Option Volatility and Pricing Strategies | Bajaj Finserv (2024)

Options trading is like navigating a complex maze. Among the many factors that influence option prices,volatilitystands out as a critical player. In this article, we will explore the fascinating world ofoption volatilityand delve into pricing strategies that can help you make informed decisions.

What is option volatility?

Options trading is a prevalent and practised method of trading that is influenced by multiple factors. Option volatility plays a key role in options trading as it influences the prices of financial assets. The concept is used by traders to evaluate the prices of financial assets and determine potential risks and profit margins by gaining reliable insights.

As a trader, you must familiarise yourself with two types of volatility: implied and historical.

1. Implied volatility

This volatility allows the trader to study market trends, patterns, event news, etc., to determine future prices.

2. Historical volatility

It helps determine the prices by looking at past data featuring price movements, intervals, and margins.

Importance of option pricing strategies

Option volatility is a prevalent strategy used in options trading to determine prices. Let’s take a look at the importance of option pricing strategies:

1. Effective risk management

The stock market is a volatile space featuring chances of high profit and risks. Option pricing strategies help evaluate potential risks and create a risk management strategy that aligns with the market trends and trading methods.

2. Informed decision making

Gaining insight into price dynamics allows traders to assess the market with a better lens and a positive perspective, which helps them make informed decisions.

3. Identifying market opportunities

Understanding market volatility and pricing strategies helps a trader identify market opportunities and gain an upper hand over others. Pricing strategies let a trader leverage the market conditions to widen the profit margin with lower chances of risks.

Factors influencing option prices

Let us understand the elements that contribute to determining the price of an option:

1. Current underlying asset price

The price of the underlying asset is the foundation upon which option prices are built. For call options, a lower current price compared to the strike price is favourable, while for put options, the opposite holds true. Understanding the current market value of the asset provides the baseline for assessing potential profits or losses.

2. Strike price

The strike price, or exercise price, is the predetermined price at which the option holder can buy (in the case of a call option) or sell (in the case of a put option) the underlying asset. The relationship between the strike price and the current asset price significantly influences option prices, impacting the cost of entering an options contract.

3. Type of option (call or put)

Whether an option is a call, or a put plays a pivotal role in pricing. Call options, providing the right to buy, tend to cost more when the market is bullish, while put options, granting the right to sell, become more expensive in bearish markets. Traders need to align their option type with their market outlook.

4. Time to expiration

The ticking clock is a relentless factor in options pricing. The more time an option has until expiration, the higher its price tends to be. Time decay, or theta, is a critical consideration for options traders, as it impacts the value of the option as it approaches its expiration date.

5. Risk-free interest rate

Interest rates influence the opportunity cost of tying up capital in an options trade. Higher interest rates can lead to higher option prices, especially for longer-dated options. Traders need to factor in prevailing interest rates to assess the overall cost and potential returns of an options position.

6. Dividends on the underlying

For stocks that pay dividends, the timing and amount of dividend payments can impact options pricing. Call options may be affected as dividends can reduce the price of the underlying stock, influencing the profitability of the call option.

7. Volatility (The most critical factor)

Volatility, the protagonist of our exploration, is arguably the most critical factor influencing option prices. It measures the magnitude of price fluctuations in the underlying asset. Higher volatility tends to lead to higher option prices as there is a greater likelihood of significant price movements, offering more profit potential.

Option volatility and pricing strategies

Let us explore some key options volatility trading strategies, each tailored to capitalise on specific market conditions.

1. Long puts

Objective: Profit from increased volatility.

Execution: Buying put options provides traders the opportunity to benefit from a significant drop in the underlying asset's price. As volatility rises and the market takes a downturn, the put option gains value, allowing the trader to potentially profit from the downward movement.

2. Short calls

Objective: Capitalise on high volatility.

Execution: Selling call options is a strategy aimed at taking advantage of a volatile or declining market. By selling call options, traders keep the premium received if the market remains turbulent or experiences a downward trend. This strategy can be particularly effective in uncertain market conditions.

3. Short straddles or strangles

Objective: Benefit from volatility swings.

Execution: This strategy involves simultaneously selling an at-the-money (ATM) call and put option. If the market experiences significant movement, one side's gain can offset the other's loss. Traders employing this strategy anticipate and capitalise on volatility, betting that the market will make a substantial move in either direction.

4. Ratio writing

Objective: Adjust risk exposure.

Execution: Ratio writing allows traders to modify their risk exposure by adjusting the number of options (calls or puts) in their position. For example, a trader might choose to write two calls for every three puts. This strategy helps manage risk by dynamically altering the ratio of options in the portfolio.

5. Iron condors

Objective: Thrive on low volatility.

Execution: In market conditions characterised by low volatility and a sideways trend, the iron condor strategy comes into play. This involves combining a short call spread and a short put spread. Traders profit if the market remains within a specific range, showcasing the adaptability of options trading strategies to different market scenarios.

6. Naked call and put strategy

Objective: Leverage market sentiment.

Execution: While this strategy is relatively straightforward, it is recommended for seasoned traders. That is because it has limitless risk; that is, you can incur unlimited losses.

The strategy warrants selling the out-of-money put option at a time when the underlying price is bullish, but you expect considerable volatility. Conversely, if you think the market will continue to be bearish, you can write a naked call. Once the underlying price decreases, you sell the out-of-the-money call option and make profits.

Conclusion

These option volatility trading strategies are not one-size-fits-all; their effectiveness depends on the trader's market outlook, risk tolerance, and the specific conditions prevailing in the market. Successful options traders often employ a combination of these strategies, adapting to changing market dynamics and seeking opportunities in both high and low volatility environments.

Option Volatility and Pricing Strategies | Bajaj Finserv (2024)

FAQs

How to read option volatility and pricing? ›

To plan an option strategy, one must understand how the volatility factor impacts options prices.
  1. Type of options – decided.
  2. Underlying asset price – known.
  3. Strike price – decided.
  4. Expiration date – known.
  5. Risk-free interest rate – known.
  6. Dividend on underlying asset – known.
  7. Market volatility (implied volatility) – unknown.

What is the best option strategy for volatility? ›

The Long Straddle is often considered the best options strategy for high volatility due to its potential for high returns in uncertain markets. It's a key part of any option strategy for volatility and is central to option volatility trading strategies, providing an avenue to profit from increasing market volatility.

What is the most consistently profitable option strategy? ›

1. Selling Covered Calls – The Best Options Trading Strategy Overall. The What: Selling a covered call obligates you to sell 100 shares of the stock at the designated strike price on or before the expiration date. For taking on this obligation, you will be paid a premium.

How does option volatility affect option pricing? ›

Volatility is also positively correlated with an option's price since the greater the price movements of a stock or other asset, the more chances those large moves will produce an in-the-money option. Because of this, volatility plays a key role in pricing options.

Should you sell options when volatility is high? ›

Option traders typically sell, or write, options when implied volatility is high because this means selling or “going short” on volatility, betting that it will revert to the mean. Likewise, when implied volatility is low, options traders will buy options or “go long” on volatility, anticipating a rise.

What is the best indicator for volatility trading? ›

Volatility Indicators
  1. Standard Deviation. Standard deviation serves as a statistical measure indicating the degree of variability or spread around a mean. ...
  2. Average True Range - ATR. ...
  3. Bollinger band. ...
  4. VIX - Volatility Index. ...
  5. Donchian Channel.
Apr 16, 2024

How do you never lose in option trading? ›

The option sellers stand a greater risk of losses when there is heavy movement in the market. So, if you have sold options, then always try to hedge your position to avoid such losses. For example, if you have sold at the money calls/puts, then try to buy far out of the money calls/puts to hedge your position.

Which option strategy has the highest success rate? ›

A Bull Call Spread is made by purchasing one call option and concurrently selling another call option with a lower cost and a higher strike price, both of which have the same expiration date. Furthermore, this is considered the best option selling strategy.

What is the riskiest option strategy? ›

What Is the Riskiest Option Strategy? Selling call options on a stock that is not owned is the riskiest option strategy. This is also known as writing a naked call and selling an uncovered call.

What is a good implied volatility for options? ›

Similarly, when traders do not protect themselves vigorously against strong market changes, their IVs fall. The majority of traders are comfortable with IVs of 20% to 25%. Since traders are not expecting any events that could trigger volatility, IVs on ATM Nifty options have recently decreased to roughly 14%.

How to calculate volatility for option pricing? ›

Calculating Volatility
  1. Gather the security's past prices.
  2. Calculate the average price (mean) of the security's past prices.
  3. Determine the difference between each price in the set and the average price.
  4. Square the differences from the previous step.
  5. Sum the squared differences.

How do you know if an option is overpriced? ›

An option is only "cheap" or "under priced" if you expect implied volatility to increase.? Conversely, an option is only "expensive" or "over priced" if you expect implied volatility to fall.

How do you read options prices? ›

Bid – The bid represents the best available price that the option can be sold for. Ask – The ask represents the best available price that the option can be purchased for. Volume – Volume represents the amount of transactions that have occurred on the current trading day.

How do you calculate volatility for option pricing? ›

Calculating Volatility
  1. Gather the security's past prices.
  2. Calculate the average price (mean) of the security's past prices.
  3. Determine the difference between each price in the set and the average price.
  4. Square the differences from the previous step.
  5. Sum the squared differences.

How do you read volatility? ›

A higher volatility implies a larger potential percentage price change in the stock price. And the more likely a stock will make a large move, the higher the probability a further OTM strike might be ITM at expiration. (Keep in mind, probability is theoretical and isn't a guarantee of future performance.)

How do you interpret volatility percentage? ›

Volatility is often expressed as a percentage: If a stock has an annualized volatility of 10%, that means it has the potential to either gain or lose 10% of its total value in a year. Though volatility isn't the same as risk, volatile assets are often considered riskier because their performance is less predictable.

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