The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (2024)

A shopper pays with cash back in 2000 in Austin, Texas. Such transactions are less and less common and are likely to become more so if the Federal Reserve adopts a digital version of the dollar. Joe Raedle/Getty Images hide caption

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Joe Raedle/Getty Images

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (2)

A shopper pays with cash back in 2000 in Austin, Texas. Such transactions are less and less common and are likely to become more so if the Federal Reserve adopts a digital version of the dollar.

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Since its establishment as the country's national currency, the dollar has undergone many updates and changes, but nothing compares to the proposal being debated today.

The U.S. is gingerly considering whether to adopt a digital version of its currency, one better suited for today's increasingly cashless world, ushering in what could be one of the dollar's most fundamental transformations.

In that scenario, the U.S. would not only mint the coins and print paper bills but also issue digital cash, or a central bank digital currency (CBDC), that would be stored in apps or "digital wallets" on our smartphones.

We could then use them to pay for things, just like we do with Venmo or Apple Pay, and no physical money would change hands.

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It's a vision of a cashless future that other countries are already embracing. China, for example, has unveiled the digital yuan on a trial basis. India this week said it would create a digital rupee.

Now the U.S. is weighing whether it wants to get into the game.

Last month, the Federal Reserve released a much-anticipated paper, laying out the advantages and disadvantages of a digital currency.

The Fed says it's a first step, meant to kick-start an important conversation among policymakers and to gather feedback from average people to some of the country's largest financial institutions.

Here's what to know about the digital dollar.

Digital payment systems like Apple Pay, shown here, and Venmo are becoming increasingly popular. Jenny Kane/AP hide caption

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Jenny Kane/AP

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (5)

Digital payment systems like Apple Pay, shown here, and Venmo are becoming increasingly popular.

Jenny Kane/AP

So, how would it actually work?

Policymakers stress these are early days yet, and there is a lot that needs to be hammered out. All in all, the transactions conducted with digital dollars probably wouldn't seem too different from existing private alternatives that allow us to pay for things by bringing our smartphones next to digital readers.

China, for example, allows digital yuan payments in the cities in which the country is piloting its digital currency, allowing citizens to make payments via an app set up by the government.

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Sculpting The Digital Dollar

Why pursue a digital currency?

Reducing or eliminating fees is one clear benefit.

When you make a contactless payment today, it may seem immediate, but according to Chris Giancarlo, the former chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, a lot happens behind the scenes.

"My mobile device tells his mobile device to inform a whole series of banks, to confirm who I am, how much money is in my bank, that there is enough money to move from my bank to his bank," he says.

And at each step of the way, there are transaction fees. In 2020, they added up to more than $110 billion, which was generally shouldered by businesses.

With a digital dollar, you could in theory eliminate those middlemen. If you wanted to buy a sandwich, for instance, you could transfer money from a digital wallet directly to a cashier.

It wouldn't necessarily entirely eliminate nongovernment players. In China, for example, users who want to use the digital yuan can go to banks to add money to their digital wallets.

But just having digital dollars in circulation could put pressure on credit card companies and payment processors to lower fees to be competitive. That is, if enough people start using the Fed-run version.

In China, adoption of the e-renminbi has been slow given that private providers such as WeChat or Alipay are already pretty popular and entrenched.

Another argument for creating a digital dollar is to open up digital transactions to Americans who don't have bank accounts. According to the Fed, more than 5% of U.S. households are "unbanked."

Providing them with a digital wallet would allow people to participate in our increasingly cashless financial system.

It would also make it easier for the federal government to distribute benefits.. For example, having a digital dollar in place during the pandemic could have allowed the government to transfer relief payments directly into digital wallets.

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (7)

The U.S. currency has undergone it share of changes over the centuries. This $8 Continental Currency paper note was issued by the Continental Congress to finance the Revolutionary War. After gaining independence, the U.S. adopted the dollar as its national currency. Public Domain / University of Notre Dame/U.S Currency Education Program/www.uscurrency.gov hide caption

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Public Domain / University of Notre Dame/U.S Currency Education Program/www.uscurrency.gov

What are the challenges?

Without question, one of the biggest issues is privacy. Because the Fed would implement and oversee the project, the central bank could accrue a vast amount of data, potentially giving it a lot more visibility into everyone's financial life.

That could be useful to regulators who want to combat money laundering, for example, but it would also raise serious privacy concerns.

That makes it critical to sort out how much information the Fed would have, according to Raghuram Rajan, a professor of finance at The University of Chicago Booth School of Business and a former governor of the Reserve Bank of India.

"There will be legitimate questions about how much the government knows about each individual, and also, how much it can act to restrain activities by individuals," he says.

Cybersecurity is another critical issue, especially given the uptick in hacks and heists at cryptocurrency exchanges.

To implement a digital dollar, the U.S. government would need to modernize the country's financial infrastructure to stave off attacks.

A digital version of the Chinese yuan is displayed during a trade fair in Beijing in September. China is among a handful of countries that are experimenting with national digital currencies. Ng Han Guan/AP hide caption

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Ng Han Guan/AP

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (9)

A digital version of the Chinese yuan is displayed during a trade fair in Beijing in September. China is among a handful of countries that are experimenting with national digital currencies.

Ng Han Guan/AP

So what's next?

Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues are moving ahead cautiously and methodically.

The Fed is in the process of soliciting feedback from the public after releasing its paper last month. And last week, the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston released preliminary results of its ongoing research into the technological challenges associated with implementing a digital currency in the U.S.

It would take five to 10 years to introduce a digital currency in the U.S., several experts say, but they argue policymakers can't sit idly by.

There is concern that by moving slowly, the U.S. is letting other countries shape standards for national digital currencies, and the popularity of the dollar could be diminished.

After all, for decades, it has been the world's primary reserve currency, meaning many countries hold their reserves in U.S. dollars.

But Powell has made it clear he's in no hurry. Last year, a reporter asked the central banker whether he was worried the U.S. was falling behind countries like China.

"I think it's more important to do this right than to do it fast," he replied.

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (2024)

FAQs

What happens if the US goes to digital dollar? ›

The digital dollar has the potential to become the backbone of the United States economy and change the face of global commerce. Known as a central bank digital currency (CBDC), the proposed electronic currency could make financial transactions completely digital, which would make transferring money faster and cheaper.

Is the US going to switch to digital currency? ›

The Federal Reserve has made no decision on issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) and would only proceed with the issuance of a CBDC with an authorizing law.

Is Bank of America replacing the dollar with digital currency? ›

The Federal Reserve continues to pilot a central bank digital currency, but will not issue one without executive branch and Congressional support, the report said. Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are coming, but a digital dollar is unlikely in the near term, Bank of America (BAC) said in a report on Monday.

What is the digital dollar in the US? ›

A U.S. CBDC would be a tokenized and blockchain-based version of the dollar that acts as a legal tender and is regulated by the federal government. A U.S. CBDC would act as a supplement to existing forms of payment. Identity verification, intermediaries, and privacy protection are required parts of launching a CBDC.

What will replace the US dollar? ›

Over the longer term, it is widely held, the decline of the greenback will undoubtedly resume, ending the currency's reign once and for all. But that begs a critical question: What would replace the dollar? Some say it will be the euro; others, perhaps the Japanese yen or China's renminbi.

What are the risks of a digital dollar? ›

The concern is that financial privacy will be lost with a digital dollar. The government would be able to watch how people spend their money, close their bank accounts, or even just take the money. In other words, the worry is that a digital dollar would be one more way for the government to control us and our money.

Should we get rid of cash? ›

For instance, using cash instead of credit or debit cards may help keep some people from overspending, because you can see how little is left in your wallet after every purchase. In short, getting rid of cash would impose hardships on society's most vulnerable people and could jeopardize our privacy.

What banks are going to the digital dollar? ›

The pilot will test how banks using digital dollar tokens in a common database can speed up payments. Participating banks include BNY Mellon, Citi, HSBC, Mastercard, PNC Bank, TD Bank, Truist, U.S. Bank and Wells Fargo.

Is cash becoming obsolete? ›

If it's been a long time since you pulled out actual dollars and coins to pay for something — here's a conversation for you. It might seem like cash is slowly becoming obsolete. But, Brett Scott says it's a false narrative that we're all pining for a cashless society.

Which banks are not participating in FedNow? ›

Bank of America, Citigroup, PNC and Capital One Financial, all among the nation's 10 largest banks, still haven't signed on to FedNow, according to the Fed's latest list of participants. FedNow launched last July, promising to speed up transactions for consumers and companies.

What companies are behind the digital dollar? ›

The list of participants in the pilot program includes BNY Mellon, Citi, HSBC, Mastercard, PNC Bank, TD Bank, Truist, U.S. Bank, and Wells Fargo. Global payments provider Swift is also participating in the effort, along with the New York Innovation Center (NYIC), part of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Why do banks oppose digital currency? ›

For a central bank, if the actors involved in valuing and distributing the currency are beyond your control, then you've essentially ceded control of monetary policy to those actors and their activities. The system will become susceptible to rapid inflation or deflation.

Is the US going to change to digital currency? ›

The Federal Reserve has made no decision on issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) and would only proceed with the issuance of a CBDC with an authorizing law.

Why a digital dollar is good for the world? ›

A digital dollar should assist governments in monitoring spending, tracking currency circulation, and using this generated data to calibrate monetary policy better, improve budget allocations and improve spending accountability – wherever the U.S. dollar circulates.

What is the US dollar backed by? ›

Prior to 1971, the US dollar was backed by gold. Today, the dollar is backed by 2 things: the government's ability to generate revenues (via debt or taxes), and its authority to compel economic participants to transact in dollars.

How to protect yourself from the digital dollar? ›

Use strong passwords, keep your antivirus software up-to-date, and avoid clicking on suspicious links or downloading unknown software. Also, protect yourself by using two-factor authentication when you login to data-sensitive sites. CBDC is a digital currency, so you'll need to make sure your digital assets are secure.

Will digital currency replace the paper money in the future? ›

“We certainly will see mass adoption of digital currencies, but it is difficult to predict how it will look. CBDC may replace the paper version of the U.S. dollar. At the same time, society may focus on mainstream adoption of a decentralized cryptocurrency.”

How close are we to a cashless society? ›

11% of US adults have completely stopped using cash, up from 5% five years ago (Source: Gallup) The average number of cash payments fell from 26% in 2019 to 20% in 2021 (Source: Federal Reserve) Between 2012 and 2022, cheque transactions declined by almost half (Source: Federal Reserve)

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