They purchased homes right before the real estate downturn. Now, they're struggling to close (2024)

They purchased homes right before the real estate downturn. Now, they're struggling to close (1)

A group of Ontario residents who purchased pre-construction homes in Brampton at the peak of the recent real estate frenzy say they're now struggling to close on their deals because of a perfect storm of rising interest rates, falling home prices and stricter federal mortgage rules.

CBC News spoke to eight people who bought homes at the Paradise Developments Valley Oak community in late 2021 or early 2022.They all said they're having trouble gettingfinancing due to thesudden real estate downturnbrought on primarily by the Bank of Canada raisinginterest ratesin an effort to tame inflation, which has sent mortgage rates skyrocketingand home values plunging.

The buyers, who are mostly from the Punjabi community, say they want to honour their commitments, but with interest rates so high,many no longer qualify for mortgages.

Thosethat do qualify are being offered hundreds of thousands of dollars less than the amounts they're on the hook forbecause appraisal values have fallen dramatically over the past 10 months. Existing mortgage rates would mean unaffordable payments, they say.

Meanwhile, buyers who planned to sell their existing homes are finding fewinterested buyers as home sales decline across the country.

'We haven't slept,' buyer says

First-time homebuyerGurcharan Rehal agreed in October 2021 to pay $1.959 million, plus $90,000 in upgrades, for a single-detached home that would house himself, his wife, their two children and his mother.

"We thought, if we live hand-to-mouth, we can still afford it," Rehal, an Uber driver who also earns income as a property manager and from a business in India, told CBC News.

But with his closing date approaching next month, he's so far been unable to secure a mortgage.

An appraisal recentlyestimated the home's value at $1.7 million—more than $300,000 less than what he agreed to pay for it.On top of that, he saysthe mortgage rate he was pre-approved for would have required monthly payments of between $5,500 and $6,000,but nowhe'sbeing quoted amounts between $12,000 and $15,000 per month.

Coming up with hundreds of thousands of dollars to cover the difference upon closing— in addition to the $260,000 down payment he's already made— and making exorbitant monthly payments issomething his family simply can't afford.

"Me and my wife, I think we haven't slept for [the] last three months," said Rehal."Our kids, they can see the stress on me and my wife's face."

WATCH | What rising mortgage rates mean for homeowners:

Buyers want closing dates extended

The buyers CBC spoke to say there are around 100 people in the same situation at the development. They provided a contact list showing approximately 60 households.

"We are not able to eat, we are not able to rest," said PoornimaMalisetty, who purchased a detached home in the Paradise Valley Oak community with an in-law suite for $1.9 million that's now being appraised at $1.6 million.

"Even if we win a lottery, we will not be able to close."

The buyers are askingParadise to extend their closing datesor reducetheir purchase prices, and have protested outside the developer's sales office.

In a statement, Paradise Developments said it works collaboratively with purchasers throughout the purchase, construction and closing period.

"Paradise Developments makes business decisions, enters into contracts with suppliers, hires employees and commits to the contracting of numerous building trades based on agreements we have signed," the statement said.

"Whenever purchasers raise individual issues with us, we look to address them in accordance with our policies and the terms of our joint agreement of purchase and sale.Based on having finalized and completed these agreements, construction is now advancing on the homes in this community, and we look forward to completion."

Rehal saysParadise has offered some buyers a three month extension on the closing date in exchange for more money on their deposit, but with the future of interest rates uncertain, he's not sure if he'll take them up on it. They and the other buyers are stillcommunicating individually with Paradise and hoping the builder will extend their closing dates or reduce the prices.

They purchased homes right before the real estate downturn. Now, they're struggling to close (2)

Pre-construction a risky gambit, real estate broker says

John Pasalis, presidentof residential real estate brokerage RealosophyRealty, said the situation highlights the risks of buying pre-construction in a hot housing market.

"They're not buying a home. They're signing up on a contract that obligates them to buy a home in the future at some pre-determined price," said Pasalis.

"If, between the time you sign on that dotted line and the time you're about to take the keys, prices have declined, well, you're on the hook for that difference."

Buyers who wantto break their contracts risk losing their deposits.But if those buyers walk away, builders could also sue them in an effort to recover the difference between the original purchase price and the price they end up selling the home for.

That's something Paradise might do in this case.CBC viewed an email sent to one homebuyerwhere a lawyer for Paradise threatened legal action to recoup "all costs, loss and damages it may suffer as a result of your client's failure to complete this transaction."

They purchased homes right before the real estate downturn. Now, they're struggling to close (3)

Wrong home at the wrong time

The Bank of Canada began incrementally raisingits trend-setting interest rate in March when it was at 0.25 per cent. It's now at 4.25 per cent.

Home prices in the Toronto region, whichhad been rising steadily since 2018, have cratered since then, as have new sales.

The average sale price of a detached home in Brampton went from $1,608,894 at its peak in February to $1,197,119 in November, a decrease of more than $400,000, or 25.5 per cent, according to data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB). The number of detached home sales in the city dropped to142 from 460 in the same period.

Variable mortgage rates, meanwhile, that were around 1.45 per cent one year ago have increased to around5.45 per cent, according to Ron Butler, founder of Butler Mortgage. Five-year fixed rate mortgage rates have increasedfrom 2.89 per centa year agoto around 5.49 per cent today, Butler told CBC in an email.

Compounding the problem is the federal mortgagestress test, which requires buyers to be able to show the ability to pay mortgage payments of 5.25 per centor twoper centabove their approved rate, whichever is higher. Most buyerswere stress tested at 5.25 per centlast year when interest rates were low, but nowthey'rebeing tested above sevenper cent.

"If you,by no fault of your own, got unlucky with your timing you can certainly be in a strained situation," said James Laird, co-CEO of Ratehub.ca and president of mortgage lender CanWise.

LISTEN | Is Ontario's new housing legislation what's needed?:

Condo buyers are facing similar issuesand developers are also feeling the pinch of a challenging market.

Kevin Lee, CEO of the Canadian Home Builders Association, said inflation has raised construction and labour costs, whilehigher interest rates have raised the cost of financing projects.Lee said developers have very little flexibility when it comes to recouping their costs.

"When it's coming time to close onpurchases, it's not like there's a whole bunch of wiggle roomon the builder-developer side of things," Lee said. "Otherwise, they'rein a situation of taking big losses."

Laird and Lee say the market could stabilize sometime next year after the Bank of Canada hinted last week it may be finished with rate hikes.

That would be the best scenario for the Paradise buyers, but it could be a case oftoo little, too late.

"Emotionally and financially, this gonna disturb my whole life," said Rehal,who's now unsure if he'll everbe able to buy a house in Canada.

They purchased homes right before the real estate downturn. Now, they're struggling to close (2024)

FAQs

What happens if the housing market crashes after I buy a house? ›

A housing market crash often leads to an increase in foreclosure activity. Homeowners who experience financial hardships may struggle to make mortgage payments, resulting in foreclosures. Foreclosures can negatively impact neighborhoods, causing a decline in property values and an increase in vacant homes.

Will a recession lower home prices? ›

Best Real Estate Market

A recession can impact the housing market in several ways. Typically, buyer demand weakens due to economic uncertainty, potentially leading to price drops or mortgage rates typically drop.

Has home buying slowed down? ›

California Association of Realtors' latest report reveals single-family home sales across the state stayed flat for December 2023, while being down 7.1% from Dec 2022. The statewide median price for houses fell . 3% from November, yet is still up 4.3% from 12 months ago.

What is it called when you buy a house and fix it up and sell it? ›

Flipping is a real estate investment strategy where an investor purchases a property with the intention of selling it for a profit rather than using it. Investors who flip properties concentrate on the purchase and subsequent resale of one or a group of properties.

Is it better to buy a house before or after a housing market crash? ›

Recessions put many people in difficult financial circ*mstances, meaning they are less able to afford a new home and more likely to wait it out until conditions improve. This decreased demand means less competition for homes on the market, which in turn means sellers who are more open to lowering their prices.

What happens if I buy a house and the market goes down? ›

The more money you put down on a home, the more equity you'll have from the get-go, which can protect you from market dips. If you take out a loan with little or no money down and the market drops soon after you purchase, you'll almost immediately have negative equity because you didn't have much, if any, in it before.

Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

Cash. Cash is an important asset when it comes to a recession. After all, if you do end up in a situation where you need to pull from your assets, it helps to have a dedicated emergency fund to fall back on, especially if you experience a layoff.

How much did house prices drop in the recession in 2008? ›

For the whole year of 2008, NAR reported that the median existing-home price dropped by 9.5% to $197,100, compared to $217,900 in 2007. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices: Home prices fell by 18.2% in November 2008 compared to November 2007 in 20 major metropolitan areas.

Will housing be cheaper if the market crashes? ›

During a housing market crash, the value of a home decreases. You will find sellers that are eager to reduce their asking prices. Sellers may be more motivated to bargain on price or make concessions to buyers.

Is now the worst time ever to buy a house? ›

Just 21% say it's a good time to buy a house, according to a Gallup survey released Thursday. That is tied with last year for the worst reading in Gallup history. An overwhelming majority of Americans — 76% — say it's a bad time to buy a house. That's just below the record of 78% set a year ago.

Why is it bad to buy a house right now? ›

Because mortgage rates are so high, many homeowners are unwilling to move, shrinking the supply of houses on the market. The Kiplinger housing forecasting team believes that inventory of homes for sale will continue to stay low in the near future, pushing home prices higher against the demand.

Will 2024 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Most experts do not expect a housing market crash in 2024 since many homeowners have built up significant home equity. The issue is primarily an affordability crisis. High interest rates and inflated home values have made purchasing a home challenging for first-time homebuyers.

Why does no one want a fixer upper right now? ›

Veronica Dagher: Well, one of the reasons is they just don't want to hire a contractor. It's a lot of work to do that, and it's hard to find them these days, but the big factor here is high mortgage rates. So, buyers are already spending a ton of money to get that mortgage.

What is the 70% rule in house flipping? ›

The 70% rule can help flippers when they're scouring real estate listings for potential investment opportunities. Basically, the rule says real estate investors should pay no more than 70% of a property's after-repair value (ARV) minus the cost of the repairs necessary to renovate the home.

Why is house flipping illegal? ›

The lender finds out the truth about the property's value and can't possibly recoup its money. Simply put, this type of “flipping” is a crime because it violates California's fraud laws. In fact, it is sometimes referred to as mortgage fraud or loan fraud.

What happens to your mortgage if the economy collapses? ›

What Happens To Your Mortgage Rates & Payments? If you have a fixed-rate mortgage , then your monthly payments will remain the same, which can be beneficial in a high-inflation environment. However, if you have an adjustable-rate mortgage, expect your payments to increase.

Should I sell before the housing market crashes? ›

You'll Buy the Your Next Home with Cash

If you intend to purchase your next home with cash, selling and buying during a recession can be a good idea. Though mortgage interest rates are typically higher before a recession you will not need to pay that higher rate because you are buying with cash.

What is a reverse housing crash? ›

A "reverse housing crash" typically refers to a scenario in which housing prices rise dramatically or experience a significant positive deviation from expected trends.

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