Triple Witching: Definition and Impact on Trading in Final Hour (2024)

Triple witching is the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures, and stock index options contracts, all on the same trading day. This happens four times a year: on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The expected expiration date for the three can increase trading volume and cause unusual price changes in the underlying assets.

Key Takeaways

  • Triple witching is the expiration on the same day of stock options, stock index futures, and stock index options contracts.
  • Triple witching occurs quarterly—on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
  • Triple-witching days can cause a spike in trading activity as traders close, roll out, or offset their expiring positions, particularly in the final hour of trading.

Understanding Triple Witching

Triple-witching days generate more trading activity and volatility since contracts allowed to expire cause buying or selling of the underlying security. While some derivative contracts are opened with the intention of trading the underlying security, traders seeking derivative exposure only must close, roll out, or offset their open positions before the close of trading on triple-witching days.

Triple-witching days, particularly the final hour of trading preceding the closing bell (4 p.m. Eastern time), known as the triple-witching hour, can spike trading activity and volatility as traders close, roll out, or offset their expiring positions.

Single-stock futures, last traded in the U.S. in 2020, were typically grouped with stock options, index options, and index futures, giving rise to the term “quadruple witching.” But they never drew nearly as much capital or trading interest as the other types of equities derivatives, most notably stock options.

Offsetting Futures Positions

A futures contract, an agreement to buy or sell an underlying security at a set price on a specified day, mandates that the transaction take place after the expiration of the contract.

For example, one E-mini S&P 500 futures contract is valued at 50 times the value of the index. If the S&P 500 is at 4,000 at expiration, the value of the contract is $200,000, the amount the contract's owner must pay if the contract expires.

To avoid this, the contract owner closes the contract by selling it before the expiration. After closing the expiring contract, exposure to the S&P 500 index can be continued by buying a new contract in a forward month. This is known as “rolling out” a contract. Much of the action surrounding futures and options on triple-witching days is focused on offsetting, closing, or rolling out positions.

On the expiration date, contract owners can decide not to take delivery and instead close their contracts by booking an offsetting trade at the prevailing price, settling the gain or loss from the purchase and sale prices.

Traders may also extend the contract by offsetting the existing trade and simultaneously booking a new option or futures contract to be settled in the future, which is called“rollingthe contract forward.”

Expiring Options

Options that are in the money are similar for those holding expiring contracts. For example, the seller of a covered call option can have the underlying shares called away if the share price closes above the strike price of the expiring option.

In this situation, the option seller can close the position before expiration to continue holding the shares or let the option expire and have the shares called away.

Call options expirein the money, that is, profitable when the underlying security price is higher than the strike price in the contract. Put options are in the money when the stock or index is priced below the strike price. In both situations, the expiration of in-the-money options causes automatic transactions between the buyers and sellers of the contracts. As a result, triple-witching dates are when there's an increase in these transactions.

Triple Witching and Arbitrage

Though much of the trading in closing, opening, and offsetting futures and options contracts during triple-witching days is related to squaring positions, the surge of activity can also produce price inefficiencies, which can draw in short-term arbitrageurs—those who seek to profit from them.

These opportunities might be catalysts for heavy volume going into the close on triple-witching days as traders look to profit on small price imbalances with large round-trip trades completed in seconds.

Despite the overall increase in trading volume, triple-witching days do not necessarily lead to highvolatility.

An Example of Triple Witching

Friday, March 15, 2019, was the first triple-witching day of 2019. Trading volume leading up to this third Friday of the month had increased market activity. Trading volume March 15, 2019, on U.S. market exchanges was10.8 billion shares, compared with an average of 7.5 billion average the previous 20 trading days.

For the week leading into the triple-witching Friday, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) were up 2.9%, 3.8%, and 1.6%, respectively. However, it seems much of the gains happened before the triple-witching Friday because the S&P 500 and DJIA increased only 0.50% and 0.54%, respectively, that day.

Triple-Witching Dates

Triple witching happens four times a year (or once a quarter) on the third Fridays of March, June, September, and December.

2023

  • March 17
  • June 16
  • Sept. 15
  • Dec. 15

2024

  • March 15
  • June 21
  • Sept. 20
  • Dec. 20

2025

  • March 21
  • June 20
  • Sept. 19
  • Dec. 19

2026

  • March 20
  • June 19
  • Sept. 18
  • Dec. 18

Frequently Asked Questions

What Is Witching and Why Is It Triple?

In folklore, the witching hour is when evil things may be afoot. Derivatives traders have colloquially applied this to the hour of contract expiration, frequently on a Friday at the close of trading. It's triple for the three types of contracts expiring simultaneously: listed index options, single-stock options, and index futures.

Can Triple Witching Impact Stocks Beyond Broad Market Volatility?

Triple witching can influence individual stocks such as those with large options or futures contracts set to expire. As traders adjust or close their positions, there can be unusual movement in the stock’s price and volume. This is usually more pronounced in stocks with smaller market caps or those that trade heavily in the derivatives market. Caution is in order at this time since these price changes don't often reflect shifts in the underlying company's fundamentals.

Are There Strategies Traders Can Use For Triple-Witching Dates?

One strategy is to look for arbitrage opportunities from price discrepancies between the stock market and derivative markets. Also, some traders might take up a straddle strategy, holding both a put and a call option with the same strike price and expiration date, to try to profit from large price swings in either direction. However, these strategies have risks and are not recommended for less experienced traders.

What Are Some Price Abnormalities Seen on Triple-Witching Dates?

An interesting phenomenon is that often the price of a security may artificially tend toward a strike price with large open interest asgamma hedgingtakes place. Gamma hedging works to minimize the risk associated with changes in delta, providing a more stable options portfolio. Changes in delta, in turn, are most simply defined as the change in an option's price sensitivity to any changes in the underlying asset's price. The gamma hedging can lead the price to“pin” the strikeat expiration. Pinning the strike, when an underlying security's market price closes very near the strike price of heavily traded options, can bring "pin risk" for options traders uncertain whether to exercisethe long options that have expired in the money or are very close to it. This is because they are also unsure how many of their similar short positions will beassigned.

The Bottom Line

Triple witching refers to the third Friday of March, June, September, and December when three kinds of securities—stock market index futures, stock market index options, and stock options—expire on the same day. Derivatives traders pay close attention on these dates, given the potential for increased volume and volatility in the markets.

Triple Witching: Definition and Impact on Trading in Final Hour (2024)

FAQs

Triple Witching: Definition and Impact on Trading in Final Hour? ›

The witching hour is the final hour of trading before the expiration of derivatives contracts. More often, traders will use terms such as “triple witching,” which is the expiration of stock options, index options, and index futures on the same day.

How does triple witching affect the stock market? ›

Triple witching days can lead to higher volume and volatility. Traders shouldn't put too much stock in intraday swings, for this reason. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, was up 1.5% to 13.48. The Dow was up 26 points, or 0.1%.

Is Triple Witching Day bullish or bearish? ›

Is triple witching bullish or bearish? Triple witching is neither inherently bullish nor bearish. Rather, it can lead to increased market volatility due to the simultaneous expiration of stock index futures, stock index options, and stock options.

How to benefit from triple witching? ›

Options expiring on triple witching

If your option is in the money (ITM), you'll likely want to exercise it – buying or selling the underlying shares or index. Alternatively, if the option was out of the money (OTM) at expiry, you might consider letting the contract expire worthless.

Why is triple witching important? ›

This convergence of multiple expirations can lead to increased trading activity and volatility in the financial markets. As a result of increased market volatility, triple witching events can sometimes create opportunities for vigilant investors and traders.

Why does trading volume spike at the end of the day? ›

Volume tends to pick back up at the end of the day, as institutional investors look to close out positions or enter new ones.

What are the dangers of market timing? ›

What Is Timing Risk? Timing risk is the speculation that an investor enters into when trying to buy or sell a stock based on future price predictions. Timing risk explains the potential for missing out on beneficial movements in price due to an error in timing.

How long does triple witching last? ›

Triple witching hour is the last hour of the stock market trading session (3:00-4:00 P.M., New York City local Time) on the third Friday of every March, June, September, and December.

What is the witching hour in trading? ›

What Is the Witching Hour? The witching hour is the last hour of trading on the third Friday of each month when options and futures on stocks and stock indexes expire. This time is when there are likely heavier trading volumes as traders close out options and futures contracts before expiration.

What is the best bullish bearish indicator? ›

During a bullish market, when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it is a bullish signal, indicating that the uptrend is gaining momentum. This can be an entry point for long positions. On the other hand, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it is a bearish signal.

How to help with witching hour? ›

Tips to get through the witching hour with a fussy baby
  1. Offer a pacifier. Give the bottle or breast a break and see if a pacifier does the trick. ...
  2. Add some movement. ...
  3. Head outside. ...
  4. Try a swaddle. ...
  5. Seek out darkness. ...
  6. Give a massage. ...
  7. Check your diet. ...
  8. Take a break.
Nov 15, 2022

What is the last hour of trading? ›

After-hours trading takes place after the markets have closed. Post-market trading usually occurs from 4 p.m. to 8 p.m. Eastern time (ET), while the pre-market trading session ends at 9:30 a.m. ET.

What is Quad vs triple witching? ›

Quadruple Witching. The terms "triple witching" and "quadruple witching" are often used to describe occasions on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. For about 20 years, they had one difference, but since 2020, they have referred to the same event.

How does quadruple witching affect the market? ›

Every third Friday in March, June, September, and December marks the simultaneous expiration of futures and options on indices and stocks. If this moment is known as the quadruple witching hour, is because the expiration of contracts has historically affected the price of underlying assets (indices and stocks).

What is the purpose of witching hour? ›

witching hour, in folklore, the time at night when the powers of witches and other supernatural beings are believed to be strongest, usually occurring at midnight or 3:00 am.

What time do options expire? ›

Summary. The expiration time is when the options contract becomes void and no longer carries any value. Usually, the last day of trading is the third Friday of the month. However, the actual expiration time is the following Saturday at 11:59 a.m. EST.

What is the three day rule in stock market? ›

The 3-Day Rule in stock trading refers to the settlement rule that requires the finalization of a transaction within three business days after the trade date. This rule impacts how payments and orders are processed, requiring traders to have funds or credit in their accounts to cover purchases by the settlement date.

What are 3 sort of events that impact the stock market? ›

The political situation, negotiations between countries or companies, product breakthroughs, mergers and acquisitions, and other unforeseen events can impact stocks and the stock market.

What is the lottery effect in the stock market? ›

In recent years, the finance literature has widely studied the anomalies connected with lottery stocks – stocks that have a probability of a large payoff, but this probability is small, or in other words, the lottery stocks have high skewness.

What is quadruple witching in the stock market? ›

Quadruple witching is an event in financial markets when four different sets of futures and options expire on the same day. Futures and options are derivatives, linked to underlying stock prices. When derivatives expire, traders must close or adjust positions. That can trigger significant volume and order flow.

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