What Is Divergence in Technical Analysis and Trading? (2024)

What is Divergence?

Divergence is when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, or is moving contrary to other data. Divergence warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price changing direction.

There is positive and negative divergence. Positive divergence indicates a move higher in the price of the asset is possible. Negative divergencesignals that a move lower in the asset is possible.

  • Divergence can occur between the price of an asset and almost any technical or fundamental indicator or data. Though, divergence is typically used by technical traders when the price is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator.
  • Positive divergence signals price could start moving higher soon. It occurs when the price is moving lower but a technical indicator is moving higher or showing bullish signals.
  • Negative divergence points to lower prices in the future. It occurs when the price is moving higher but a technical indicator is moving lower or showing bearish signals.
  • Divergence isn't to be relied on exclusively, as it doesn't provide timely trade signals. Divergence can last a long time without a price reversal occurring.
  • Divergence is not present for all major price reversals, it is only present on some.

What Does Divergence Tell You

Divergence in technical analysis may signal a major positive or negative price move.A positive divergenceoccurs when the price of an asset makes a new low while an indicator, such as money flow, starts to climb. Conversely, a negative divergence is when the price makes a new high but the indicator being analyzed makes a lower high.

Traders use divergence to assess the underlying momentum in the price of an asset, and for assessing the likelihood of a price reversal. For example, investors can plotoscillators, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), on a price chart. If the stock is rising and making new highs, ideally the RSI is reaching new highs as well. If the stock is making new highs, but the RSI starts making lower highs, this warns the price uptrend may be weakening. This is negative divergence. The trader can then determine if they want to exit the position or set a stop loss in case the price starts to decline.

Positive divergence is the opposite situation. Imagine the price of a stock is making new lows while the RSI makes higher lows with each swing in the stock price. Investors may conclude that the lower lows in the stock price are losing their downward momentum and a trend reversal may soon follow.

Divergence is one of the common uses of many technical indicators, primarily the oscillators.

The Difference Between Divergence and Confirmation

Divergence is when the price and indicator are telling the trader different things. Confirmation is when the indicator and price, or multiple indicators, are telling the trader the same thing. Ideally, traders want confirmation to enter trades and while in trades. If the price is moving up, they want their indicators to signal that the price move is likely to continue.

Limitations of Using Divergence

As is true with all forms of technical analysis, investors should use a combination of indicators and analysis techniques to confirm a trend reversal before acting on divergence alone. Divergence will not be present for all price reversals, therefore, some other form of risk control or analysis needs to be used in conjunction with divergence.

Also, when divergence does occur, it doesn't mean the price will reverse or that a reversal will occur soon. Divergence can last a long time, so acting on it alone could be mean substantial losses if the price doesn't react as expected.

What Is Divergence in Technical Analysis and Trading? (2024)

FAQs

What Is Divergence in Technical Analysis and Trading? ›

Divergence is when the asset price moves in the direction opposite to what a technical indicator indicates. When a stock is diverging, it signals weaker price trends and the beginning of a reversal. The two types of divergence are: Positive: A positive divergence is a sign of higher price movement in the asset.

What does divergence mean in trading? ›

Divergence is when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, or is moving contrary to other data. Divergence warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price changing direction.

How to read divergence indicator? ›

Divergence in an uptrend occurs when price makes a higher high but the indicator does not. In a downtrend, divergence occurs when price makes a lower low, but the indicator does not. When divergence is spotted, there is a higher probability of a price retracement.

What is the best divergence indicator? ›

The best divergence indicators mt4 are MACD, RSI, stochastic, OA. They are user-friendly and simple but provide quite accurate trading signals. You can learn more about stochastic oscillator trading forex in the article Stochastic Oscillator: guide for using indicator in Forex trading.

Is divergence a good strategy? ›

Divergences are a powerful trading concept and the trader who understands how to trade divergences in the right market context with the correct signals can create a robust method and effective way of looking at price.

What is an example of divergence? ›

The water spreading out from the faucet is an example of divergence, and the act of scrubbing is your curl! The divergence of a vector field measures the fluid flow “out of” or “into” a given point. The curl indicates how much the fluid rotates or spins around a point.

What is the rule of divergence in trading? ›

In order for a divergence to exist, the price must have either formed one of the following: Higher high than the previous high. Lower low than the previous low. Double Top.

What is the most powerful divergence? ›

Divergences, whether bullish or bearish in nature, have been classified according to their levels of strength. The strongest divergences are Class A divergences; exhibiting less strength are Class B divergences, and the weakest divergences are Class C.

Which indicator gives highest accuracy? ›

Which indicator has the highest accuracy? The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is often considered one of the most accurate technical indicators. That is because it uses a combination of moving averages to spot potential buy and sell signals.

Which is better MACD or MACD divergence? ›

MACD Divergence

This is often a valid bullish signal when the long-term trend is still positive. Some traders will look for bullish divergences even when the long-term trend is negative because they can signal a change in the trend, although this technique is less reliable.

What is the disadvantage of divergence? ›

One of the main problems with divergence is that it often signals a (possible) reversal but no actual reversal occurs—a false positive. The other problem is that divergence doesn't forecast all reversals. In other words, it predicts too many reversals that don't occur and not enough real price reversals.

How accurate is MACD divergence? ›

While the MACD has many strengths and can help traders spot trend reversals, it is not infallible and struggles, particularly in sideways markets. Since the MACD is based on underlying price points, overbought and oversold signals are not as effective as a pure volume-based oscillator.

How do you master divergence? ›

Learning how to spot swing highs and lows effectively is the key to identifying and spotting divergences. Different indicators can be used for divergence trading such as MACD, Stochastic, and RSI, but what's crucial is for you to choose an indicator that makes the most sense to you.

How do you interpret divergence? ›

Divergence (div) is “flux density”—the amount of flux entering or leaving a point. Think of it as the rate of flux expansion (positive divergence) or flux contraction (negative divergence). If you measure flux in bananas (and c'mon, who doesn't?), a positive divergence means your location is a source of bananas.

What does divergent mean in stock market? ›

Divergence occurs when a financial security's price displays deviation from the indicator you might see on your chart. For example, a specific technical indicator might indicate bullish trading conditions, but the price is falling. Alternatively, the indicator might be showing bearish signals, but the price is rising.

What is convergent vs divergent trading? ›

Traders who employ technical analysis as part of their trading strategies use divergence to read the underlying momentum of an asset. Convergence occurs when the price of an asset, indicator, or index moves in the same direction as a related asset, indicator, or index in technical analysis.

What does a bullish divergence look like? ›

For a positive divergence, traders would look at the lows on the indicator and price action. If the price is making higher lows but the RSI shows lower lows, this is considered a bullish signal. And if the price is making higher highs, while the RSI makes lower highs, this is a negative or bearish signal.

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