Solana's slide accelerates — $50 billion in value wiped from the cryptocurrency in 2022 (2024)

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The Solana logo on a phone screen and representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this photo taken in Krakow, Poland, Aug. 21, 2021.

Jakub Porzycki | NurPhoto | Getty Images

Solana was touted as the cryptocurrency that would challenge ether with an eco-friendlier approach, faster transaction speeds and more consistent costs.

Investors who made that bet had a miserable year. The token's market cap collapsed from over $55 billion in January to barely above $3 billion at year-end.

Among Solana's biggest problems in late 2022 was its close relationship to FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, who faces eight criminal fraud charges after his crypto exchange went bankrupt last month. The disgraced former crypto billionaire was one of Solana's most public boosters, touting the advantages of the blockchain technology and investing over a half-billion dollars in Solana tokens.

"Sell me all you want," Bankman-Fried told one skeptic in January 2021. "Then go f--- off."

Bankman-Fried's companies held nearly $1.2 billion worth of the token and associated assets in June, according to documents reviewed by CoinDesk.

When FTX fell apart, investors bailed on Solana to the tune of about $8 billion. But in recent days, as the rest of the crypto world has been relatively quiet and prices stable, Solana has plummeted further.

Solana's slide accelerates — $50 billion in value wiped from the cryptocurrency in 2022 (1)

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Two of the biggest non-fungible token (NFT) projects built on Solana announced their migration off of Solana's platform on Christmas Day. But the recent slides came after that news had already broken, making Solana's recent slide something of a mystery.

In the last week, Solana has declined over 30%. Ether has held steady, shedding 1.7% in the same time period, while bitcoin has only dropped 1.2%. Among the 20 most-valuable cryptocurrencies tracked by CoinMarketCap, the next biggest loser over that stretch is Dogecoin, which has fallen 9%.

In just one hour of trading on Thursday, Solana slid 5.8%, bringing it to the lowest since early 2021, around the time that Bankman-Fried began to vocally offer his support for the project.

Solana has since come off the lows, with a market cap now crossing $3.5 billion. Its 24-hour trading volume is up over 200% on a relative basis.

During the crypto market's heyday in 2021, Bankman-Fried was hardly alone in his bullishness.

Developers raved about Solana's support for smart contracts, pieces of code that execute pre-programmed directives, as well as an innovative proof-of-history consensus mechanism.

Consensus mechanisms are how blockchain platforms assess the validity of an executed transaction, tracking who owns what and how well the system is working based on a consensus between multiple record-keeping computers called nodes.

Bitcoin uses a proof-of-work mechanism. Ethereum and rival Solana use proof-of-stake. Rather than relying on energy-intensive mining, proof-of-stake systems ask big users to offer up collateral, or stake, to become "validators." Instead of solving for a cryptographic hash, as with bitcoin, proof-of-work validators verify transaction activity and maintain the blockchain's "books," in exchange for a proportional cut of transaction fees.

Solana's supposed differentiating factor was augmenting proof-of-stake with proof-of-history — the ability to prove that a transaction happened at a particular moment.

Solana soared over the course of 2021, with a single token gaining 12,000% for the year and reaching $250 by November. Yet even before the collapse of FTX, Solana faced a series of public struggles, which challenged the protocol's claim that it was a superior technology.

Much of Solana's popularity was built around growing interest in NFTs. Serum, another exchange backed by Bankman-Fried, was built on Solana. When the calendar turned to 2022, Solana's limitations started to become apparent.

Barely a month into the year, a network outage took Solana down for over 24 hours. Solana's token fell from $141 to a low of a little over $94. In May, Solana experienced a seven-hour-long outage after NFT minting flooded validators and crashed the network.

A "record-breaking four million transactions [per second]" took out Solana and caused the price of its token to drop 7%, CoinTelegraph reported at the time, pushing it further into the red during the bruising onset of crypto winter.

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In June, another outage prompted a 12% drop. The hours of downtime came after validators stopped processing blocks, immobilizing Solana's touted consensus mechanism and forcing a restart of the network.

The outages were concerning enough for a protocol that sought to upend ether's dominance and assert itself as a stable, rapid platform. Solana was experiencing growing pains in public. The project was first built in 2020 and is a younger protocol than ether, which went live in 2015.

Technology challenges are to be expected. Unfortunately for Solana, something else was brewing in the Bahamas.

The SEC called it "brazen" fraud. Bankman-Fried's use of customer money at FTX to fund everything from trading and lending at his hedge fund, Alameda Research, to his lavish lifestyle in the Caribbean roiled the crypto markets. Bankman-Fried was released on a $250 millionbond last week while he awaits trial for fraud and other criminal charges in the Southern District of New York.

Solana's slide accelerates — $50 billion in value wiped from the cryptocurrency in 2022 (3)

Solana since November 2022, the month that FTX failed and filed for bankruptcy protection.

Solana lost more than 70% in total value in the weeks following FTX's November bankruptcy filing. Investors fled from anything associated with Bankman-Fried, with prices for FTT (FTX's native token), Solana, and Serum plunging dramatically.

Solana founder Anatoly Yakovenko told Bloomberg that rather than focusing on price action, the public should remain focused on "having people build something awesome that's decentralized."

Yakovenko did not immediately respond to CNBC's request for comment.

FTT has fared the worst, losing practically all its value. But Solana has seen a continued flight in recent days, reflecting ongoing concerns about FTX contagion and skepticism about the long-term viability of its own protocol.

Developer flight is the most pressing concern. Solana's raison d'etre was to solve bitcoin and ether's struggle "to scale beyond 15 transactions per second worldwide," according to developer documentation. But active developers on the platform have dropped to 67 from an October 2021 high of 159, according to Token Terminal.

Multicoin Capital, a cryptocurrency investment firm, has maintained a bullish stance on Solana. Even after the implosion of FTX, Multicoin continued to strike an optimistic tone about the suddenly beleaguered blockchain.

"We recognized that SOL was likely to underperform in the near term given the affiliation with SBF
and FTX; however, since the crisis began we've decided to hold the position based on a variety of factors," Multicoin wrote in a message to partners obtained by CNBC.

Multicoin, and other prominent crypto voices, maintain that the fallout from FTX underscores the need for a return to basics for the crypto industry: A transition away from juggernaut centralized exchanges in favor of decentralized finance (DeFi) and self-custody.

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An uptick in daily activity at now peerless Binance might suggest that many crypto enthusiasts have yet to take that missive to heart.

It's unsurprising that Yakovenko continues to believe in Solana. Yet even Vitalik Buterin, the man behind ethereum, voiced his support for Solana on Thursday. "Hard for me to tell from outside, but I hope the community gets its fair chance to thrive," Buterin wrote on Twitter.

Chris Burniske, a partner at a Web3 venture capital firm Placeholder, said he was "still longing" Solana in a Dec. 29 Twitter thread.

Crypto saw mass adoption thanks to centralized platforms like FTX, Crypto.com, and Binance. FTX splashed millions of dollars on stadium deals and naming rights. Crypto.com invested heavily in prominent ad campaigns. Even Binance announced a sponsorship tie-in with the Grammys.

2023 may prove a seminal year for defi, as crypto-curious investors look for safer ways to garner returns and custody their assets. Bitcoin was born out of the 2008 financial crisis. Now the cryptocurrency industry faces a test of its own.

"Lehman was not the end of the banking industry. Enron was not the end of the energy industry.
And FTX won't be the end of the crypto industry," Multicoin told investors.

- CNBC's Ari Levy and MacKenzie Sigalos contributed to this report.

As a seasoned cryptocurrency enthusiast with a deep understanding of the blockchain space, I've closely followed the developments and trends in the industry. My expertise is backed by a comprehensive knowledge base that extends from the fundamental concepts of blockchain technology to the intricate details of specific cryptocurrencies. Now, let's dissect the information provided in the article:

  1. Solana's Rise and Fall:

    • Solana was initially praised as a cryptocurrency set to challenge Ethereum, offering eco-friendliness, faster transactions, and consistent costs.
    • However, in 2022, Solana's market cap plummeted from over $55 billion to just above $3 billion by year-end.
    • A significant factor in Solana's downfall was its close association with FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, who faced eight criminal fraud charges after the collapse of his crypto exchange.
  2. FTX and Solana's Interconnected Fate:

    • FTX's bankruptcy led to an $8 billion sell-off of Solana as investors distanced themselves from anything associated with Sam Bankman-Fried.
    • Solana faced additional challenges as two major NFT projects built on its platform announced migration away on Christmas Day.
  3. Technical Issues with Solana:

    • Solana's touted features included support for smart contracts, a proof-of-history consensus mechanism, and a promise to scale beyond 15 transactions per second worldwide.
    • However, the cryptocurrency experienced multiple outages in 2022, including network downtime of over 24 hours and a seven-hour outage in May due to NFT minting.
  4. Solana's Market Performance:

    • Solana's recent decline of over 30% in a week raises questions, especially as Ethereum and Bitcoin remained relatively stable during the same period.
    • Despite coming off its lows, Solana's market cap is around $3.5 billion, and its 24-hour trading volume has increased over 200%.
  5. Community and Developer Concerns:

    • The number of active developers on Solana dropped from 159 in October 2021 to 67, reflecting concerns about the long-term viability of the protocol.
    • The article highlights the importance of developer flight as a significant concern for Solana.
  6. Crypto Industry Outlook:

    • The article touches on the broader crypto industry, suggesting a need to transition away from centralized exchanges to decentralized finance (DeFi) and self-custody.
    • Notable figures in the industry, including Vitalik Buterin, express support for Solana, while others maintain a bullish stance despite recent challenges.
  7. 2023 Outlook for DeFi:

    • The article anticipates that 2023 may be a seminal year for DeFi as crypto enthusiasts seek safer ways to garner returns and custody their assets.
    • There's a reference to the industry facing a test comparable to the challenges overcome by other sectors such as banking and energy.

In conclusion, the article paints a picture of Solana's struggles in the aftermath of FTX's downfall, citing technical issues, market performance, and developer concerns. It also hints at a potential shift in the crypto industry towards decentralized finance in the coming year.

Solana's slide accelerates — $50 billion in value wiped from the cryptocurrency in 2022 (2024)

FAQs

Solana's slide accelerates — $50 billion in value wiped from the cryptocurrency in 2022? ›

Solana's slide accelerates — $50 billion in value wiped from the cryptocurrency in 2022. Solana has lost over $50 billion in value since the beginning of 2022, a year marked by outages, overloads, and significant exposure to Sam Bankman-Fried's FTX exchange

FTX exchange
FTX Trading Ltd., commonly known as FTX (short for "Futures Exchange"), is a bankrupt company that formerly operated a cryptocurrency exchange and crypto hedge fund.
https://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › FTX
.

What happened to Solana in 2022? ›

The 2022 bear market was not kind to Solana, causing the value of the SOL token to decline over 90% from its 2021 highs. In particular, the collapse of FTX, a significant cryptocurrency exchange with deep ties to Solana, triggered a sharp decline in SOL's value.

Why is Solana dropping in value? ›

Decreasing activity on the Solana network

The blockchain's total value locked (TVL) has increased by 8,800% since November 2023. However, SOL's latest price drop follows a decrease in onchain activity, as fewer users engage with the network, contributing to the decreasing momentum.

How high can Solana realistically go? ›

SOL price targets in 2025 exceed $300, the most bullish targets are in the $500 to $1,000 area. Realistically, Solana can go as high as $650 in 2025. There is a path for Solana to hit $1,000, late 2025 or in 2026, Solana's chart structure visualizes the path to $1,000.

Why was Solana affected by FTX? ›

The Potential Impact on Solana's Price

However, FTX's massive auctions threaten to exert selling pressure on the price of SOL. Large volumes could stall the current uptrend and lead to a correction. Beyond the immediate impact, these sales raise questions about the sustainability of Solana's rebound.

How many times Solana shut down? ›

Four other incidents have been reported in the past–a 47-hour downtime incident in January 2022, two other incidents in December 2021, and one other incident in September 2021.

How much will 1 Solana be worth in 2030? ›

Solana (SOL) Price Prediction 2030
YearPrice
2025$ 181.30
2026$ 190.36
2027$ 199.88
2030$ 231.38
1 more row

Does Solana have a future? ›

The Solana price prediction from CoinPedia suggests that Solana price could reach a maximum level of $200 per SOL in 2024. By 2025, Solana's price could add another $50, bringing it to $250 each SOL. Longer term, the digital asset could reach as high as $672.

Who owns Solana? ›

Who is the owner of Solana? Anatoly Yakovenko is the lead founder and CEO of Solana Labs, the company behind the Solana blockchain.

How much is 1 Solana now? ›

Price of SOL today

The live price of Solana is $ 185.03 per (SOL / USD) with a current market cap of $ 85.99B USD. 24-hour trading volume is $ 2.33B USD. SOL to USD price is updated in real-time. Solana is +2.27% in the last 24 hours with a circulating supply of 464.71M.

Will Sol ever recover? ›

Despite being down 70% from its ATH, Solana still has over 600K active wallets, illustrating the chain is still in demand and has the potential to recover further in the future. The final factor affecting SOL's price is the broader crypto market. We will likely see Solana follow the broader market's performance.

When should I sell my Solana? ›

Deciding when to sell Solana depends on your individual financial goals, risk tolerance and market conditions. Consider factors like price trends, your investment timeline and potential tax implications. You may want to consult with a financial advisor and conduct thorough research before making any decisions.

Can Solana hit $1000 usd? ›

In a bullish scenario, Solana price could reach over $1,320, with its market cap soaring to $614 billion. However, bearish and baseline scenarios predict more modest price increases of 1.4x and 3.4x, respectively. Regulatory approval remains a challenge, especially given current SEC Chair Gary Gensler's stance on SOL.

What went wrong with Solana? ›

Major congestion issues are plaguing the Solana network, leading to 70% of transactions failing. In response, developers are stepping in. Solana developers announce measures to address network congestion.

What caused Solana to spike? ›

SOL price boosted by high network activity on Solana

Increased TVL and high volume points to increasing network activity, suggesting more user engagement and development activity on the blockchain.

Why did Solana drop so much? ›

This drop is part of a correction that began two days ago, resulting in an overall decrease of approximately 8.25% thus far. Top catalysts driving the SOL price lower these days include an outperforming layer-one blockchain rival, Ether (ETH $3,789), and increasing outflows from the Solana ecosystem.

Will Solana recover again? ›

After hitting the lowest points of the current bear market, Solana price is predicted to start a gradual recovery, although not with strong momentum. In the early part of 2027, the bulls may intensify their activity, halting the ongoing downward path and raising the price levels above the $280 resistance level.

Why is sol pumping? ›

The increase in open interest suggests more traders are entering into contracts, expecting future price movements. Positive funding rates imply that traders are willing to pay a premium to maintain their long positions, reflecting a bullish sentiment toward Solana.

Is Solana worth buying? ›

The primary reason to invest in Solana right now is that it could eventually become the next Ethereum (ETH 3.68%). Solana is a direct challenger to Ethereum in the Layer 1 blockchain space, and has been steadily gaining ground in every major niche, from decentralized finance (DeFi) to non-fungible tokens (NFTs).

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