Home prices rose 2.4 times faster than inflation since 1960s, study finds. What that means for homebuyers (2024)

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While inflation is 10 times higher now than 60 years ago, home prices are 24 times more expensive, a new study found.

If home prices increased at the same rate as inflation since 1963, the median price of a typical house in the U.S. would be $177,511, according to a new research report by Clever, a real estate data company.

In reality, the cost of a typical house in the U.S. is closer to half a million dollars. The median price for a home in the U.S. is $412,778, according to new Redfin data.

"Today, it's harder for adults to buy homes than it was for their parents' generation," said Matt Brannon, a data writer at Clever and the author of the report.

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Why home price growth has outpaced inflation

While mortgage rates have contributed to high costs, supply and demand have also affected the price growth of homes in the U.S., Brannon said.

"When demand for other consumer products comes up, or when it increases, it's usually not too hard for people to scale up supply," Brannon said. "Whereas houses take months to build at a time."

The average time to complete a newly built single-family home is about 9.6 months, according to the 2022 Survey of Construction conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Zoning restrictions, along with prohibitive land costs, can also make it hard to even secure the opportunity to build a new home, Brannon said.

To increase housing supply, local policymakers would need to lower the barriers for builders by easing land-use and zoning regulations, which determine factors such as the maximum height of a building or the minimum size of a lot, C. Kirabo Jackson, an economist and member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, previously told CNBC.

"Production can't move as quickly in housing as it does in other industries," Brannon said. "That often means the price goes up when there isn't enough supply to meet demand."

Proposals in play to ease home affordability

The affordability crisis for homes in the U.S. is a primary political issue for many Americans. More than half, 53.2%, of U.S. homeowners and renters say housing affordability is affecting their decision on who they plan to vote for in the upcoming presidential election, according to a Redfin-commissioned survey. Qualtrics conducted the research in February by polling 3,000 U.S. homeowners and renters.

Moreover, current housing affordability makes 64.2% of owners and renters have negative feelings about the economy, Redfin found.

In fact, affordable housing is a pressing topic for both liberal and conservative voters. The topic is ranked as No. 1 for liberals while it's No. 3 for conservatives, according to a separate survey by the Real Estate Witch.

"It's just something that doesn't come up as often in polling … but when you do ask, it really resonates with people that think about how expensive housing is today," Brannon said.

To address the issue, President Biden announced in early March as part of his budget for fiscal 2025 a plan to cut housing costs, boost supply and expand access to affordable housing.

Biden also called on Congress to pass a mortgage relief credit that would provide a $10,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers and a similar tax credit of up to $10,000 to families selling their starter home.

"It's encouraging that the administration is looking at a range of options to expand housing supply," said Brannon in a statement. "Interventions like these are absolutely required if the U.S. wants to avoid an even worse reality regarding a lack of home affordability."

In a separate action last month, the White House, the Federal Housing Administration and Ginnie Mae, the government-owned guarantor of federally insured home loans, announced an increase on loan limits and broadened lender requirements for the Title I manufactured housing lending program.

"Manufactured homes in this time of historical lack of affordability are a real option for many households," said Susan M. Wachter, aprofessor of real estate and finance at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania."This change enables access to affordable financing for manufactured homes."

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Home prices rose 2.4 times faster than inflation since 1960s, study finds. What that means for homebuyers (2024)

FAQs

Home prices rose 2.4 times faster than inflation since 1960s, study finds. What that means for homebuyers? ›

According to a study by Clever Real Estate, housing prices in the US have risen at 2.4 times the pace of inflation since the 1960s. "If home prices had merely kept pace with inflation, the median home would cost only $177,500 today — compared to the $431,000 it actually costs," Matt Brannon, the report's author, said.

What happens to real estate when inflation rises? ›

Inflation can lead to higher asset prices

As this price of things increases with inflation, so too does real estate. Generally speaking, when inflation increases then housing and other real estate asset prices follow suit.

Do home prices grow faster than inflation? ›

Home prices rose 2.4 times faster than inflation since 1960s, study finds. What that means for homebuyers. If home prices increased at the same rate as inflation since 1963, the median price of a typical house in the U.S. would be $177,511, according to a new research report by Clever, a real estate data company.

How does inflation affect first time home buyers? ›

“The most direct and intuitive way is that the fed is increasing interest rates in response to higher inflation. That could increase mortgage rates as well,” Neal said. “So, all of this suggest that yes, higher inflation could reduce your ability to save to buy a home. It could reduce affordability of the home itself.

Why do some home owners hope for inflation? ›

As noted, inflationary pressure often leads to increased demand for homes and thus drives prices up. If you plan to sell your home, you're benefiting from a seller's market, and those high prices work in your favor.

How does inflation affect the rental market? ›

Does rental income increase with inflation? Yes. As rental property equity goes up with inflation, the loan-to-value of property mortgage debt declines, keeping your mortgage payments the same. Raising rent prices while paying the same monthly mortgage can earn you more rental income.

How will rising inflation affect the real estate market in Quizlet? ›

In real estate, demand inflation mostly affects existing home prices (many people want to live in a certain area where the home supply is limited). High inflation has a greater effect on real estate cycles than business cycles because real estate costs are more significant.

Is it good to buy a house when inflation is high? ›

During a time of significant inflation, your money also might have more buying power than it does later on. That's because your money will buy less if inflation continues to rise. If you act now, you might be able to afford more home with your dollars than you would if you wait and inflation becomes even steeper.

Who benefited from inflation? ›

Inflation brings most benefits to debtors because people seek more money from debtors in order to meet the increased prices of commodities.

Is inflation good for mortgages? ›

Inflation allows borrowers to pay lenders back with money worth less than when it was originally borrowed, which benefits borrowers. When inflation causes higher prices, the demand for credit increases, raising interest rates, which benefits lenders.

Why is shelter inflation so sticky? ›

It's all about housing, which has an outsized effect on the Consumer Price Index — and is contributing to the Fed's lack of action on interest rates. Decisions in residential real estate are often based on market data — sometimes conflicting, often confusing.

Are housing costs included in inflation? ›

Housing prices and mortgage rates don't directly show up in inflation data, however. That's because buying a home is an investment, not just a consumer purchase like groceries. Instead, inflation data is based on rents.

How do property owners benefit from inflation? ›

One of the most compelling advantages for property owners during inflationary periods is the natural growth of equity. As property values rise with inflation, the gap between what your property is worth and what you owe on it widens, effectively increasing your wealth without any additional investment on your part.

Does real estate go up during hyperinflation? ›

People don't desire products and services in hyperinflation; instead, they demand money for their products and services (rent). In times of high inflation, rising housing prices or rental property rates are likely to be positive. As such, real estate can be a good inflation hedge.

What other factors affect property value? ›

In this blog, we will delve into the key factors that can affect property value.
  • Location. The adage "location, location, location" remains a cornerstone in real estate. ...
  • Market Conditions. ...
  • Economic Growth. ...
  • Property Size and Layout. ...
  • Property Age and Condition. ...
  • Comparable Sales (Comps) ...
  • Neighborhood Trends. ...
  • School Quality.

Why is shelter inflation so high? ›

It is therefore important to understand why shelter costs have remained stubbornly high. A key explanation is that, especially since the pandemic, demand for housing has been growing faster than new units have come into the market.

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