How to use a forex calendar (2024)

The foreign exchange market is constantly changing direction and moving back and forth. Sometimes these shifts are so frantic, they might seem impossible to understand. Fortunately, with the help of the right tools, you can make sense of what occurs on there on a daily basis and produce accurate and proficient forecasts that are sure to increase your gains.

One of the most effective implements to serve this purpose surely has to be the calendar. With its assistance, you can always be up to date with what is going to happen on the market, and when. Having this information readily available makes all the difference in the world in terms of risk management. Here is what you need to know about forex calendars and their usage.

Primarily known as an economic calendar, this type of tool displays all the scheduled events pertaining to the financial market. The most common ones relate to interest rate decision, gross domestic product, and non-farm payroll numbers. Because the economy is a dynamic field, plenty of new releases happen each week, which is why keeping up is essential.

In fact, these changes sometimes occur at such a rapid pace, more than one event will happen during the span of a single day. Fortunately, the economic calendar lists them all, complete with the exact date and time they will happen. However, some events have an almost imperceptible impact on the market, while others trigger a dramatic shift. How can you tell which is which?

Fortunately, most online economic calendars grade each event separately according to its importance. Thus, an even with a minor impact on the financial climate will most likely receive a ‘Low’ rating, or lack one altogether. When a release can potentially affect trading circ*mstances in a visible way, then it is of ‘Medium’ importance.

Such events usually have a yellow star or dot next to them to signal this to forex traders. Finally, red stars or dots imply releases that will have a major impact on the market. These are the ones which usually determine dramatic variations in the direction of trends, price fluctuations, and so on. Bold traders usually wait for this to make their move.

Volatility is typical around red events, which causes many traders to cancel their orders out of fear of severe losses. This causes liquidity to drop, which in turn prompts price values to move frantically back and forth for a while before assuming a direction. Due to the increased adjacent risk, it is wiser to allow this to pass before deciding to trade one way or the other.

According to expert trader and coach Haris Mujkanovic, an economic calendar needs to be checked every morning. This will help you see the bigger picture concerning which currencies will be impacted by releases that transpire during the day. In this way, you will know which positions to close and which ones should be kept open for profits to start coming in.

But how can you tell whether a release will go in your favor or not? Fortunately, the economic calendar also offers previous and forecasted numbers for each domain. For example, when a release turns out to be higher than the GDP prediction, then the base currency will benefit from this. On the opposite end of the spectrum, when the release is lower, it’s time to get out.

Still, this is not a general rule that applies to every single kind of release. In the case of unemployment numbers for instance, it is better for the real numbers to be lower than what has been predicted. Thus, being a clever trader and making proper use of the economic calendar also means being able to get a feel for the situation and how it should go down.

Making money with the help of a forex calendar is thus based on using this tool in order to reduce risks. The market is rather unpredictable sometimes, so it’s essential to have an additional ally on your side to help with forecasts. Still, you should never fully rely on it. Financial factors behave illogically sometimes, and this is something we all need to accept.

Predicting what will transpire on the foreign exchange market with one hundred percent accuracy is almost impossible. Nevertheless, when you have the right tools on hand, you can get as close to a precise forecast as possible. One of the most important of such instruments is the economic calendar, which should be consulted every morning. With its help, profits will start coming in faster than ever.

How to use a forex calendar (2024)

FAQs

How to analyse a forex calendar? ›

To maximise your chances of success in the forex market, you should follow the most important releases and international events on the forex calendar and start your day by checking it every morning. The economic calendar will show you all upcoming economic news and events happening across the world by default.

What is the 5 3 1 rule in forex? ›

The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades. One time to trade, the same time every day.

What is the hardest month to trade forex? ›

The forex calendar is divided into three periods of volatility. Out of these three periods, only two offer the best trading conditions. In June, July and August, volatility slows down due to the summer season, making it the worst time to trade forex.

Is there a way to predict forex? ›

In order to forecast future movements in exchange rates using past market data, traders need to look for patterns and signals. Previous price movements cause patterns to emerge, which technical analysts try to identify and, if correct, should signal where the exchange rate is headed next.

What is 90% rule in forex? ›

The 90 rule in Forex is a commonly cited statistic that states that 90% of Forex traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days. This is a sobering statistic, but it is important to understand why it is true and how to avoid falling into the same trap.

What is the golden rule in forex? ›

Stop losses should always be used and never moved away from the market A stop loss should always be used and just as importantly should be used correctly. The golden rule of Stop Losses is that they should never be moved away from the market once the trade is opened.

What is the 60 40 rule in forex? ›

The 60/40 Rule Explained

Forex options and futures contracts are considered IRC Section 1256 contracts for tax purposes. This means they are subject to a 60/40 tax consideration. In other words, 60% of gains or losses are counted as long-term capital gains or losses, and the remaining 40% is counted as short-term.

What is calendar option strategy? ›

A calendar spread is an options or futures strategy where an investor simultaneously enters long and short positions on the same underlying asset but with different delivery dates. In a typical calendar spread, you would buy a longer-term contract and go short with a nearer-term option with the same strike price.

What minute chart do day traders use? ›

A day trader could trade off of 15-minute charts, use 60-minute charts to define the primary trend and a five-minute chart (or even a tick chart) to define the short-term trend.

How do day traders predict the market? ›

Day traders typically combine strategies and forms of analyses, including the following: Technical analysis: Focuses on past prices and trading patterns to predict coming trends.2. Momentum trading: Capitalizes on short-term trends and reversals to capture quick gains.3.

Which days not to trade forex? ›

The middle of the week typically shows the most movement, as the pip range widens for most of the major currency pairs. Saturdays and Sundays tend to be the least favourable days for trading forex. Most traders tend to avoid trading forex during holidays and around major news events.

What is the most profitable time to trade forex? ›

The London-New York overlap is often considered the most significant and active period in the forex market. Here' are somethings to consider: Timing: This overlap typically occurs between 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM (noon) Eastern Time (ET).

What is the most volatile day in forex? ›

All in all, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are the best days for Forex trading due to higher volatility. During the middle of the week, the currency market sees the most trading action. As for the rest of the week, Mondays are static, and Fridays can be unpredictable.

How do you Analyse a time frame in forex? ›

Most traders will start by choosing one longer timeframe and another shorter timeframe. As a general rule, traders use a ratio of 1:4 or 1:6 when performing multiple timeframe analysis, where a four- or six-hour chart is used as the longer timeframe, and a one-hour chart is used as the lower timeframe.

How do you fundamentally Analyse forex? ›

In forex, a fundamental analysis might involve looking into the economic conditions that affect the value of the country's currency. This can include economic indicators, industrial production, gross domestic product(GDP) or other data that reflect the strength of a country's economy.

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