Understanding High Yield Bonds | PIMCO (2024)

What makes a bond high yield?

Credit rating agencies evaluate bond issuers and assign ratings. Issuers are rated on their ability to pay interest and principal as scheduled. Those issuers considered to have a greater risk of defaulting on interest or principal repayments are rated below investment grade (see Chart 1). These issuers must therefore pay higher coupons to attract investors to buy their bonds.

Understanding High Yield Bonds | PIMCO (1)

While agency credit ratings define the high yield market, and many investors rely on these ratings in their portfolio guidelines, investors may also conduct independent credit analysis of company fundamentals and other factors to form their own conclusions about a security’s risk of default.

Who issues high yield bonds?

Until the 1980s, high yield bonds were simply the outstanding bonds of “fallen angels” – former investment grade companies that had been downgraded below investment grade. Investment banks, led by Drexel Burnham Lambert, launched the modern high yield market in the 1980s by selling new bonds from companies with below-investment grade ratings, mainly to finance mergers and acquisitions or leveraged buyouts.

The high yield market has since evolved, and today, much high yield debt is used for general corporate purposes, such as financing capital needs or consolidating and paying down bank lines of credit. Mainly focused in the U.S. through the 1980s and 1990s, the high yield sector has since grown significantly around the globe in terms of issuance, outstanding securities and investor interest.

Understanding High Yield Bonds | PIMCO (2)

New high yield issuance can vary greatly from year to year depending on economic and market conditions, typically expanding along with economic growth, when investors’ appetite for risk often increases, and waning in recessions or market environments, when investors are more cautious.

The high yield sector includes both originally-issued high yield bonds and the outstanding bonds of fallen angels, which can have a significant impact on the overall size of the market if large or numerous companies are downgraded to high yield status. Conversely, the sector can shrink when companies are upgraded out of the speculative grade market into the investment grade sector.

Why invest in high yield bonds?

High yield bonds may offer investors a number of potential benefits, coupled with specific risks. Investors can endeavor to manage the risks in high yield bonds by diversifying their holdings across issuers, industries and regions, and by carefully monitoring each issuer’s financial health.

  • Diversification – High yield bonds typically have a low correlation to investment grade fixed income sectors, such as Treasuries and highly rated corporate debt, which means that adding high yield securities to a broad fixed income portfolio may enhance portfolio diversification. Diversification does not insure against loss, but it can help decrease overall portfolio risk and improve the consistency of returns.
  • Enhanced current income – To encourage investment, high yield bonds usually offer significantly greater yields than government bonds and many investment grade corporate bonds. Average yields in the sector vary depending on the economic climate, generally rising during downturns when default risk also rises (high yield companies may be more negatively affected by adverse market conditions than investment grade companies). For example, for much of the 1980s and 1990s, U.S. high yield bonds typically offered 300 to 500 basis points of additional yield relative to U.S. Treasury securities of comparable maturity, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. But following the credit crisis in 2007–2008, the spread between high yield and government bonds was much greater reaching highs of close to 2,000 basis points.
  • Capital appreciation – An economic upturn or improved performance at the issuing company can have a significant impact on the price of a high yield bond. This capital appreciation is an important component of a total return investment approach. Events that can push up the price of a bond include ratings upgrades, improved earnings reports, mergers or acquisitions, management changes, positive product developments or market-related events. Of course, if an issuer’s financial health deteriorates, rating agencies may downgrade the bonds, which can reduce their value.
  • Equity-like, long-term return potential – High yield bonds and equities tend to respond in a similar way to the overall market environment, which can lead to similar return profiles over a full market cycle. However, returns on high yield bonds tend to be less volatile because the income component of the return is typically larger, providing an added measure of stability. In addition, the combination of enhanced yield and the potential for capital appreciation (though less than for equities) means that high yield bonds can offer equity-like total returns over the long term. Also, bondholders have priority over stockholders in a company’s capital structure in the event of bankruptcy or liquidation; high yield bond investors therefore have a greater chance of recovering their investment than equity investors.
  • Relatively low duration – One reason high yield bonds often have relatively low duration is that they tend to have shorter maturities; they are typically issued with terms of 10 years or less and are often callable after four or five years. Generally, high yield bond prices are much more sensitive to the economic outlook and corporate earnings than to day-to-day fluctuations in interest rates. In a rising rate environment, as would be expected in the recovery phase of the economic cycle, high yield bonds would be expected to outperform many other fixed income classes. That said, the high yield sector does not demand great economic times; most issuers may function very well and continue to reliably service their debt in a low growth environment.

Understanding High Yield Bonds | PIMCO (3)

What are the risks?

Compared to investment grade corporate and sovereign bonds, high yield bonds are more volatile with higher default risk among underlying issuers. In times of economic stress, defaults may spike, making the asset class more sensitive to the economic outlook than other sectors of the bond market. High yield bonds share attributes of both fixed income and equities, and can be used as part of a diversified portfolio allocation.

Understanding High Yield Bonds | PIMCO (2024)

FAQs

Is high-yield bond a good investment? ›

High-yield bonds have been one of the best-performing bond investments so far this year, but there may be better entry points down the road. High-yield bonds have been one of the best-performing bond investments this year, but we continue to maintain a neutral view on the asset class.

Why are high yields on bonds bad? ›

Insights. Fixed income securities are subject to interest rate, inflation, credit and default risk. High-yield or "junk" bonds involve a greater risk of default and price volatility and can experience sudden and sharp price swings.

What do high yields mean for bonds? ›

A rising yield often suggests that investors expect stronger economic growth and higher inflation which prompts them to demand higher returns. A declining yield indicates that investors are seeking safety amid economic uncertainty which can be a sign of anticipated economic slowdown or deflation.

Should I buy bonds when yields are high? ›

Because bond prices typically rise when interest rates fall, the best way to earn a high total return from a bond or bond fund is to buy it when interest rates are high but about to come down.

What happens to high-yield bonds in a recession? ›

The big deal with high-yield corporate bonds is that when a recession hits, the companies issuing these are the first to go. However, some companies that don't have an investment-grade rating on their bonds are recession-resistant because they boom at such times.

What happens to high-yield bonds when interest rates fall? ›

The Bottom Line. Interest rates and bond prices have an inverse relationship. When interest rates go up, the prices of bonds go down, and when interest rates go down, the prices of bonds go up.

Should you sell bonds when interest rates rise? ›

Most bond investors are in it for the long haul, meaning for the term of the bond, but there are several good reasons for selling bonds before they mature. They include: Selling bonds because interest rates are about to increase, making your existing bonds less valuable.

Can you lose money investing in bonds? ›

You can lose money on a bond if you sell it before the maturity date for less than you paid or if the issuer defaults on their payments. Before you invest. Often… + read full definition , understand the risks.

Is it a good time to buy bonds in 2024? ›

2024 is 'a good time to hold bonds'

Bond funds tend to lose value when interest rates rise, and when inflation ticks up. “The aggressive nature of those interest rate hikes contributed to the aggressive decline of bond values,” Lee said. Rising interest rates tend to lift rates on new bonds.

What bonds have a 10 percent return? ›

Junk Bonds

Junk bonds are high-yield corporate bonds issued by companies with lower credit ratings. Because of their higher risk of default, they offer higher interest rates, potentially providing returns over 10%. During economic growth periods, the risk of default decreases, making junk bonds particularly attractive.

Is it a good time to buy bonds right now? ›

While it may be a great time to buy, hold, and ladder bonds, the outlook is also bright for investors in funds that manage bonds with an eye to making money as prices rise.

What percentage of a portfolio should be in high-yield bonds? ›

Meketa Investment Group recommends that most diversified long-term pools consider allocating to high yield bonds, and if they do so, between five and ten percent of total assets in favorable markets, and maintaining a toehold investment even in adverse environments to permit rapid re-allocation should valuations shift.

What is the downside of high-yield bonds? ›

What are the risks? Compared to investment grade corporate and sovereign bonds, high yield bonds are more volatile with higher default risk among underlying issuers. In times of economic stress, defaults may spike, making the asset class more sensitive to the economic outlook than other sectors of the bond market.

How to lock in high bond yields? ›

“You're directly buying corporate bonds, and because of that you will lock in the yield on the day you purchase it. So if the combined yield of the bond account is 7% on the day you lock it in, you keep that until maturity,” Abraham told MarketWatch.

What is the best bond to invest in? ›

Top 8 bonds to invest in for the long term
NameTickerYield
iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF(NYSEMKT:LQD)4.3%
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF(NYSEMKT:VTEB)3.5%
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index Fund(NASDAQMUTFUND:VSCSX)5.1%
Guggenheim Total Return Bond Fund(NASDAQMUTFUND:GIBIX)5.1%
4 more rows
Jul 25, 2024

What is the best high-yield of bonds to buy? ›

  • Xtrackers USD High Yield Corp Bd ETF. ...
  • Xtrackers Short Duration High Yld Bd ETF. ...
  • SPDR® Portfolio High Yield Bond ETF. ...
  • BNY Mellon High Yield Beta ETF. ...
  • Xtrackers Low Beta High Yield Bond ETF. ...
  • JPMorgan BetaBuilders $ HY Corp Bnd ETF. ...
  • Goldman Sachs Access Hi Yld Corp Bd ETF. ...
  • iShares ESG Advanced Hi Yld Corp Bd ETF. HYXF | ETF.

Is now a good time for high-yield? ›

If you consider all-in yields attractive, now might be a good time to consider an allocation. We believe now is the time to consider locking in high-yield bond yields before rate cuts take effect. * Where model or simulated results are presented, they have many inherent limitations.

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