Fixed vs. Variable Mortgage Rates | Comparing Pros and Cons | Ratehub.ca (2024)

Jamie David, Sr. Director of Marketing and MortgagesNovember 7, 2023

One of the first decisions homebuyers and mortgage shoppers face is whether to select a fixed-rate or variable-rate mortgage.

What's the difference between fixed and variable rates?

With a fixed-rate mortgage, the mortgage rate and payment you make each month will stay the same for the term of your mortgage . With a variable-rate mortgage, however, the mortgage rate will change with the prime lending rate as set by your lender. A variable rate will be quoted as Prime +/- a specified amount, such as Prime - 0.45%. Though the prime lending rate may fluctuate, the relationship to prime will stay constant over your term.

To better understand the difference, and how these rate types may affect your monthly mortgage payments, watch the video below.

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5-year fixed vs. variable mortgage rates over time

Variable rates tend to be slightly lower than fixed rates at any given time, because they are inherently less risky for lenders. However, this is not always the case, as illustrated in the chart below. You'll notice that in late 2019, 5-year variable rates were higher than fixed rates, while towards the end of 2022, the spread between 5-year variable and fixed rates was virtually non-existent. For the whole of 2023, year-to-date, variable 5-year variable mortgage rates have been noticeably higher than 5-year fixed rates.

5-year fixed vs. variable mortgage rates (interactive graph)

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Fixed and variable mortgage rates compared

The table below lays out some of the key differences as well as the pros and cons of fixed and variable mortgage rates.

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Popularity of fixed versus variable mortgage rates

Fixed mortgage rates are historically the more popular of the two rate types. However, for the majority of 2021 and into 2022, variable mortgage rates were significantly lower than fixed rates As a result, variable-rate mortgages surged in popularity. In the second half of 2021, according to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), over 50% of new mortgages and mortgage renewals were variable-rate mortgages. Moreover, according to a report published by Mortgage Professionals Canada, variable-rate mortgages accounted for 25% of Canadian mortgage debt by the end of 2022, as compared to just 20% in 2019 (meanwhile, at the end of 2022, 69% of Canadian mortgage-holders had a fixed-rate mortgage). However, in the wake of eight successive rate hikes by the Bank of Canada between March 2022 and January 2023, variable mortgage rates went soaring and, consequently, variable mortgage rates plunged in popularity. The same Mortgage Professionals Canada study found that 3 in 10 variable-rate mortgage holders were actively considering converting to a fixed rate, while another 3 in 10 had also considered that option but decided against it. In 2021 and 2022, variable mortgage rate inquiries to Ratehub.ca made up 23% and 26% of all mortgage rate requests, respectively. From January to September 2023, variable mortgage rate requests account for just over 5% of rate requests made to Ratehub.ca.

Comparing fixed and variable mortgage rates

You can think of the difference, or spread, between variable and fixed mortgage rates as the price of insurance that lending rates will not increase, more or less. When interest rates are low and are not expected to fall further, it is generally advised to lock in a fixed rate, as variables rates will, at best, stay the same, or increase. On the other hand, if you expect interest rates to fall with some certainty, then a variable rate is preferred, as you will be able to absorb the benefit of paying lower interest. Similarly, if the difference between the variable rate and the fixed rate is significant, it may not be worth paying the premium for the stability protection of a fixed rate.

Fixed and variable mortgage rate drivers

By and large, fixed mortgage rates follow the pattern of Canada Bond Yields, plus a spread, where bond yields are driven by economic factors such as unemployment, export and inflation.

5-year fixed rates vs. 5-year bond yields (interactive chart)

Variable mortgage rates are driven by the same economic factors, except variable rates fluctuate with movements in the prime lending rate, the rate at which banks lend to their most credit-worthy customers. Variable mortgage rates are typically stated as prime plus/minus a percentage discount/premium. For example, a variable rate could be quoted as prime - 0.8%. So, when the prime rate is, say, 5%, you will pay 4.2% (5%-0.8%) interest.

Historical prime lending rates

The Bank of Canada adjusts the prime rate depending on the state of the economy, as determined by the economic factors introduced above. Together, combinations of unemployment, export, and manufacturing values shape the inflation rate. Generally speaking, when inflation is high, the Bank of Canada will increase the prime rate to make the act of borrowing money more expensive. Conversely, when inflation is low, the Bank of Canada will decrease the prime rate to stimulate the economy and improve the attractiveness of borrowing.

In terms of the discount/premium on the prime rate applied to variable rates, mortgage lenders set this based on their desired market share, competition, marketing strategy and general credit market conditions. These are the same factors that drive the spread between lenders' fixed mortgage rates and bond yields.

References and notes

  1. Annual State of the Residential Housing Market in Canada, Mortgage Professionals Canada, 2021
  2. Residential Mortgage Industry Report, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Spring 2022
  3. State of the Housing Market: 2022 Year-End Consumer Survey & Outlook, Mortgage Professionals Canada, 2023

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Fixed Mortgage Rates

  • 1-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 2-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 3-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 4-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 5-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 6-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 7-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 8-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 9-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
  • 10-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates

Variable Mortgage Rates

  • HELOC Mortgage Rates
  • 3-Year Variable Mortgage Rates
  • 5-Year Variable Mortgage Rates

Bank Mortgage Rates

  • BMO Mortgage Rates
  • TD Bank Mortgage Rates
  • CIBC Mortgage Rates
  • RBC Mortgage Rates
  • Scotiabank Mortgage Rates
  • National Bank Mortgage Rates
  • Simplii Financial Mortgage Rates
  • Tangerine Mortgage Rates
  • Laurentian Mortgage Rates

Lender Mortgage Rates

  • CanWise Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rate History

  • 1 Year Fixed Rate History
  • 3 Year Fixed Rate History
  • 5 Year Fixed Rate History
  • 10 Year Fixed Rate History
  • 5 Year Variable Rate History
  • Prime Mortgage Rate History

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Fixed vs. Variable Mortgage Rates | Comparing Pros and Cons | Ratehub.ca (2024)

FAQs

What are the pros and cons of a fixed-rate mortgage versus a variable rate mortgage? ›

If you have a fixed-rate mortgage, your interest rate and mortgage payments won't change during your mortgage term. If you have a variable-rate mortgage, your rate and payments can fluctuate. That uncertainty creates risk for the borrower, which is why variable rates have almost always been lower than fixed rates.

Is it better to get a fixed or variable mortgage? ›

Fixing your mortgage for a set period means that you can ensure a large degree of financial stability. But going with a variable rate or tracker mortgage can mean your monthly outgoings may drop when interest rates come down. Read our guide to find out which is best for you.

Should I go fixed or variable in 2024? ›

My mortgage advice for 2024? Shop for your best rate — and consider a variable one. Around 2M Canadians are coming up for renewal in the next couple of years. Even if rates go down in 2024, homeowners will still take a budget hit from renewing at higher rates than they had previously.

What is the biggest downside to variable rate loans? ›

Cash flow uncertainty: Because rates can change at any time, it won't be as easy for borrowers with a variable rate to predict cash flow over the long term. This inevitably means a variable loan requires more flexibility from the borrower.

What is the danger of a variable rate mortgage? ›

Pros of variable rate mortgages can include lower initial payments than a fixed-rate loan, and lower payments if interest rates drop. The downsides are that the mortgage payments can increase if interest rates rise.

Is it a good time to get a fixed-rate mortgage? ›

If you are worried about that your monthly mortgage payments could rise in the future, then fixing your mortgage rate remains a sensible choice. It means that it is important to shop around to find the best fixed-rate mortage deal as rates could remain elevated for some time.

Should I switch my variable mortgage to fixed? ›

If variable rates are expected to rise and stay elevated, switching to a fixed-rate mortgage can reduce the amount of interest you'll pay.. More stability. The primary risk of a variable-rate mortgage is that you never know how much interest you'll be paying from one Bank of Canada rate decision to the next.

Why fixed rate mortgages are better? ›

Fixed-rate mortgages start out with one rate and aren't subject to future increases or decreases—the rate stays the same for the duration of the loan. To choose between them it helps to understand where their interest rates are now, how rates may change, and how long you plan to keep the home you're financing.

What length of mortgage is best? ›

If, rather than going for a 25-year term, you choose a 30-year mortgage then your monthly payments will be reduced, giving you more cash to spend on things that are important to you. If you've struggled to get enough capital together for a deposit, a longer mortgage term makes owning a house more affordable today.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3 again? ›

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? A few years ago, homebuyers could take out home loans with rates between 2% and 3%. Mortgage rates will fall over the next year, but they won't reach those levels. Housing market experts say it would take a significant economic crisis for mortgage rates to drop below 3%.

Do I want fixed or variable? ›

Interest Rate Trends and Forecast: In general, if you think interest rates are going up, locking into a fixed rate agreement is favorable (at least in the short term). If you think interest rates are going down, a variable rate agreement is ideal in the short term.

Can you lock in a variable rate mortgage? ›

Locking in your variable rate does not mean you keep your current interest rate. Instead, it's a negotiation tool. Your lender will consider your current variable rate when negotiating for a fixed-rate mortgage. The penalty for making the change can depend on your lender.

Is it better to go variable or fixed mortgage? ›

Flexibiliy: Variable rate mortgages offer more flexibility than fixed rate mortgages, especially those with no early repayment charges (ERCs). If there are no ERCs, it can be easier for the individual to switch deals if a better fixed or variable mortgage rate enters the market.

Can I pay off my variable rate mortgage early? ›

Variable rate home loans give you more flexibility, but you may be impacted by interest rate rises. When you take out a variable interest rate home loan, there is often no limit on the amount of extra payments you can make – but always make sure you read the fine print.

Why do people get variable rate mortgages? ›

The primary advantage of a variable rate mortgage is that the initial interest rate is often lower than the interest offered by fixed-rate mortgages. Since the initial interest rate is lower, you may be able to qualify for a larger mortgage than you would with a fixed-rate loan.

What are the disadvantages of a fixed-rate mortgage? ›

The primary disadvantage of the 30-year fixed rate mortgage is that you'll probably end up with a higher interest rate compared to a loan with a shorter term or an adjustable mortgage. That's the price you pay for the long-term stability.

Who is a fixed-rate mortgage best for? ›

They are appealing for those who plan to own their home for the long term and for those who want peace of mind knowing their loan repayments will be predictable.

What are the disadvantages of adjustable rate mortgage? ›

However, the potential for interest rate changes, less stability and the possibility of increased monthly payments are drawbacks to consider. Ultimately, borrowers should carefully evaluate their financial situation, risk tolerance and future plans to determine if an ARM is the right choice for their needs.

What is the main advantage of a fixed-rate mortgage? ›

Fixed-rate mortgages offer stability with a consistent monthly payment, shielding clients from market fluctuations. This can be particularly appealing to those who prioritize financial predictability and have long-term homeownership goals.

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