Future of commercial banking - KPMG Global (2024)

Driving transformation across commercial banking and building business models for the future

Driving transformation across commercial banking and building business models

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The commercial banking industry is rapidly evolving through digitization, increased competition and tighter regulation. Commercial banks serving small and medium-sized businesses are transforming to compete. So, what will the future commercial banking landscape look like and what should commercial banks do to stay competitive?

In our latest report, KPMG surveyed over 400 commercial banking leaders from around the world, who are involved with customer-centric strategy and enablement decisions. We identified key signals of change taking place across the industry, alongside what we believe will be the three dominant future business models in the new reality. To survive and grow in this new reality, commercial bankers should consider how a connected approach, underpinned by technology to support the front, middle and back office, will enable true value from digital transformation.

Download the report now ⤓

Signals of change

Commercial banking faces a more complex environment than perhaps ever before. Changes across the industry are forcing banks to review their growth strategy and innovate to remain relevant against client demands, rapid enhancement in digital capabilities, digitization and new sources of competition.

Customer:

Commercial banks are building adaptable platforms and ecosystems to provide seamless customer experiences and innovative new products. Successful commercial banks should provide a complete end-to-end experience, across multiple integrated channels (including the convergence between pure retail and corporate portals).

Data, digital and technology:

Both financial and non-financial players can thrive in new ecosystems open to integration, greater connectivity and data sharing. Technologies such as distributed ledgers and quantum computing will increase transaction efficiency, and enhance information sharing, security and transparency.

Trust:

Stakeholders (including public communities) are constantly scrutinizing the impact of banks’ products, services, culture, operations and relationships upon people and the environment. Commercial banks consider regulation and governance as the most important factor to earning trust, and 40 percent believe that by building trust with consumers, they can enhance the brand reputation, achieve higher efficiency and more sustainable growth.

Future of commercial banking - KPMG Global (1)

Future of commercial banking

Discover the latest insights and trends that are shaping the commercial banking industry

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Future business models:

We believe three business models will dominate the commercial banking market:

01

Re-imagined digital commercial bank


These banks will transform into fully connected digital banks, leveraging capital and data, while commercializing traditional cost centers through the re-bundling of services to offer a full range of hybrid value propositions and banking services to generate new income streams.


02

Banking-as-a-Service


Banking-as-a-Service (BaaS) providers will develop and license services and products and manage user interfaces to provide commercial banking services to end users, through intermediary partners. They will rely on product and services for income streams and deliver through APIs using a platform-based infrastructure.

03

Platform provider


The platform provider develops infrastructure to enable the commercial banking ecosystem, by providing, maintaining or policing a banking platform or ecosystem with either open or closed access, for its own and others’ purposes. The platform is a gateway to any number of services and clients, and the technological infrastructure is the main source of income.


KPMG Connected Enterprise

Approaching change means adapting to a connected operating model. The KPMG Connected Enterprise approach is designed to help commercial banking organizations assess their existing capabilities, identify capability gaps, and manage the transformation hurdles across the enterprise to design and embrace their future business models.

Eight capabilities, twice as likely to succeed

The eight capabilities of the KPMG Connected Enterprise deliver tools, methods and frameworks to achieve a new, better business-as-usual with agility and accelerated innovation.

These capabilities help banking organizations define a customer-centric approach to digital transformation that connects the front, middle and back offices, which will be of critical importance to navigate the future commercial banking landscape.

Base: 1,299 professionals involved with customer-centric strategy decisions
Source: A commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of KPMG, September 2018.

  • 2xImpact

Our approach

Our approach is centered on enhancing all eight connected capabilities across the enterprise to the level that can provide the greatest value. These connected capabilities map to the operating model of a bank and can allow you to prioritize, shape and execute your digital transformation.

KPMG professionals help commercial banks evaluate their maturity across these connected capabilities, shape their transformation agenda and plans, and deploy improvements in the capabilities across the enterprise with the aim of providing the greatest value.

With the consumer at the core, there are five critical questions that commercial banks should ask themselves:

  1. Are you connecting your clients/brokers with compelling value propositions, opportunities,
    and interactions?

  2. Are you connecting and empowering your employees to deliver on the client promise?

  3. Are you connecting your front, middle and back offices to execute the client growth agenda?

  4. Are you connecting your ecosystem of business partners to jointly deliver on commitments
    to clients?

  5. Are you connecting to market dynamics and digital signals?

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Contact us

blog postsFrancisco Uría

Global Head of Banking and Capital Markets, KPMG International

KPMG International

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|Phone

blog postsGeoff Rush

Partner and National Industry Leader, Financial Services; Global Head of Financial Services Advisory

KPMG in Canada

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|Phone

blog postsAnton Ruddenklau

Global Head of Financial Services Innovation and Fintech

KPMG International

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blog postsCeleste Diana

Principal, Corporate Strategy

KPMG in the U.S.

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Throughout this page, “we”, “KPMG”, “us” and “our” refers to the global organization or to one or more of the member firms of KPMG International Limited (“KPMG International”), each of which is a separate legal entity.

Future of commercial banking - KPMG Global (2024)

FAQs

What is the future of commercial banking? ›

The next generation of automated, data-powered lending

Amid higher interest rates, demand for loans declined and credit standards tightened. To reduce risk and improve the targeting of loans to each client, commercial banks will look to increase automation and use more advanced data tools, including AI.

What will be the future of banking? ›

"In future, probably banking may cease to be a separate service. Instead, banking would be embedded in all the products and services which consumers are expected to avail. Embedded finance is the integration of financial services or tools within the products or services of a non-financial organisation.

What is the future of digital banking in India? ›

in 2022 and the total India Digital Banking Platforms volume is expected to grow by 9.44% from 2023 to 2029, reaching nearly USD 1604.67 Mn. As India strides boldly into the dynamic realm of the digital age, we stand at a pivotal juncture where the landscape of banking demands a profound redefinition.

What is digital banking pdf? ›

Digital Banking is a generic term for development of banking services and delivering products through electronic channels, such as the Automated Teller Machines, the telephone, the internet, the mobile phone.

What is the outlook for the commercial banking industry? ›

Commercial Banking in the US market size (2024-2029) Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 5.6% over the past five years, to reach an estimated $1.4tr in 2023.

What are the innovations in commercial banking? ›

What are the key innovations in commercial banking? The innovations in commercial banking are neobanks for business, ESG financing, digital lending, embedded finance, and merchant acquiring & BNPL.

What is the banking model of the future? ›

The future of banking is shaped by a border free, distributed and collaborative business model, where: Innovation in financial products creation and distribution is no longer limited to banks. Financial products can be sold by any entity, not just banks or financial services companies.

What is the next big thing in banking? ›

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML):

Banks increasingly leverage AI and ML technologies to enhance operational efficiency, detect fraud, and improve customer experiences. AI-powered chatbots and virtual assistants are being used to provide personalized assistance and support.

What will banking look like in 10 years? ›

In tandem with this, the next 10 years of banking will likely do away with all finance hardware. Banking activities, from payments to savings, will be conducted online using software and will be further optimised to enhance the customer experience.

What is the future of AI in banking? ›

Generative AI (gen AI) is revolutionizing the banking industry as financial institutions use the technology to supercharge customer-facing chatbots, prevent fraud, and speed up time-consuming tasks such as developing code, preparing drafts of pitch books, and summarizing regulatory reports.

What is the future of automation in banking? ›

Enhanced customer experience: AI-powered automation can help banks to improve their customer experience by providing faster and more efficient service. For example, AI-powered chatbots can be used to answer customer questions and resolve issues quickly and easily.

Will bank branches exist in the future? ›

But while traditional branches may be a thing of the past, branches can continue to play an important role in the customer journey – if they can harness the power of digital technology and workflow to improve the physical banking experience.

What's next in digital banking? ›

Namely, a rise in the use of AI, the introduction of blockchain and cryptocurrency technologies for better security, open banking, and sustainability.

What is the largest digital bank in the US? ›

Exclusive: The Inside Story Of Chime, America's Biggest Digital Bank.

What is the future of online banking? ›

Additionally, a 2020 Insider Intelligence survey of banking executives found that 66% believe new technologies like blockchain, artificial intelligence (AI), and the Internet of Things (IoT) will have the greatest impact on banking by 2025.

What is the job outlook for a commercial banker? ›

Employment for financial managers (treasurers, finance officers, credit managers, cash managers, risk managers, etc.) at commercial banking and savings institutions is expected to grow by 16 percent through 2026, according to the DOL, or much faster than the average for all careers.

Is commercial banks a good career path? ›

A career in commercial banks can offer steady employment and be a good career path. Commercial banks work with businesses, whereas retail banks work with individuals. However, many larger national banks have both departments and serve both businesses and individuals.

What are the trends in commercial finance in 2024? ›

By the end of 2024, digital platforms will be the norm, credit decisions will be faster, transactions will be seamless and there will be a greater ability to automate more creative and tailored decisions.

What is the highest paying job in commercial banking? ›

  • Best-Paying Major Banks Jobs.
  • Loan Officer.
  • Accountant or Auditor.
  • Financial Examiner.
  • Investment Products Salesperson.
  • Financial Analyst.
  • Software Developers.
  • Financial Advisor.
Mar 14, 2024

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