Netflix, Inc. (NFLX): Were Hedge Funds Right About This Stock? (2024)

The latest 13F reporting period has come and gone, and Insider Monkey is again at the forefront when it comes to making use of this gold mine of data. We at Insider Monkey have plowed through 873 13F filings that hedge funds and well-known value investors are required to file by the SEC. The 13F filings show the funds’ and investors’ portfolio positions as of June 30th. In this article we look at what those investors think of Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX).

Is Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) going to take off soon? Investors who are in the know were betting on the stock. The number of bullish hedge fund positions moved up by 3 in recent months. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) was in 113 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the second quarter of 2021. The all time high for this statistic is 116. Our calculations also showed that NFLX ranked 13th among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds (click for Q2 rankings). There were 110 hedge funds in our database with NFLX positions at the end of the first quarter.

Why do we pay any attention at all to hedge fund sentiment? Our research has shown that a select group of hedge fund holdings outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 79 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). That’s why we believe hedge fund sentiment is an extremely useful indicator that investors should pay attention to.

At Insider Monkey, we scour multiple sources to uncover the next great investment idea. Recently we came across a high growth stock that has tons of hidden assets and is trading at an extremely cheap valuation.We go through lists like the 10best growth stocks to buyto pick the next Tesla that will deliver a 10x return. Even though we recommend positions in only a tiny fraction of the companies we analyze, we check out as many stocks as we can. We read hedge fund investor letters and listen to stock pitches at hedge fund conferences. You can subscribe to our free daily newsletter onour homepage. Now we’re going to check out the fresh hedge fund action regarding Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX).

Do Hedge Funds Think NFLX Is A Good Stock To Buy Now?

At the end of June, a total of 113 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey were long this stock, a change of 3% from one quarter earlier. Below, you can check out the change in hedge fund sentiment towards NFLX over the last 24 quarters. So, let’s see which hedge funds were among the top holders of the stock and which hedge funds were making big moves.

Of the funds tracked by Insider Monkey, Ken Griffin’s Citadel Investment Group has the number one call position in Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), worth close to $2.1957 billion, amounting to 0.5% of its total 13F portfolio. The second largest stake is held by Ken Fisher of Fisher Asset Management, with a $2.1041 billion position; 1.3% of its 13F portfolio is allocated to the company. Remaining hedge funds and institutional investors that are bullish include Boykin Curry’s Eagle Capital Management, David Goel and Paul Ferri’s Matrix Capital Management and John Armitage’s Egerton Capital Limited. In terms of the portfolio weights assigned to each position Immersion Capital allocated the biggest weight to Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), around 12.27% of its 13F portfolio. Blacksheep Fund Management is also relatively very bullish on the stock, setting aside 11.74 percent of its 13F equity portfolio to NFLX.

As one would reasonably expect, key hedge funds have jumped into Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) headfirst. Soroban Capital Partners, managed by Eric W. Mandelblatt and Gaurav Kapadia, created the most valuable position in Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX). Soroban Capital Partners had $337.6 million invested in the company at the end of the quarter. Gavin Baker’s Atreides Management also initiated a $102.2 million position during the quarter. The other funds with new positions in the stock are Gaurav Kapadia’s XN Exponent Advisors, Stanley Druckenmiller’s Duquesne Capital, and Oscar Hattink’s BlueDrive Global Investors.

Let’s now take a look at hedge fund activity in other stocks similar to Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX). These stocks are The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ), Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC), salesforce.com, inc. (NYSE:CRM), Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO), Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY), and Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE). This group of stocks’ market values are closest to NFLX’s market value.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
KO 62 24965786 1
VZ 63 10958091 -6
INTC 78 6764047 -5
CRM 108 11767293 17
CSCO 60 4219112 1
LLY 64 2994849 9
PFE 67 2356906 2
Average 71.7 9146583 2.7

View table hereif you experience formatting issues.

As you can see these stocks had an average of 71.7 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $9147 million. That figure was $13217 million in NFLX’s case. salesforce.com, inc. (NYSE:CRM) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) is the least popular one with only 60 bullish hedge fund positions. Compared to these stocks Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) is more popular among hedge funds. Our overall hedge fund sentiment score for NFLX is 93.2. Stocks with higher number of hedge fund positions relative to other stocks as well as relative to their historical range receive a higher sentiment score. Our calculations showed that top 5 most popular stocks among hedge funds returned 95.8% in 2019 and 2020, and outperformed the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) by 40 percentage points. These stocks returned 26.3% in 2021 through October 29th but still managed to beat the market by 2.3 percentage points. Hedge funds were also right about betting on NFLX as the stock returned 30.7% since the end of June (through 10/29) and outperformed the market by an even larger margin. Hedge funds were clearly right about piling into this stock relative to other stocks with similar market capitalizations.

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Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.

NASDAQ:NFLXYahoo FinanceSentiment Score 90 or Moreis NFLX a good stock to buyIs NFLX A Good Investment Right Now?

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX): Were Hedge Funds Right About This Stock? (2024)

FAQs

Is Netflix a good stock to buy? ›

Netflix has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 23 buy ratings, 12 hold ratings and 1 sell ratings. What is Netflix's price target? The average price target for Netflix is $673.89.

What is the intrinsic value of nflx? ›

What is intrinsic value? Netflix Inc's market capitalization is 277.9B USD. NFLX stock price is 644.93 USD. The Intrinsic Value of NFLX stock (361.16 USD) is 44% less than its price (644.93 USD).

What is the fundamental analysis of Netflix stock? ›

current PE on trailing twelve month basis is above Broadcasting Media & Cable TV industry average. Netflix Inc PEG ratio is at 2.61 Company is currently trading with Price to Cash flow multiple of 149.98 in trailing twelve-month period. Company's Price to Sales ratio is at 8.66.

What is Netflix 52 week high and low? ›

The low in the last 52 weeks of Netflix stock was 344.73. According to the current price, Netflix is 188.29% away from the 52-week low. What was the 52-week high for Netflix stock? The high in the last 52 weeks of Netflix stock was 697.53.

Is Netflix a good stock to buy in 2024? ›

Fair Value Estimate for Netflix

With its 2-star rating, we believe Netflix's stock is overvalued compared with our long-term fair value estimate of $440, which implies a multiple of 24 times our 2024 earnings per share forecast.

Is it legit to invest in Netflix? ›

Is Netflix a good stock to buy? Netflix is a great stock for growth investors with a high risk tolerance. For more risk-averse investors, Netflix stock may not be the right choice due to its lofty valuation.

What is the true value of Netflix? ›

As of today (2024-07-25), Netflix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $83.39. The stock price of Netflix is $634.09. Therefore, Netflix's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 7.6.

What is the fair value of Netflix? ›

As of 2024-07-25, the Fair Value of Netflix Inc (NFLX) is 373.35 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 635.99 USD, the upside of Netflix Inc is -41.3%.

What is NFLX current ratio? ›

Netflix (NFLX) Current Ratio : 1.07 (As of Mar. 2024)

What are the analyst recommendations for Netflix stocks? ›

Snapshot
Average RecommendationOverweight
Average Target Price684.94
Number Of Ratings53
FY Report Date12/2024
Last Quarter's Earnings4.88
6 more rows

What type of stock is Netflix? ›

Real time quote data is not available at this time.

What is Netflix stock structure? ›

Netflix (NFLX) Ownership Overview

The ownership structure of Netflix (NFLX) stock is a mix of institutional, retail and individual investors. Approximately 50.12% of the company's stock is owned by Institutional Investors, 5.30% is owned by Insiders and 44.58% is owned by Public Companies and Individual Investors.

Is NFLX a buy? ›

Netflix, Inc. - Buy. Zacks' proprietary data indicates that Netflix, Inc. is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 2 and we are expecting an above average return from the NFLX shares relative to the market in the next few months.

What are the 10 best stocks to buy right now? ›

Sign up for Kiplinger's Free E-Newsletters
Company (ticker)Analysts' consensus recommendation scoreAnalysts' consensus recommendation
ServiceNow (NOW)1.49Strong Buy
Assurant (AIZ)1.50Strong Buy
Howmet Aerospace (HWM)1.50Strong Buy
Insulet (PODD)1.50Strong Buy
21 more rows

Has Netflix ever paid dividends? ›

Netflix (NFLX) does not pay a dividend.

What will Netflix stock be worth in 5 years? ›

Netflix stock price stood at $642.76

According to the latest long-term forecast, Netflix price will hit $700 by the end of 2024 and then $800 by the end of 2025. Netflix will rise to $1100 within the year of 2026, $1300 in 2027, $1500 in 2028, $1800 in 2029, $2000 in 2030 and $2500 in 2035.

How risky is Netflix stock? ›

Netflix Investment Opportunity

Netflix has a volatility of 1.45 and is 2.23 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 12 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Netflix. You can use Netflix to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend.

Is Netflix expected to grow? ›

The streaming giant said it is looking for full-year revenue to grow 14% to 15%, up from 13% to 15% previously. It also sees some strength being offset by the stronger dollar compared to most other currencies. Further, Netflix expects a slight improvement in its operating margins for 2024.

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