Selecting A Downside-Risk Payment Model (2024)

Imagine a healthcare system where patients get the best possible care—and at an affordable price. That is the mission behind value-based healthcare. Under traditional fee-for-service arrangements, providers receive the same payment regardless of whether the treatment improves the patient’s outcomes. Value-based payment models, on the other hand, attempt to reimburse providers based on the treatment’s quality or outcomes, encouraging them to pick the treatments they believe will treat most efficiently and effectively. When implemented correctly, value-based payment models can both cut costs and help patients live healthier lives, benefiting everyone: patients, providers, and payers. However, moving from a traditional payment model to a value-based model can be an overwhelming and daunting task.

In upside-risk models, providers are rewarded for spending below a given threshold but not penalized if they exceed the limit, putting the risk entirely on payers. Downside-risk models are those in which the risk is either shared between payers and providers or assumed entirely by providers.

When designing a downside-risk payment model, it is important to consider the advantages and disadvantages of each to select the best one given the circ*mstances.

Learn more about what downside risk models providers should consider.

Selecting A Downside-Risk Payment Model (2024)

FAQs

What is the downside risk model? ›

In models with downside risk—sometimes called “two-sided risk”—providers are financially responsible for failure to meet cost and quality benchmarks. In downside risk models, risk can be assumed solely by providers or shared between providers and payers.

What is downside risk in Medicare? ›

Downside Risk: uncertainty associated with potential financial losses; a risk arrangement that includes both upside and downside risk may be referred to as a “two-sided risk arrangement.”

What is downside risk in VBC? ›

In a downside risk contract (or a two-sided risk contract), the stakes get higher. Participants still get to keep a portion of the shared savings if they meet their clinical and financial targets. Participants usually get to keep a larger percentage of the shared savings than they do in upside-only risk contracts.

Which potential outcome is the best example of a downside risk? ›

Which potential outcome is the best example of a downside risk? A downside risk predicts a negative effect on attaining objectives. In a situation in which an org. accelerates its work schedule on a project, a downside risk would be errors caused by employees working more hours & producing deliverables faster.

What is an example of a downside risk? ›

The purchase of a stock, for example, has a finite amount of downside risk bounded by zero. The investor can lose their entire investment, but not more. Unlimited downside risk can exist with a short position in stock through a short sale since the price of the security could continue rising indefinitely.

How is downside risk calculated? ›

We then select negative returns only, as they represent downside deviations, and we square them and sum the squared deviations. The resultant figure is divided by the number of periods under study, then we find the square root of the answer, which gives us the downside risk.

What are downside risk protection strategies? ›

Downside protection is a common objective for investors and fund managers to avoid losses, and several instruments or methods can be used to achieve this goal. The use of stop-loss orders, options contracts, or other hedging devices may be used to provide downside protection to an investment or portfolio.

What is the maximum downside risk? ›

In financial investment, the maximum downside exposure (MDE) values the maximum downside to an investment portfolio. In other words, it states the most that the portfolio could lose in the event of a catastrophe.

Which risk adjustment model is most commonly used by Medicare? ›

The CMS-HCC risk adjustment model is used to adjust payments for Part C benefits offered by MA plans and PACE organizations to aged/disabled beneficiaries. The CMS- HCC model includes both diseases and demographic factors.

How do you manage downside risk? ›

Diversification can provide downside risk protection, helping you avoid significant losses and achieve your long-term financial goals. It's important to note that you should consider your downside risk strategy even if the market is currently stable. That way, you'll be prepared when a downside risk event occurs.

How do you protect downside risk options? ›

Buy put options for protection.

It's called the strike or exercise price, and if the stock falls below it, you can exercise your put option and essentially sell your stock at the higher price you picked earlier.

What is the opposite of downside risk? ›

Upside risk refers to the uncertain upward potential for a financial instrument, market, sector, or economy. Upside risk is positive, which means it can work to an investor or company's favor. It is the opposite of downside risk, which allows observers to determine how much they may lose.

What is the difference between upside risk and downside risk healthcare? ›

In upside-risk models, providers are rewarded for spending below a given threshold but not penalized if they exceed the limit, putting the risk entirely on payers. Downside-risk models are those in which the risk is either shared between payers and providers or assumed entirely by providers.

What is the downside correlation formula? ›

Downside correlation is defined as the downside covariance divided by the squared root of the product of downside variances.

What does surprise on the downside mean? ›

On the downside means: when the cons of a things are considered. He will surprise on the upside means: He will surprise us when the pros of the meeting are considered. On the upside and downside are used all the time. That use of it with surprise is not an idiom.

What is the downside risk factor? ›

Downside risk is the potential for your investments to lose value in the short term. History shows that stock and bond markets generate positive results over time, but certain events can cause markets or specific investments you hold to drop in value.

What is the difference between upside and downside risk? ›

The upside is the potential for an investment to increase in value, as measured in terms of money or percentage. Upside is the opposite of downside, which determines the downward movement of a financial instrument's price. Analysts use fundamental or technical analysis to make predictions about movement.

What is the downside of VaR model? ›

VaR is often criticized for offering a false sense of security, as VaR does not report the maximum potential loss. One of its limitations is that the statistically most likely outcome isn't always the actual outcome.

What is a downside risk contract? ›

In a contract that include downside risk, providers can typically earn a reward, usually an agreed-upon percentage of achieved savings (managing the medical expense of the relevant population so that it comes in lower than an agreed-upon target value), but must pay a share of the added costs if actual costs are higher ...

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