Tesla shares slide to 15-month low ahead of earnings, as Wall Street frets over price cuts, layoffs (2024)

Elon Musk speaks onstage during The New York Times Dealbook Summit 2023 at Jazz at Lincoln Center in New York City, Nov. 29, 2023.

Slaven Vlasic | Getty Images

Tesla shares fell for a seventh straight day, reaching their lowest since January 2023, as further price cuts over the weekend added to mounting concerns heading into the company's first-quarter earnings report Tuesday.

The stock dropped 3.4% on Monday to close at $142.05, bringing its decline for the year to 43%, second worst among members of the S&P 500.

Tesla cut prices in the U.S., China and throughout Europe, with reductions of as much as $2,000 on the company's most popular electric vehicles, the Model Y SUV and entry-level Model 3 sedan. Tesla also lowered the price of its premium driver assistance system by one-third. The system is marketed as the Full Self-Driving, or FSD, option, though it requires a human driver at the wheel, ready to steer or brake at any time.

The FSD option, which previously cost $12,000 up front or $199 per month on a subscription basis for most customers in the U.S., is now listed on Tesla's website at $8,000 upfront and $99 for a monthly subscription. The price cut follows a monthlong free trial that Tesla pushed out to customers throughout North America starting in late March.

The latest reductions add to investors' growing fears following weak first-quarter deliveries, layoffs and a Cybertruck recall.

Last week, Tesla issued a voluntary recall on 3,878 Cybertruck vehicles to repair a serious "trapped pedal" defect seen in a viral TikTok video from a Cybertruck owner.

According to a filing with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, a pad on top of the Cybertruck's accelerator pedal could come loose and get trapped in the interior trim causing "unintended acceleration."

Prior to the recall notice and price cuts, Tesla had initiated a steep and messy restructuring, informing employees early last week that it would be cutting more than 10% of its global workforce. The layoffs are ongoing, with some employees receiving notifications their jobs were eliminated in the last couple days, according to two current employees, who spoke with CNBC on condition that their names be withheld from publication.

Tesla plans to discuss first-quarter earnings on a call Tuesday afternoon after releasing results. Analysts are expecting a 5.1% drop in revenue, according to LSEG, which would be the first year-over-year decline since the second quarter of 2020, when the Covid pandemic disrupted operations.

"Since late 2023, sentiment on Tesla (TSLA) has deteriorated," John Murphy, an analyst at Bank of America, wrote in a note on Monday. Murphy said he expects investors will "focus heavily on commentary related to growth initiatives," specifically the Model 2 "next-gen platform," and the robotaxi.

Reuters reported that, at Musk's direction, Tesla is "scrapping" plans to launch a very affordable Model 2 electric car in the near term and will instead focus on development of a robotaxi.

Joseph Spak, an analyst at UBS, wrote in a Monday report that investors should "expect some fireworks" on the call, adding that automotive gross margins for Tesla, not including environmental credits, and free cash flow will be key metrics.

"A negative free cashflow quarter appears possible," Spak wrote. That cash becomes more important to the Tesla story because "the current environment doesn't allow funding of both" the robotaxi and a more affordable new EV.

Traders betting against Tesla are reaping rewards from the stock slide.

Short interest in the EV maker stood at around 111 million shares, or 4% of float, representing $16.3 billion in notional value as of the first half of the day on Monday, according to S3 Partners. Tesla short sellers are up an estimated $9.4 billion this year, making it the most profitable short in the U.S. market, way ahead of Apple at $3 billion.

— CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

WATCH: Tesla stock hits 52-week low ahead of earnings

Tesla shares slide to 15-month low ahead of earnings, as Wall Street frets over price cuts, layoffs (2024)

FAQs

Tesla shares slide to 15-month low ahead of earnings, as Wall Street frets over price cuts, layoffs? ›

Tesla shares slide to 15-month low ahead of earnings, as Wall Street frets over price cuts, layoffs. Tesla's stock dropped for a seventh straight day Monday, reaching its lowest price since January 2023. Over the weekend, the company cut electric vehicle prices in the U.S., China and Europe.

Why did Tesla stock drop after earnings? ›

April 22 (Reuters) - Tesla (TSLA. O) , opens new tab tumbled 4% on Monday, as its latest global price cuts fanned Wall Street concerns about dwindling margins at the electric-vehicle maker in the run-up to its earnings report later this week.

What's behind Tesla's stock slide? ›

Tesla's nightmarish start to the year saw its January earnings reveal significant misses for both sales and profits; a 9% year-over-year decline in first-quarter vehicle deliveries, far short of forecasts of 7% growth; and comes ahead of the company's first batch of 2024 financial results Tuesday, which analysts expect ...

How much has Tesla stock dropped in 2024? ›

Many auto companies have struggled with electric vehicle segments in 2024. Tesla deliveries came in well below expectations for the latest quarter as demand for EVs appears to be slowing. Tesla stock has dropped 30% this year.

Why are Tesla shares down? ›

The EV giant said its Q1 revenue decline was primarily due to a reduced average vehicle selling price and a drop in vehicle deliveries. Tesla added revenue was also hindered by issues with the Model 3 refresh rollout at its Fremont factory.

Is Tesla in trouble financially? ›

Tesla is in trouble. Yesterday, the company announced that its profits for the first three months of this year fell by 55 percent from the first three months of 2023. Sales declined by 8.5 percent.

Is it worth holding Tesla stock? ›

Fair Value Estimate for Tesla Stock

With its 4-star rating, we believe Tesla's stock is undervalued compared with our long-term fair value estimate, which we've raised to $200 from $195 after updating our model following the firm's first-quarter earnings. We use a weighted average cost of capital of just under 9%.

How much will Tesla stock be worth in 5 years? ›

When CNBC asked what Tesla would be worth in five years, Wood confidently said $2,000 per share. The $2,000 per share figure is not new, either. In April 2023, Ark Invest published its valuation model for Tesla with the same price target and the expectation of reaching it by 2027.

What is the potential of Tesla stock in 2025? ›

Tesla Stock Price Predictions for 2025

In 2025, #TSLA could range between $22 and $389 per share based on the most bullish and bearish projections. The bullish outlook reflects projections for surging demand in the electric vehicle industry combined with Tesla's dominant positioning and technical edge.

What is the prediction for Tesla stock? ›

The average price target for Tesla is $174.60. This is based on 33 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $310.00 ,the lowest forecast is $22.86. The average price target represents -4.60% Decrease from the current price of $183.01.

Why not invest in Tesla? ›

Another reason to avoid buying Tesla is because of the valuation. Even though shares are currently 56% off their all-time high, they still trade at a steep price-to-earnings ratio of 46.2. This tells me that the market still values Tesla more like a tech enterprise and less like a traditional car company.

Why is Tesla struggling? ›

Layoffs across the company, including the supercharger network team, raise questions about efficiency and future plans. Gigafactory delays disrupt production schedules, while a shrinking workforce struggles to meet demand. Then there's the price war with aggressive Chinese competitors like BYD.

Why is the Tesla price dropping? ›

Tesla is slashing prices in the U.S., China and Germany as the electric vehicle maker battles slowing sales and an increasingly competitive market for EVs.

Did Tesla stock plummet more than 10 after earnings miss expectations? ›

Shares of Tesla plummeted more than 10% in afternoon trading on Thursday, less than 24 hours after the company reported earnings that fell short of expectations and cautioned of sluggish sales over the duration of this year.

Will Tesla go up or down on earnings? ›

Tesla Stock Valuation

Analysts now see 2024 earnings per share targets at $2.44 a share, according to FactSet, down from $3.79 at the end of 2023, $5.62 a share at the end of March 2023 and a whopping $7.07 at the end of 2022. So the forward price-earnings ratio for Tesla stock is 72.8 as of May 5.

What to expect from Tesla earnings? ›

Wall Street expects earnings per share of about 50 cents, according to FactSet, down from 85 cents earned in the first quarter of 2023.

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