Investment strategy is vital factor in inflation (2024)

Written by Monica Correa on June 21, 2022

  • Investment strategy is vital factor in inflation (1)

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Investment strategy is vital factor in inflation (2)

Although there may be some time before inflation is felt at a personal and business level, higher prices are here to stay, and according to financial experts, analyzing investing strategies, keeping cash available and reducing unnecessary costs to operations might be key ways to come afloat during these times.

“History teaches us that when inflation peaks, stocks usually turn positive,” said Julian A. Gualtieri, financial advisor of Morgan Stanley’s Global Wealth Management. “The world is changing at a rapid pace, and there are new opportunities every day to expand and grow business and personal wealth, despite of the current environment.”

The peak of inflation has not arrived yet, he added, but the way it will eventually affect residents is by raising the cost of living.

Inflation will also make it more complicated for business owners because the supplies and services they need to run a business are becoming more costly. “So, there will be a need for business owners to adjust prices, because running the business is more expensive,” he said. “However, this sequence of events demoralizes consumer sentiment.”

According to a poll by Business.org of 700 starting small-business owners, 50% underestimated how much they would have to spend in their first year of business to make money. Storefront business owners, said the report, spent around $100,000, averaging a revenue of $105,000 in their first year.

These business owners, the article said, spent 30% of their investment on inventory, 21% on equipment, 15% on location, 12% on taxes, 7% on utilities and 6% on payroll.

Minimizing expenses, organizing and analyzing balance sheets more frequently, and identifying the most important factors of their businesses are ways in which businesses owners could mitigate inflation difficulties, Mr. Gualtieri said. Additionally, “working closely with a financial advisor, an accountant, or a CPA to analyze variable rate loans, personal investments, and business liquidity management/investing strategies” could help mitigate its effects.

The biggest cost of managing a business for clients, he added, comes down to payroll costs, which usually amount to 70% of the business spending.

“You may want to evaluate timing, business expenses, liquidity, and your outlook for the business,” he said. “I don’t think any market environment, despite catastrophic times, such as the 2008 recession, should stop you from engaging in new business ventures and achieving your dreams.”

Lauren Anastasio, director of financial advice and certified financial planner at Stash, said that although the expectation is that inflation may taper off, prices are not going to revert to what they were.

“It just means that prices will continue to climb at a much slower rate than they have recently,” she said. “So, we need to get comfortable with adjusting to this new reality. I think that we always have to be mindful about what’s in our control and what’s outside of our control.”

It is important to still hold on to cash, she said. “Cash is going to continue to be unbelievably vital, especially to business owners to be adaptable and agile to make quick business decision.”

Additionally, finding creative solutions with lenders is a way to control expenses and cash flow, she said. “Look into areas where you may be able to negotiate a contract that you haven’t revisited for some time, or if maybe you can create your own service agreement.”

One of the top priorities for consumers, Ms. Anastasio said, should be eliminating higher interest rate debt. Interest has been historically low for several years, and “even though we may have been comfortable carrying balances and credit cards, for example, or taking out loans because money was cheap, with interest rates rising, now is a time that we really want to eliminate debts on things with a variable interest rate, such as a home equity line of credit (HELOC), to both reduce the cost of our borrowing but also free up cash flow and eliminate those payments.”

Another helpful practice, she continued, is going through credit card bills or checking accounts statement every couple of months to analyze expenses and try to identify unnecessary ones that could be eliminated. “It is a time for us to look a little bit deeper on spending to try and rein things in.”

“Every person should have a tailor-made financial plan that could be prepared by a financial advisor,” Mr. Gualtieri said. “This would include budgets and expenses analysis, an outlook based on the expected economic environment, asset allocation analysis based on the current real estate and financial market, retirement or lifestyle goals, and investment strategy to mitigate inflation and achieve your goals, both long and short term.”

Life and family expenses, such as a mortgage or children’s tuition, should be organized in a structured budget to keep the same level of quality of life, Mr. Gualtieri added.

Investment strategy is vital factor in inflation (2024)

FAQs

Does inflation affect investment strategy? ›

Fixed investments, like bonds or fixed annuities, can be adversely affected by inflation. To diversify, some investors choose to add gold or inflation-indexed investments such as Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) to provide returns that may adjust for inflation changes.

Why is an investment strategy important? ›

A sound investment strategy can make the difference between success and failure, informing your asset purchase decisions and building an enviable portfolio that will support you for the rest of your life.

Which factor investing strategy is likely to benefit the most if inflation and interest rates turn higher? ›

Investments that pay a floating rate of return are likely to be better off in an inflationary environment, as the interest rate they pay is adjusted periodically to reflect market rates.

What is the relationship between inflation and investment? ›

Inflation can also affect the underlying value of the investment. If, for example, you buy a government bond for $100 that pays 3% interest but inflation is above 3%, then the value of the investment will fall.

Is it good to invest during high inflation? ›

Several asset classes perform well in inflationary environments. Tangible assets, like real estate and commodities, have historically been seen as inflation hedges. Some specialized securities can maintain a portfolio's buying power, including certain sector stocks, inflation-indexed bonds, and securitized debt.

How to factor in inflation in investment? ›

The real interest rate is the nominal interest rate minus the rate of inflation. This interest rate accounts for inflation, showing your actual gain or loss in purchasing power.

What investment strategy is the best? ›

Diversification, Diversification, Diversification

"The best way to grow an investment portfolio is twofold: Own great investments, and mitigate losses through diversification," says Stephanie Williams, senior wealth advisor at AlphaCore Wealth Advisory.

What is investment strategy role? ›

What Is an Investment Strategist? Investment strategists are macro-market commentators or advisors and insight generators who analyze economic indicators (e.g., rates, currencies) and advise portfolio managers on strategic and tactical asset allocation and trading strategies.

What is the purpose of strategic investment? ›

Strategic investments allow access to resources and capabilities that can accelerate innovation and growth. However, loss of control, conflicts of interest and misaligned incentives are risks to evaluate. Thorough due diligence and deal structuring is crucial to ensure alignment and mutual benefit.

What is the best investment to beat inflation? ›

  1. Gold. Gold has often been considered a hedge against inflation. ...
  2. Commodities. ...
  3. A 60/40 Stock/Bond Portfolio. ...
  4. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) ...
  5. The S&P 500. ...
  6. Real Estate Income. ...
  7. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index. ...
  8. Leveraged Loans.

Which type of investment is best protected from an increase in inflation? ›

During inflationary periods, experts suggest making the most of your returns by investing in assets that have historically delivered returns that outpace the rate of inflation. Examples include diversified index funds, as well as carefully investing in things like gold, real estate, Series I savings bonds and TIPS.

How to survive high inflation? ›

To survive inflation, consider spending or saving less, earning more, and using money wisely, especially if you're retired. Additionally, be mindful of taking on new debt and consider refinancing to fix your rates or consolidate existing debts.

What is the best investment in a recession? ›

5 Things to Invest in When a Recession Hits
  • Seek Out Core Sector Stocks. During a recession, you might be inclined to give up on stocks, but experts say it's best not to flee equities completely. ...
  • Focus on Reliable Dividend Stocks. ...
  • Consider Buying Real Estate. ...
  • Purchase Precious Metal Investments. ...
  • “Invest” in Yourself.
May 31, 2024

What are the worst investments during inflation? ›

Cash, fixed-rate bonds and certain types of stocks are generally seen as poor investment choices during high inflation.

Who benefits from high inflation? ›

Poor people don't own much, and so they just get the part of inflation where their income becomes less valuable. The middle class typically benefits from inflation because the middle class typically has a lot of debt.

What is the inflation risk of investments? ›

Inflationary risk is the risk that inflation will undermine an investment's returns through a decline in purchasing power. Bond payments are most at inflationary risk because their payouts are generally based on fixed interest rates, meaning an increase in inflation diminishes their purchasing power.

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