What Impacts Bank Account Rates Mid-2024? - NerdWallet (2024)

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Rates on savings accounts and certificates of deposit remain higher than they’ve been for most of the past decade. But what exactly impacts the interest rate of your bank account?

Let’s break down a few factors.

A high Fed rate keeps savings rates up

From March 2022 to July 2023, the Federal Reserve steadily increased its federal funds rate, or Fed rate, from nearly zero to around 5%. The 11 rate increases were the Fed’s attempt at curbing high inflation, which has dropped significantly since that March. The Fed rate itself is the one U.S. banks use to borrow money overnight between each other, and a higher rate also means higher borrowing costs.

Banks and credit unions, in turn, take their cue from Fed rate increases to raise their rates on certain loans, savings accounts and certificates of deposit. Banks often fund new loans and investments using deposits, or the money in customers’ bank accounts. Higher savings rates help attract more customers. From March 2022 to May 2024, national average rates rose from 0.06% to 0.45% for savings accounts and 0.15% to 1.80% for one-year CDs, based on a NerdWallet analysis.

» Learn more: How Fed rate increases affect savings accounts

In 2024, the economy has improved in terms of inflation and unemployment, and the Fed hasn’t seen the need to lower its rate. The last change to the Fed rate was in July 2023, so the high Fed rate has kept yields for savings accounts and CDs high.

Mike Schenk, chief economist at the association America’s Credit Unions, describes depository institutions being caught in a delicate balance: accepting high funding costs by having high deposit rates while also trying not to lose customers by having lower rates than their competitors.

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Online banks compete with higher rates

National average rates don’t tell the full story, though. If you’re an avid saver, you’re probably familiar with high-yield savings accounts and high-yield CDs. These accounts often have rates several times the national average and are mostly available at online banks and online credit unions. These branchless institutions don’t have the overhead costs of brick-and-mortar banks, so they can provide — and compete for — customers with higher rates.

In June 2022, high-yield savings rates at some online banks were around 1% to 1.25% annual percentage yield, and competitive one-year CD rates were hovering around 1.50% to 2% APY, based on NerdWallet data. In June 2024, top savings rates are around 5% APY while some one-year CD rates remain above 5% APY.

To take advantage of rates, compare high-yield savings accounts as a potential place for emergency savings or other short-term money goals. Rates are variable so they can change, but adding regular contributions will boost your savings and help you see the effects of compound interest over time. If you have a portion of savings that can stay untouched for months to years, high-yield CDs can offer competitive, fixed rates that also utilize compound interest.

Other factors that affect rates

The type of bank account matters

Generally speaking, CDs can have the highest yields followed by savings accounts and money market deposit accounts, especially when comparing rates at the same institution.

CDs lock up funds for a fixed term, while savings and money market accounts allow for ongoing access, though they can have a monthly limit on certain withdrawals. The type of account with the most access to funds — a checking account — typically earns minimal, if any, interest. The national average for interest checking has barely budged in the past decade, based on NerdWallet analysis.

Consumers may look beyond banks for higher returns

Banks have an incentive to keep interest rates on various savings accounts low to save on costs, said Daniel Talley, professor of economics and statistics at Dakota State University, in a 2023 interview. But banks also have to be competitive with other opportunities that savers have.

Money market mutual funds are a good example of getting high returns that are relatively safe and accessible as far as investments go, Talley said, though they’re not federally insured like bank accounts are. Money market funds consist of short-term, high-quality investments such as U.S. Treasurys.

Money market funds are an example of an attractive nonbank option for depositors, according to New York Fed researchers. They note that consumers may opt to take more money out of banks, which pressures banks to raise their rates to keep those consumers.

“Credit unions such as ours and banks, we're at the mercy of two things,” says Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “One, the current rate environment, which mirrors roughly Treasuries and that's what we base a lot of our rates on. And then it's competitions. If you can offer higher rates to your members and still make a little bit of money, you're going to do it.”

What Impacts Bank Account Rates Mid-2024? - NerdWallet (7)

​​Economic forecasts can play a role

The only type of bank account with fixed rates is a CD, and typically the longer a CD term, the higher the rate. You ideally get a bigger reward for keeping funds inaccessible for longer. However, since the first half of 2023, CD rates — both national average and high-yield rates — have maintained an inverted yield curve, a phenomenon that originated with bonds such as Treasurys, in which long-term interest rates are lower than short-term interest rates. This type of yield curve can reflect banks’ beliefs that interest rates are headed downward, so they’re adjusting CD rates accordingly.

“Traditionally people say that if the yield curve is inverted, that means a recession. Well, typically that's true, but we're still not in a typical economic environment,” Frick says. “We still have essentially COVID-induced inflation to deal with, and we have an economy which is doing well, so it's very unusual.”

A high rate environment tends to be good news for saving money in bank accounts, but remember that other factors can determine the rate you get.

What Impacts Bank Account Rates Mid-2024? - NerdWallet (2024)

FAQs

What Impacts Bank Account Rates Mid-2024? - NerdWallet? ›

From March 2022 to May 2024, national average rates rose from 0.06% to 0.45% for savings accounts and 0.15% to 1.80% for one-year CDs, based on a NerdWallet analysis. In 2024, the economy has improved in terms of inflation and unemployment, and the Fed hasn't seen the need to lower its rate.

Will bank interest rates go up in 2024? ›

While the federal funds rate climbed steadily in 2022 and 2023, rates have flattened and are expected to fall at some point this year. The CME FedWatch Tool, which measures market expectations for federal funds rate changes, shows that most experts expect rates to sit between 4.50% and 5.25% by December 2024.

Which bank gives 7% interest on savings accounts? ›

As of September 2024, no banks are offering 7% interest rates on savings accounts. Two credit unions offer high-interest checking accounts: Landmark Credit Union Premium Checking with a 7.50% APY and OnPath Credit Union High Yield Checking with a 7.00% APY.

How much money should be in your bank account at all times? ›

The general rule of thumb is to try to have one or two months' of living expenses in it at all times. Some experts recommend adding 30 percent to this number as an extra cushion.

Will my high-yield savings account rates change? ›

High-yield savings account rates are variable and can change at any time. This is true for accounts with any kind of rate — whether it's low or average or high.

How high will CD rates go in 2024? ›

Key takeaways. The national average rate for one-year CD rates will be at 1.15 percent APY by the end of 2024, McBride forecasts, while predicting top-yielding one-year CDs to pay a significantly higher rate of 4.25 percent APY at that time.

What is the interest prediction for 2024? ›

Following the August base rate cut, mortgage rates on fixed rate mortgages have been falling as lenders slashed rates. Many experts are predicting one further base rate cut in 2024 and for interest rates to fall to around 4% by the end of next year.

Is it safe to have more than $250000 in a bank account? ›

The standard deposit insurance coverage limit is $250,000 per depositor, per FDIC-insured bank, per ownership category. Deposits held in different ownership categories are separately insured, up to at least $250,000, even if held at the same bank.

Is it a bad idea to keep a lot of money in a checking account? ›

Keeping too much in your checking account isn't ideal for two reasons: First, such easy access means you might be tempted to spend it. Plus, checking accounts don't earn much interest (if any), so your money won't grow there.

How much is too much cash in savings? ›

How much is too much? The general rule is to have three to six months' worth of living expenses (rent, utilities, food, car payments, etc.)

Can you loose money in a high-yield savings account? ›

As long as you're banking with an FDIC-protected bank, you're not risking losing your money when you deposit it into a high-yield savings account. However, the rate of inflation can be higher than your APY, resulting in a negative real return, or the return after taxes and inflation are taken into account.

How much is too much in high-yield savings account? ›

Gaines reiterates that even most high-yield savings accounts lose value to inflation over time. “More than two months' worth of living expenses in a savings account is too much given the ability to earn around 5% from easily accessible money market accounts that should not fluctuate in price.”

What is the downside of a high-yield savings account? ›

Limited growth. While you can grow your money with a high-yield savings account, it's not the best way to generate long-term wealth for retirement because the yield often doesn't keep up with inflation. As a result, working with a broker or robo-advisor to develop an investment portfolio is better for long-range plans.

What is the interest rate forecast for 2024 2025? ›

Fannie Mae's August 2024 forecast (its latest at the time of writing) predicts that 2025 rates will start at 6.2% and trickle downwards by 0.1% each quarter, landing somewhere near 5.9%.

What is the interest rate forecast for the next 5 years? ›

Projected Interest Rates In The Next Five Years

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

Can you get 6% on a CD? ›

There are two credit unions paying 6% APY on a CD: Financial Partners Credit Union and Geismar Complex Federal Credit Union. You'll have to meet certain eligibility requirements to join each of these credit unions, though. Why do some banks offer much higher CD rates than others?

Will CD rates go up in 2025? ›

It's expected the Federal Reserve will start lowering interest rates in 2024, and it will likely continue in 2025. That means CD rates will start coming down soon. With future interest rates expected to be lower, it's a smart time to lock in a multi-year CD with a nationally competitive rate.

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