pdf Detailed Estimates
Sell
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SBI CARDS AND PAYMENT SERVICES LIMITED
Geojit BNP Paribas
Alert
Neutral
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Asset quality woes continue; credit cost rises further
Motilal Oswal
SBI Cards (SBICARD)’s PAT was 8% below estimate at INR5.9b due to lower revenue from operations and higher provisions. NII inched up 4.4% QoQ.
Alert
Hold
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SBI Card (HOLD): Trend of lower NIM, higher credit cost persists
BOB Capital Markets Ltd.
Credit cost soared 50% YoY to Rs 9.4bn (7.9% of loans) in Q4; stress expected to continue in FY25 as well
Alert
Neutral
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Low opex aids earnings; credit cost stays high
Motilal Oswal
SBI Cards (SBICARD) reported a healthy beat on PAT in 4QFY24 amid lower
opex (20% lower than our estimate). PAT jumped 21% QoQ to INR6.6b,
while NII inched up 2% QoQ (in line).
Alert
Hold
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First Light | Bajaj Auto, TVS Motor, SBI Card, Laurus Labs, Cipla, Mahanagar Gas, DCB Bank, …
BOB Capital Markets Ltd.
BJAUT: Healthy revival but priced in; downgrade to SELL. TVSL: On a fast track raise to BUY. SBICARD: Asset quality concerns persist; downgrade to HOLD. LAURUS: Challenges galore cut to SELL. CIPLA: Healthy revenue growth, strong margins. MAHGL: Volume growth accelerating, reiterate BUY. DCBB: NII sequentially flat on high interest cost. SBILIFE: ULIP-led growth; maintains market leadership
Hold
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SBI Card (HOLD): Asset quality concerns persist; downgrade to HOLD
BOB Capital Markets Ltd.
Credit cost soared 66% YoY to Rs 8.8bn in Q3 amid industry-wide stress in unsecured loans; uncertainty persists
Alert
Neutral
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Asset quality continues to disappoint; NIMs stable
Motilal Oswal
Alert
Buy
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SBI CARDS AND PAYMENT SERVICES LIMITED
Geojit BNP Paribas
Alert
Buy
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Spends momentum robust; remain watchful on near-term margins
Motilal Oswal
1
Alert
Buy
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SBI Card (BUY): Challenges persist despite spending frenzy
BOB Capital Markets Ltd.
Credit card spends climbed 27% YoY to a record high of Rs 792bn in Q2; debut on UPI platform promising
Buy
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NII, PPoP in line; elevated provisioning drags earnings
Motilal Oswal
Alert
Buy
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Improving outlook for NIM, credit cost, opex set up strong earnings prospect
ICICI Securities Limited
SBI Cards (SBIC) reported QoQ PPOP growth of 6% but 14% higher credit cost led to flattish PAT of INR 5.9bn in Q1FY24. While earnings growth has faced challenges of adverse change in mix (delay in revolver build up post covid), higher cost of funds (rate hikes), higher opex (BNPL competition), regulatory challenges (RBI master circular) and higher credit costs including a long-tailed impact of covid (as seen from ~14bps impact from a FY19 cohort in Q1FY24), it has still reported 27% earnings CAGR over the last 5 years ending FY23.
1
Alert
Buy
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Earnings in line; asset quality stress remains
Motilal Oswal
Alert
Buy
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BOBCAPS Research | SBI Card (BUY): Higher provisions dent net profit
BOB Capital Markets Ltd.
Q1 credit cost climbed 130bps YoY to 7.1% of loans (calc.) owing to stress from customers acquired in CY19, inducing a 5% fall in net profit
Alert
Hold
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SBI CARDS AND PAYMENT SERVICES LIMITED
Geojit BNP Paribas
1
Alert
Accumulate
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Prabhudas Lilladhar
Alert
Buy
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NIM bottoming a profitability lever; supportive outlook on cost-to-income, credit cost offer comfort
ICICI Securities Limited
SBI Cards (SBIC) delivered strong PAT of Rs 6 bn in Q4FY23 and Rs22.6bn in FY23 representing 27% CAGR over the last 5 years. This is post the impact of external
overhangs of declining NIMs, loss in fees due to implementation of RBI master
circular issued in Oct’22 and the impact of covid.
Alert
Buy
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SBI Card (BUY): Positive surprise; maintain BUY
BOB Capital Markets Ltd.
Q4 PAT beat our estimate by 10% due to robust revenue (+32% YoY), partially offset by higher credit cost (+60% YoY)
Alert
Buy
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Growth in spends healthy; margins moderate slightly
Motilal Oswal
Alert
Buy
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Valuations appear attractive in light of promising business potential beyond external overhangs
ICICI Securities Limited
There is no change in the business prowess of SBI Cards (SBIC) considering the spends growth and its relative market share in CIF/spends. However, there were external overhangs of declining NIMs and loss in fees due to implementation of RBI master circular.
Alert