The eurozone’s problem country: Germany (2024)

Once plagued by the strength of the Deutsche mark, Germany benefited from the euro’s lower exchange rate, which made its goods more competitive abroad. That was particularly true within the eurozone itself, which accounts for about 40 percent of Germany’s exports. For decades, exporters from Southern Europe could undercut their German competitors on price. No more.

That wouldn’t be such a problem if Germans reciprocated by buying their neighbors’ exports with equal vigor. But Germans prefer to save, both in the private and public spheres. As a result, the country has large trade surpluses with much of the eurozone.

Instead of acting as the great equalizer, as the fathers of the euro promised, the euro has exacerbated Europe’s economic divisions and, arguably left some countries worse off. In Italy, for example, per capita GDP in 1999, the year the euro was introduced, was about €1,000 above the eurozone average; by the end of last year, it had fallen to about €4,000 below the average. The country’s economy has effectively been stalled for two decades.

The eurozone’s problem country: Germany (1)

| Geert Vanden Wijngaert/Bloomberg via Getty Images

All along — counter to the popular perception in Germany and other northern countries — Italy has kept a lid on public expenditures, running a small budgetary surplus, before interest payments, year after year. But without economic growth, the country’s debt, a legacy of government overspending in the 1980s and early 1990s, has remained high.

Italy’s history with the euro explains its population’s growing frustration with the currency and, more generally, with the EU. Having relinquished a large degree of sovereignty to join the euro club, Italy, in the view of many Italians, has little to show for it.

The EU’s slow response to Italy’s struggle with the coronavirus has further exacerbated those tensions. Less than half of Italians said they consider themselves to be “pro-European” in a recent survey.

The eurozone’s problem country: Germany (2024)

FAQs

How has the euro affected Germany? ›

As I have explained, the introduction of the euro has had many healthy effects on the German economy. On the one hand, Germany is profiting to a considerable extent from the integration of financial markets. Enterprises now have access to a broader and deeper capital market in their domestic currency.

What are the problems with the eurozone? ›

By far, the largest drawback of the euro is a single monetary policy that often does not fit local economic conditions. It is common for parts of the EU to be prospering, with high growth and low unemployment. In contrast, others suffer from prolonged economic downturns and high unemployment.

What is the biggest problem in Germany today? ›

Germany's Real Challenges are Aging, Underinvestment, and Too Much Red Tape. Germany is struggling. It was the only G7 economy to shrink last year and is set to be the group's slowest-growing economy again this year, according to our latest projections. Some pundits say Germany's economic model is irreparably broken.

What really caused the eurozone debt crisis? ›

The European sovereign debt crisis resulted from the structural problem of the eurozone and a combination of complex factors, including the globalisation of finance; easy credit conditions during the 2002–2008 period that encouraged high-risk lending and borrowing practices; the 2008 global financial crisis; ...

Does Germany still use the euro? ›

You can use the euro in 20 EU countries: Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia and Spain.

When did Germany take the euro? ›

Germany is a founding member of the European Union and one of the first countries to adopt the euro on 1 January 1999.

How has the euro affected Europe? ›

The euro has eliminated the costs of exchange rate fluctuations within the euro area. This protects consumers and businesses within the euro area from costly swings in currency markets, which, in some countries, used to undermine confidence, discourage investment and cause economic instability.

What are the solutions to the eurozone crisis? ›

The solutions range from tighter fiscal union, the issuing of Eurozone bonds to debt write-offs, each of which has both financial and political implications, meaning no solution has found favour with all parties involved.

Is the eurozone successful? ›

The ECB has successfully achieved its primary goal of price stability and the common currency is popular among the euro area's citizens. This popularity has made the euro more resilient than many people thought possible twenty years ago.

How is Germany's economy now? ›

Economic activity in Germany is estimated to have contracted by 0.3% in 2023, as projected in autumn. Private consumption suffered from a loss in purchasing power. High building and borrowing costs on top of labour shortages and elevated energy prices depressed investment in construction and energy-intensive sectors.

What's happening in Germany in 2024? ›

In 2024, Berlin will be in focus throughout Europe: The German capital is going to celebrate two charismatic events. In summer, the Olympic Stadium will host five matches and the final of the UEFA European Championship 2024. And autumn 2024 will be all about the 35th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall.

What is the weakness of Germany? ›

In addition to high labour and energy costs, the German economy is mainly affected by weak global demand for cyclical goods such as cars, machines and chemicals.

Who has the worst debt in Europe? ›

Though the overall debt amount increased, the ratio of debt to GDP decreased 2 percentage points between the third quarters of 2022 and 2023. At 165%, Greece reported the highest ratio of debt to GDP in the EU, followed by Italy. France, Spain, Belgium and Portugal also reported debts greater than their national GDP.

Is the European economy in trouble? ›

Over the course of 2023, the European economy saw close to zero growth. The continent's two largest national economies—Germany and the U.K.—may both be in recession. Flagship European companies such as Volkswagen, Nokia, and UBS have collectively announced tens of thousands of layoffs.

How many countries are in the eurozone? ›

The eurozone is the unofficial name for the 20 EU countries that are members of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and have adopted the euro as their common currency.

What was the impact of the euro? ›

The euro has eliminated the costs of exchange rate fluctuations within the euro area. This protects consumers and businesses within the euro area from costly swings in currency markets, which, in some countries, used to undermine confidence, discourage investment and cause economic instability.

Why is Germany's economy shrinking? ›

Europe's biggest economy has continued to shrink amid crises, inflation and lacking investment. Economists have warned the outlook for 2024 does not look much better.

Who benefited the most from the euro? ›

A new study by the Centre of European Policy shows that the euro has resulted in both economic highs and lows. Germany benefited the most from the currency, gaining €1.9 trillion, while The Netherlands saw the second highest return at €346 billion.

How did Germany become the biggest economy in Europe? ›

The rapid advance to industrial maturity led to a drastic shift in Germany's economic situation – from a rural economy into a major exporter of finished goods. The ratio of the finished product to total exports jumped from 38% in 1872 to 63% in 1912. By 1913 Germany had come to dominate all the European markets.

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