Meta plunges 16% on weak revenue guidance even as first-quarter results top estimates (2024)

Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Meta, testifies during the US Senate Judiciary Committee hearing "Big Tech and the Online Child Sexual Exploitation Crisis" in Washington, DC, on January 31, 2024.

Brendan Smialowski | AFP | Getty Images

Meta shares plunged 16% in extended trading on Wednesday after the company issued a light forecast, which overshadowed better-than-expected first-quarter results.

Here are the key numbers:

  • Earnings per share: $4.71 per share vs. $4.32 per share expected by LSEG
  • Revenue: $36.46 billion vs. $36.16 billion expected by LSEG

Revenue increased 27% from $28.65 billion in the same period a year earlier, the fastest rate of expansion for any quarter since 2021. Net income more than doubled to $12.37 billion, or $4.71 per share, from $5.71 billion, or $2.20 per share, a year ago.

One reason for the pop in net income is that, while revenue growth accelerated, sales and marketing costs dropped 16% from the year-earlier period.

Meta said it expects sales in the second quarter of $36.5 billion to $39 billion. The midpoint of the range, $37.75 billion, would represent 18% year-over-year growth and is below analysts' average estimate of $38.3 billion.

The stock sell-off accelerated early in the earnings call after CEO Mark Zuckerberg jumped into his discussion about investments, namely in areas like glasses and mixed reality, where the company doesn't currently make money. And he said investments in artificial intelligence are increasing.

"On the upside, once our new AI services reach scale, we have a strong track record of monetizing them effectively," Zuckerberg said.

The Facebook parent no longer reports daily active users and monthly active users. It now gives a figure for what it calls "family daily active people." That number was 3.24 billion for March 2024, a 7% increase from a year earlier.

Meta has raised investor expectations due to its improved financial performance in recent quarters, leaving little room for error. The stock is up about 40% this year, as of Wednesday's close, after almost tripling last year. In February 2023, Zuckerberg told investors it would be the "year of efficiency," which initiated the rally.

At the time, Zuckerberg said the company would be better at eliminating unnecessary projects and cracking down on bloat, which would help Meta become a "stronger and more nimble organization." The company cut about 21,000 jobs in the first half of 2023, and Zuckerberg said in February of this year that hiring will be "relatively minimal compared to what we would have done historically."

Headcount declined by 10% in the first quarter from a year earlier to 69,329.

Capital expenditures for 2024 are anticipated to be in the $35 billion to $40 billion range, an increase from a prior forecast of $30 billion to $37 billion "as we continue to accelerate our infrastructure investments to support our artificial intelligence (AI) roadmap," Meta said.

Average revenue per user in the quarter was $11.20, the company said.

Meta has been clawing back digital ad market share after a dismal 2022. At that time, it was reeling from Apple's iOS privacy update and macroeconomic concerns that led many brands to rein in spending.

Zuckerberg spearheaded an initiative to rebuild the ad business with a focus on AI. On the company's last earnings call in February, finance chief Susan Li said Meta has been investing in AI models that can accurately predict relevant ads for users, as well as tools that automate the ads-creation process.

Advertising revenue, which accounts for the vast majority of Meta's business, jumped 27% in the first quarter to $35.64 billion.

Meta is benefiting from a stabilizing economy andsurge in spendingfrom Chinese discount retailers like Temu and Shein, which have been pumping money into Facebook and Instagram in an effort to reach a wider swath of users. Some analysts have warned that slower spending from China-based advertisers could be a source of concern in the first quarter and as the year progresses.

Li said on Wednesday's earnings call that the company isn't quantifying the contribution from China in the quarter, but she said advertising revenue in the Asia-Pacific region increased 41% from a year earlier, making it the fastest growing region, and was boosted by online commerce and gaming.

The company's Reality Labs unit, which houses its hardware and software for development of the nascent metaverse, continues to bleed cash. Reality Labs reported sales of $440 million for the quarter and $3.85 billion in losses, bringing total losses since the end of 2020 to over $45 billion. Analysts expected the division to show an operating loss of $4.31 billion for the quarter.

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WATCH: Meta will generate more ad dollars than the competition

Meta plunges 16% on weak revenue guidance even as first-quarter results top estimates (2024)

FAQs

Why is META stock falling so much? ›

Shares of META have declined by nearly 7% over the past month. The decline comes amid a flurry of activities to expand the company's operations as CEO Mark Zuckerberg focuses on an ambitious push into artificial intelligence (AI) and the metaverse.

What is the revenue forecast for META? ›

META Sales Forecast

Next quarter's sales forecast for META is $38.21B with a range of $37.33B to $39.00B.

What is the META stock price prediction for 2024? ›

Analytical Meta stock predictions in 2024 range between $540 and $642 by the end of the year. As of now, the stock is valued at around $495. Analysts are generally optimistic about Meta's growth prospects, driven by advancements in AI technology, the metaverse, and strong advertising revenue.

Is META going to beat earnings? ›

For the full year, analysts project that Meta's revenue will rise 17.8% to $158.9 billion in 2024, after climbing 15.7% last year, according to FactSet. Revenue slipped 1.1% in 2022. Meta's earnings are expected to grow this year but at a slower rate compared to Meta's 2023 recovery year.

Should I sell Meta stock now? ›

META Signals & Forecast

The META stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock.

Where will Meta stock be in 5 years? ›

Long-Term Meta Stock Price Predictions
YearPredictionChange
2025$ 647.8130.93%
2026$ 848.1771.42%
2027$ 1,110.50124.44%
2028$ 1,453.96193.86%
2 more rows

What is meta main source of revenue? ›

How Does Meta Make Money From Ads? Meta, formerly known as Facebook, primarily earns revenues by selling advertising space on its social media platforms, such as Facebook and Instagram.

What is the future for meta? ›

Meta stock forecast 2024

Analysts are optimistic about Meta's business and stock price this year, projecting full-year earnings per share of $19.92. That's up from $14.51 in 2023.

What is meta earnings prediction for Q1 2024? ›

Key Takeaways
Analyst Estimates for Q1 2024Q1 2023
Revenue$36.27 billion$28.65 billion
Diluted Earnings Per Share$4.34$2.20
Net Income$11.35 billion$5.71 billion
Apr 24, 2024

What will META stock be worth in 2040? ›

META stock forecast 2040: META's stock is expected to hit $10,560.59 by 2040 with a 20% annual return over the next 17 years. META stock forecast 2050: Using the 15.2% rate from QTEC, META's value would be $20,722.81, whereas the S&P 500 would have a value of $8,072 based on the same metric in 2050.

How much will META be worth in 2025? ›

Will Meta be worth more than Alphabet by 2025? Looking further ahead, analysts expect Meta's revenue and earnings to grow 12% and 15%, respectively, in 2026. If Meta remains on track to hit those targets and still trades at 23 times forward earnings, its stock could reach $610 by the end of 2025.

Is META a good long-term stock? ›

Earnings are expected to grow 35.8% year-over-year for the current fiscal year, with sales growth of 17.8%. Eight analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.11 to $20.19 per share for 2024. META boasts an average earnings surprise of 13.3%.

Has META ever made a profit? ›

Meta Platforms gross profit for the twelve months ending March 31, 2024 was $116.221B, a 26.34% increase year-over-year. Meta Platforms annual gross profit for 2023 was $108.943B, a 19.25% increase from 2022. Meta Platforms annual gross profit for 2022 was $91.36B, a 4.11% decline from 2021.

Why is META falling? ›

The drop came after the company posted lower-than-expected revenue guidance for the second quarter. Further, its plan to aggressively invest in artificial intelligence has made investors cautious.

Is META overvalued? ›

Fair Value Estimate for Meta Stock

With its 2-star rating, we believe Meta's stock is overvalued compared with our long-term fair value estimate of $400 per share, representing an enterprise value of 11 times our 2024 adjusted EBITDA projection.

Will Meta stock go back up? ›

Analysts are optimistic about Meta's business and stock price this year, projecting full-year earnings per share of $19.92. That's up from $14.51 in 2023. In addition, Meta analysts are calling for $158.2 billion in 2024 revenue — a whopping annual growth of 17.3%.

How much did Meta invest in AI? ›

Here's why Meta is spending $35 billion to $40 billion on AI infrastructure, roadmap | Constellation Research Inc.

What is the price of Metastock today? ›

The current price of META is 494.78 USD — it has decreased by 1.38% in the past 24 hours. Watch Meta Platforms stock price performance more closely on the chart.

What is Meta on my Facebook? ›

A Meta account lets you log into your VR devices and view and manage your purchased content in one place. You can set up a Meta account with your email address or Facebook account.

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