Discounted Cash Flow DCF Formula (2024)

How to calculate net present value

Written byTim Vipond

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This article breaks down the discounted cash flow DCF formula into simple terms. We will take you through the calculation step by step so you can easily calculate it on your own. The DCF formula is required in financial modeling to determine the value of a business when building a DCF model in Excel.

Watch this short video explanation of how the DCF formula works.

Video: CFI’s free Intro to Corporate Finance Course.

What is the Discounted Cash Flow DCF Formula?

The discounted cash flow (DCF) formula is equal to the sum of the cash flow in each period divided by one plus the discount rate (WACC) raised to the power of the period number.

Here is the DCF formula:

Discounted Cash Flow DCF Formula (1)

Where:

CF = Cash Flow in the Period

r = the interest rate or discount rate

n = the period number

Analyzing the Components of the Formula

1. Cash Flow (CF)Discounted Cash Flow DCF Formula (2)

Cash Flow (CF) represents the net cash payments an investor receives in a given period for owning a given security (bonds, shares, etc.)

When building a financial model of a company, the CF is typically what’s known as unlevered free cash flow. When valuing a bond, the CF would be interest and or principal payments.

To learn more about the various types of cash flow, please read CFI’scash flow guide.

2. Discount Rate (r)Discounted Cash Flow DCF Formula (3)

For business valuation purposes, the discount rate is typically a firm’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). Investors use WACC because it represents the required rate of return that investors expect from investing in the company.

For a bond, the discount rate would be equal to the interest rate on the security.

3. Period Number (n)Discounted Cash Flow DCF Formula (4)

Each cash flow is associated with a time period. Common time periods are years, quarters, or months. The time periods may be equal, or they may be different. If they’re different, they’re expressed as a percentage of a year.

What is the DCF Formula Used For?

The DCF formula is used to determine the value of a business or a security. It represents the value an investor would be willing to pay for an investment, given a required rate of return on their investment (the discount rate).

Examples of Uses for the DCF Formula:

  • To value an entire business
  • To value a project or investment within a company
  • To value a bond
  • To value shares in a company
  • To value an income-producing property
  • To value the benefit of a cost-saving initiative at a company
  • To value anything that produces (or has an impact on) cash flow

Below is a screenshot of the DCF formula being used in a financial model to value a business. The Enterprise Value of the business is calculated using the =NPV() function along with the discount rate of 12% and the Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) in each of the forecast periods, plus the terminal value.

Image: CFI’s Business Valuation Modeling Course.

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What Does the Discounted Cash Flow Formula Tell You?

When assessing a potential investment, it’s important to take into account the time value of money or the required rate of return that you expect to receive.

The DCF formula takes into account how much return you expect to earn, and the resulting value is how much you would be willing to pay for something to receive exactly that rate of return.

If you pay less than the DCF value, your rate of return will be higher than the discount rate.

If you pay more than the DCF value, your rate of return will be lower than the discount.

Illustration of the DCF Formula

Below is an illustration of how the discounted cash flow DCF formula works. As you will see, the present value of equal cash flow payments is being reduced over time, as the effect of discounting impacts the cash flows.

Image: CFI’s free Intro to Corporate Finance Course.

Terminal Value

When valuing a business, the annual forecasted cash flows typically used are 5 years into the future, at which point a terminal value is used. The reason is that it becomes hard to make reliable estimates of how a business will perform that far out into the future.

There are two common methods of calculating the terminal value:

  • Exit multiple (where the business is assumed to be sold)
  • Perpetual growth (where the business is assumed to grow at a reasonable, fixed growth rate forever)

Check out our guide on how to calculate the DCF terminal value to learn more.

DCF vs. NPV

The total Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) of an investment is also referred to as the Net Present Value (NPV). If we break the term NPV we can see why this is the case:

Net = the sum of all positive and negative cash flows

Present value = discounted back to the time of the investment

DCF Formula in Excel

MS Excel has two formulas that can be used to calculate discounted cash flow, which it terms as “NPV.”

Regular NPV formula:

=NPV(discount rate, series of cash flows)

This formula assumes that all cash flows received are spread over equal time periods, whether years, quarters, months, or otherwise. The discount rate has to correspond to the cash flow periods, so an annual discount rate of r% would apply to annual cash flows.

Time adjusted NPV formula:

=XNPV(discount rate, series of all cash flows, dates of all cash flows)

With XNPV, it’s possible to discount cash flows that are received over irregular time periods. This is particularly useful in financial modeling when a company may be acquired partway through a year.

For example, this initial investment may be on August 15th, the next cash flow on December 31st, and every other cash flow thereafter a year apart. XNPV can allow you to easily solve for this in Excel.

To learn more, see our guide on XNPV vs. NPV in Excel.

More Helpful Resources

CFI’s mission is to help you advance your career. With that mission in mind, we’ve compiled a wide range of helpful resources to guide you along your path to becoming a certified analyst.

Relevant resources include:

  • Internal Rate of Return
  • Valuation Methods
  • DCF Modeling Tips
  • Financial Modeling Best Practices
  • See all valuation resources
Discounted Cash Flow DCF Formula (2024)

FAQs

How do you calculate discounted cash flow DCF? ›

The discounted cash flow (DCF) formula is equal to the sum of the cash flow in each period divided by one plus the discount rate (WACC) raised to the power of the period number.

How do you calculate Free Cash Flow for DCF valuation? ›

To calculate the Free Cash Flow (FCF) of the company for each year of the forecast period, you must use the formula: Revenue - COGS - OPEX - Taxes + D&A - CAPEX - Change in WC. Additionally, you should calculate the tax rate and effective tax rate of the company using historical data or statutory rates.

What is the rule for discounted cash flow? ›

Summary
  • Discounted cash flow (DCF) evaluates investment by discounting the estimated future cash flows.
  • A project or investment is profitable if its DCF is higher than the initial cost.
  • Future cash flows, the terminal value, and the discount rate should be reasonably estimated to conduct a DCF analysis.

How to calculate enterprise value using DCF? ›

EV = (share price x # of shares) + total debt – cash

Learn more about minority interest in enterprise value calculations. Calculate the Net Present Value of all Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) in a DCF Model to arrive at Enterprise Value.

What is the formula for discounted cash flow NPV? ›

NPV = F / [ (1 + i)^n ]

Where: PV = Present Value. F = Future payment (cash flow) i = Discount rate (or interest rate)

Are DCF and NPV the same? ›

The main difference between discounted cash flow vs. net present value is that net present value subtracts upfront year 0 costs (in actual dollars estimated) from the sum of the present value of the cash flows. The discounted cash flow method doesn't subtract these initial costs that include capital expenditures.

What is the easiest way to calculate free cash flow? ›

The simplest way to calculate free cash flow is by finding capital expenditures on the cash flow statement and subtracting it from the operating cash flow found in the cash flow statement.

What is the difference between FCF and DCF? ›

Both free cash flow and discounted cash flow are widely used financial tools. While free cash flow is more suitable for calculating business valuations, discounted cash flow offers insight into whether an investment has long-term worth.

How do you use DCF for valuation? ›

Discounted cash flow (DCF) is a valuation method that estimates the value of an investment using its expected future cash flows. Analysts use DCF to determine the value of an investment today, based on projections of how much money that investment will generate in the future.

Is discounted cash flow hard? ›

While most investors probably agree that the value of a stock is related to the present value of the future stream of free cash flow, the DCF approach can be difficult to apply in real-world scenarios.

What is the 2 stage DCF model? ›

This is called the 2-stage DCF model. The first stage is to forecast the unlevered free cash flows explicitly (and ideally from a 3-statement model). The second stage is the total of all cash flows after stage 1. This typically entails making some assumptions about the company reaching mature growth.

What is the main limitation of discounted cash flow method? ›

The main Cons of a DCF model are:

Requires a large number of assumptions. Prone to errors. Prone to overcomplexity. Very sensitive to changes in assumptions.

How to do a DCF step by step? ›

The following steps are required to arrive at a DCF valuation:
  1. Project unlevered FCFs (UFCFs)
  2. Choose a discount rate.
  3. Calculate the TV.
  4. Calculate the enterprise value (EV) by discounting the projected UFCFs and TV to net present value.
  5. Calculate the equity value by subtracting net debt from EV.
  6. Review the results.

How to work out discounted cash flow? ›

Key takeaways
  1. The DCF formula is: DCF = CF1 / (1+r)^1 + CF2 / (1+r)^2 + CFn / (1+r)^n.
  2. The DCF formula is based on the principle of the time value of money, which recognizes that a pound today is worth more than a pound in the future because it can be invested to earn interest.

How to calculate DCF in Excel? ›

To calculate the DCF in Excel, follow these steps:
  1. Step 1: Organize Your Data. ...
  2. Step 2: Calculate Present Value for Each Cash Flow. ...
  3. =CashFlow / (1 + DiscountRate)^Year. ...
  4. =B2 / (1 + $F$2)^A2. ...
  5. Step 3: Calculate the Present Value of Terminal Value. ...
  6. =TerminalValue / (1 + DiscountRate)^LastYear. ...
  7. Step 4: Sum the Present Values.
Oct 9, 2023

What is the discount rate DCF method? ›

The DCF Formula

In essence, this equation simply adds up all future business cash flows, but discounts each one. A discount rate, or discount 'factor', is calculated and applied to each year's cash flow, in order to arrive at the present value.

How to calculate FCF? ›

What is the Free Cash Flow (FCF) Formula? The generic Free Cash Flow (FCF) Formula is equal to Cash from Operations minus Capital Expenditures. FCF represents the amount of cash generated by a business, after accounting for reinvestment in non-current capital assets by the company.

What is the formula for discount rate in cash flow? ›

First, the value of a future cash flow (FV) is divided by the present value (PV) Next, the resulting amount from the prior step is raised to the reciprocal of the number of years (n) Finally, one is subtracted from the value to calculate the discount rate.

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