sell. If you are waiting for assurance that it is the ‘perfect’ time, that assurance will never come and you will miss the boat. Just because a market has gone up a bit and is moving along in its expansion cycle doesn’t mean it is too late to buy. And just because it has not gone up very much doesn’t mean it is too early to buy.

The #1 Misunderstanding about "Timing Markets"

While it is strategic to buy in the path of growth and it is certainly important to understand where a local market is in its property cycle and how much upside potential remains, these are all secondary factors for making a smart buying decision. You never want to rely on home price appreciation in order to have a profitable investment outcome in real estate. That is called speculating and it is a losing proposition. Trust me, I learned the hard way. The significantly more important part of "market timing" is understanding where the price-to-rent ratios are, and how the property will perform from day 1 as a cash-flowing asset. This is based on sustainable trends of rental demand, population influx, job growth, etc. If it does go up in value in the short term, that is a bonus but, if it doesn’t, you still have a solid cash flow property producing passive residual income for you every month.

The True Science of Real Estate Investing

The true science of real estate investing comes down to being able to buy and hold cash-flowing rental properties in locations that make sense based on present-day fundamentals and current trends. While most people are out there speculating on home price appreciation and how much their property might be worth in the future, our clients are making their money when they buy. This is because what they are really purchasing first and foremost is a cash-flowing asset, a stream of passive residual income, a goose that lays golden eggs. All of those market appreciation stats you saw listed above were just icing on the cake.

Conclusion

Real estate market conditions are always changing, constantly (that’s true in real estate or any other investment market), and the people who win are the people who see a unique value proposition, act on it immediately, and then hold for the long term. As the old adage goes: “Don’t wait to buy real estate. Buy real estate and wait”.

Schedule a 1-on-1 Video Consultation with Michael

What is the #1 Downside Risk for New Real Estate Investors? | Maverick Investor Group (3)

Hey, I’m Michael, the Investment Property Specialist at Maverick! I’d love to get to know you personally and understand your real estate investing goals so I can help you to achieve them! On this consult, we can talk about your buying criteria, get all your questions answered, and develop a real estate portfolio building strategy that is right for you.

SCHEDULE A CONSULT

Other Resources You May Like

  • Webinar: How to Quantify and Assess "Risk" When Selecting an Investment Property
  • How Risky Is U.S. Real Estate Investing, Really?
  • Who Should You Trust When Making Real Estate Investment Decisions?
  • Report: How to Avoid the 7 Biggest Mistakes Real Estate Investors are Making in this Boom Cycle

DISCLAIMER:

We are not a tax professionals, this is not tax or legal advice, and tax laws are constantly being changed and revised and may change the day after you read this. So, this is for informational purposes only, and it is your duty to consult with your own tax professional about your individual situation and the most updated applicable laws before attempting to implement any of the content in this post.

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    What is the #1 Downside Risk for New Real Estate Investors? | Maverick Investor Group (2024)

    FAQs

    What is the #1 Downside Risk for New Real Estate Investors? | Maverick Investor Group? ›

    Risk #1 – Economic Uncertainty and Market Volatility

    What is downside risk in real estate? ›

    Downside risk is an estimation of a security's potential loss in value if market conditions precipitate a decline in that security's price. Depending on the measure used, downside risk explains a worst-case scenario for an investment and indicates how much the investor stands to lose.

    What is the biggest risk of real estate investment? ›

    Real estate investing can be lucrative but it's important to understand the risks. Key risks include bad locations, negative cash flows, high vacancies, and problematic tenants.

    What is one negative or risk involved when investing in real estate? ›

    Negative cash flow risk

    The risk of negative cash flow happens when an investor overestimates the property's rental income or underestimates expenses like maintenance, property taxes, insurance, and unexpected repairs. This mismatch can lead to a financial shortfall, affecting the investment's profitability.

    What is one of the disadvantages of real estate investments Quizlet? ›

    Some of the disadvantages of real estate as an investment include: (a) large amounts of capital required, making it difficult for the small investor to purchase income-producing property; (b) the considerable financial risk involved in many types of real estate investment; (c) the relative illiquidity of real estate; ...

    What is the downside risk factor? ›

    Downside risk represents the potential for undesirable events that can devalue an investment. Naturally, investors aim to minimize risks that aren't compensated by higher returns.

    What is an example of a downside risk? ›

    Managing downside risk – the risk of loss in an investment – is critical to help you meet your long-term investment objectives. Downside risk events can include things like the impact of COVID-19 on markets to a change in interest rates. Diversification is key to managing downside risk.

    What's one of the biggest disadvantages of real estate as an investment? ›

    Real estate investments tend to have high transactional costs, especially in legal and brokerage fees. The process of acquiring a new property is also very long and tedious with lots of legal formalities. Another disadvantage of property investments is that they are not easy to liquidate.

    What is the biggest threat to real estate? ›

    Economic uncertainty and market volatility are two of the most significant risks that real estate investors face.

    What is the highest risk for investors? ›

    5 Best High-Risk Investments
    • Initial public offerings (IPOs)
    • Venture capital.
    • Real estate investment trusts (REITs)
    • Foreign currencies.
    • Penny stocks.
    Feb 25, 2024

    What is the biggest risk of owning a rental property? ›

    An extended vacancy is undoubtedly one of the biggest financial risks involved in investing in rental homes since it's essentially lost money. If you can't consistently rent your space, you're still responsible for paying the property's expenses — without generating income to offset the cost.

    What are the downsides of being a real estate agent? ›

    Cons of Being a Real Estate Agent
    • Starting as a Real Estate Agent.
    • Inconsistent Income.
    • Not Being Able to Set a Realistic Work-Life Balance.
    • Fierce Competition in the Real Estate Business.
    • Unrealistic Client Expectations.
    Aug 28, 2023

    What is the capital risk in real estate? ›

    Capital risk is the possible financial (capital) loss an investor can experience when investing in real estate. Investors stand a chance of losing some or even all of their investment capital. Financial risk is always a possibility when investing in real estate, no matter how confident or experienced an investor is.

    Who should not invest in real estate? ›

    • Individuals with unstable financial situations. ...
    • People without capital. ...
    • Those seeking quick and guaranteed returns. ...
    • People who hate debt. ...
    • Those unwilling to commit time and effort to property management. ...
    • People who prefer diversification. ...
    • People who prefer low-risk investments. ...
    • Those not willing to build a large network.

    Which of the following is a risk of investing in real estate? ›

    Liquidity risk is significant in real estate investing because these investments are not as easily sold or exchanged for cash without a significant loss in value. Regulatory risks involve changes in laws, regulations or tax policies that can impact real estate investments.

    What are the pros and cons of investing in real estate vs stocks? ›

    Real estate and stocks have different risks and opportunities. Real estate is not as liquid as stocks and tends to require more money and time. But it does provide a passive income stream and the potential for substantial appreciation.

    How do you protect downside risk options? ›

    Buy put options for protection.

    It's called the strike or exercise price, and if the stock falls below it, you can exercise your put option and essentially sell your stock at the higher price you picked earlier.

    Is downside risk the same as upside potential? ›

    Key Takeaways

    The upside is the potential for an investment to increase in value, as measured in terms of money or percentage. Upside is the opposite of downside, which determines the downward movement of a financial instrument's price. Analysts use fundamental or technical analysis to make predictions about movement.

    How do you calculate downside risk? ›

    We then select negative returns only, as they represent downside deviations, and we square them and sum the squared deviations. The resultant figure is divided by the number of periods under study, then we find the square root of the answer, which gives us the downside risk.

    What is the maximum downside risk? ›

    In financial investment, the maximum downside exposure (MDE) values the maximum downside to an investment portfolio. In other words, it states the most that the portfolio could lose in the event of a catastrophe.

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