Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities (2024)

The Indian stock market rally since March 2023 lows has been driven more by P/E expansion rather than trailing earnings growth, indicating high earnings growth expectations ahead, analysts said.

The Nifty 50 index expanded 31% from the lows of March 2023, as against a trailing earnings expansion of around 18% during the same time, thereby resulting in valuations expanding from a reasonable 17.5x to an elevated 20x on a forward earnings basis, analysts at ICICI Securities said.

The rally in the broader market was even higher compared to their earnings expansion with midcaps, smallcaps and microcap stocks giving returns of 62%, 73% and 100%, respectively, since March 2023 lows.

Also Read: IT sector outlook: Worst may not be over; Nirmal Bang sees earnings downside risk for FY25-26

Meanwhile, analysts believe the positive surprise in India’s GDP growth for the December quarter at 8.4% sets the stage for an earnings upgrade.

“Driven by the ‘investment rate’, real GDP growth for Q3FY24 was much higher (8.4% YoY) than consensus estimates, thereby resulting in consensus upward revision to FY24 GDP. This could potentially lead to upward earnings revisions – such expectations have begun egging stock prices on, which are already stretched in terms of valuations, thereby thinning the ‘margin of safety’," ICICI Securities’ analysts Vinod Karki and Niraj Karnani said in a report.

They believe upward growth revision is likely to continue to emanate from cyclical and capital intensive space, as it has been for the past one year, thereby resulting in their outperformance.

Also Read: Stock market today: How to tweak your portfolio before Lok Sabha election 2024

Our one-year forward (March 2025) target for Nifty 50 stands at 24,800 and implies a 10% upside against the long-term expected returns of ~14%, analysts said.

Over the past one year, for the largecap space, the FY24/FY25 aggregate earnings forecasts have been revised upwards for the cyclical and capital-intensive sectors while the aggregate earnings of the defensive sector have been downgraded, they noted.

ICICI Securities’ top picks from its coverage universe include Larsen & Toubro (L&T), BHEL, Jindal Steel & Power, Jindal Stainless, Astra Microwave, ONGC, HPCL, GAIL India, Ambuja Cements, Grasim Industries, Archean Chemical, Greenpanel Industries, Delhivery, Cipla, M&M, Balkrishna Industries, Zomato, IndusInd Bank and SBI Life Insurance.

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Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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Published: 12 Mar 2024, 10:52 AM IST

Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities (2024)

FAQs

Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities? ›

Our one-year forward (March 2025) target for Nifty 50 stands at 24,800 and implies a 10% upside against the long-term expected returns of ~14%, analysts said.

What is the target price of Nifty 50 in 2025? ›

In the long-term, we foresee a target of 26,500 for December 2025. The market estimates a stable earnings growth of 12 to 14% for the next 2-3yrs in anticipation of the average 7% GDP growth of India. The volatility, which increased during the year, has drastically reduced with the formation of a stable coalition.

What is the share price target for ICICI Bank in 2025? ›

According to analysts, ICICIBANK price target is 1319.20 INR with a max estimate of 1450.00 INR and a min estimate of 1102.00 INR.

What is the target of Nifty 50 in 2024? ›

Base Case Scenario: Assuming the Nifty continues to trade at the 15-year average PE of 19x, and considering the estimated EPS of 1358 for March 2026, the brokerage predicts the Nifty could reach 25,810 by December 2024. (An earlier estimate based on a slightly different EPS resulted in a target of 25,363).

What is the target price of Icici Securities? ›

Stock price target for Icici Securities Limited ISEC are 733.5 on downside and 745.3 on upside.
Tomorrow Target 1730.8
Tomorrow Target 2736.2
Tomorrow Target 3742.6
Tomorrow Target 4748
Tomorrow Target 5754.4

What is the price target for share India securities in 2025? ›

Key Takeaways from Forecasted Price for SHAREINDIA from 2024 to 2030
YearInitial TargetYear-End Target
2024₹2183.11₹2835.34
2025₹2892₹3245
2026₹3310₹3713
2027₹3787₹4248
3 more rows

What is the price target of ITC in 2025? ›

According to analysts, ITC price target is 493.44 INR with a max estimate of 585.00 INR and a min estimate of 400.00 INR.

What is the target price of Icici Prudential in 2024? ›

In 2024, Icici Prudential Life Insurance Comp Ltd (ICICIPRULI) is expected to experience strong growth, with an initial target of ₹620.98.

What is the price of Icici stock in 2030? ›

What is the ICICI Bank Share Price Target for 2030? ICICI Bank Share Price Target for 2030 is ₹5,160 to ₹5,689.

What is the long term target of ICICI Bank share price? ›

ICICI Bank Ltd. has an average target of 1292.43. The consensus estimate represents an upside of 16.89% from the last price of 1105.65. View 36 reports from 16 analysts offering long-term price targets for ICICI Bank Ltd..

When Nifty will reach 50,000? ›

If you get 15% compounded on a five-year basis, you're talking about 44,000-45,000 in the next five years. Nifty should kiss the 50,000 mark by 2030-2031.

What is the return of Nifty 50 in 15 years? ›

Nifty 50 CAGR 15 Years
YearNifty 50 TRI CAGR 15 Years
2006-202111.60%
2007-202211.97%
2008-202310.36%
2009-202415.63%
6 more rows
Apr 7, 2024

Is Nifty Next 50 good for long term investment? ›

Investing in Nifty Next 50 can be worthwhile for long-term growth as it includes potential future blue-chip companies, but it may carry higher volatility.

Is it good to buy ICICI securities? ›

ICICI Securities has TTM P/E ratio 13.86 as compared to the sector P/E of 26.57. There are 2 analysts who have initiated coverage on ICICI Securities. There are 0 analysts who have given it a strong buy rating & 1 analysts have given it a buy rating. 0 analysts have given the stock a sell rating.

Should I join Icici Securities? ›

ICICI Securities has an overall rating of 3.6 out of 5, based on over 1,277 reviews left anonymously by employees. 62% of employees would recommend working at ICICI Securities to a friend and 72% have a positive outlook for the business. This rating has improved by 1% over the last 12 months.

Is it safe to invest in Icici? ›

High risk: ICICI Smallcap Fund is categorized as a "Very High" risk investment by SEBI due to its focus on small-cap stocks. This means it is more volatile than large-cap or mid-cap funds and can experience significant fluctuations in value. Long-term investment: Small-cap fun.

Is Nifty Next 50 good for long term? ›

Investing in Nifty Next 50 can be worthwhile for long-term growth as it includes potential future blue-chip companies, but it may carry higher volatility.

What is the price prediction for Nifty 50? ›

Nifty 50 formed a long bull candle on the daily chart, which is indicating a possibility of decisive upside breakout of broader range movement at 23,600 - 23,700 levels. “One may expect upside momentum to pick up in the short term. The short-term trend of Nifty remains positive.

What is the Nifty in 2030? ›

Raamdeo Agrawal: Nifty is hovering around 22,000 levels. If you get 15% compounded on a five-year basis, you're talking about 44,000-45,000 in the next five years. Nifty should kiss the 50,000 mark by 2030-2031.

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