Daily Data: Tax Cuts for the Wealthy Don’t Create Jobs (2024)

Tax cuts for the wealthy, a common economic development tool in recessionary times, do not create jobs as conservative politics contend. But tax cuts for everyone else leads to higher employment and production in the economy, according to research by Chicago Booth’s Owen Zidar.

Zidar’s working paper, posted at National Bureau of Economic Research in March, addresses an old controversy with a simple proposition. Tax cuts for wealthy presumably lead to more jobs because the rich own businesses, and they use their windfalls to expand them. If that’s true, Zidar postulates, then states with the biggest portions of wealthy individuals should experience job growth afterward.

Instead, Zidar finds that tax cuts for lower- and middle-class taxpayers account for nearly all the economic stimulus provided by tax cuts.

Zidar derives these results from analysis of individual tax returns following federal tax rate changes, with which he creates a measure of who received, and who paid for, each change. The micro data paired with state economic indicators allowed him to measure how employment growth responded to tax shocks for different income groups.

Zidar’s work adds empirical evidence to the debate over the effectiveness of tax cuts as economic stimuli. Research on the issue has been complicated by several factors, including limited nationally aggregated data and broad economic changes that occur independently of tax changes.

Read more coverage of the study at the Wall Street Journal’s “Real-Time Economics” blog.

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Daily Data: Tax Cuts for the Wealthy Don’t Create Jobs (2024)

FAQs

Daily Data: Tax Cuts for the Wealthy Don’t Create Jobs? ›

Tax cuts for the wealthy, a common economic development tool in recessionary times, do not create jobs as conservative politics contend. But tax cuts for everyone else leads to higher employment and production in the economy, according to research by Chicago Booth's Owen Zidar.

Would taxing the rich help the economy? ›

Taxing the Rich Could Raise Trillions — But That Alone Won't Fix Our Fiscal Crisis. Because of the structural mismatch between federal spending and revenues, the budget deficit from fiscal year 2023 was $1.7 trillion, or 6.3 percent of gross domestic product (GDP).

Has trickle down economics ever worked? ›

CBS News: 50 Years Of Tax Cuts For The Rich Failed To Trickle Down, Economic Study Says. But the analysis discovered one major change: The incomes of the rich grew much faster in countries where tax rates were lowered.

Does trickle down economics help the middle class? ›

Instead of trickling down to the middle class, tax cuts for the rich may not accomplish much more than help the rich keep more of their riches and exacerbate income inequality, the research indicates.” Oops.

Why do billionaires not pay more taxes? ›

Billionaires (usually) don't sell valuable stock. So how do they afford the daily expenses of life, whether it's a new pleasure boat or a social media company? They borrow against their stock. This revolving door of credit allows them to buy what they want without incurring a capital gains tax.

Do tax cuts stimulate the economy? ›

Further, reduced tax rates may boost savings and investment, leading to further production and reduced unemployment. Lowering taxes raises disposable income, allowing the consumer to spend more, which increases the gross domestic product (GDP). Supply-side tax cuts are aimed to stimulate capital formation.

Does taxing the wealthy to provide more benefits to the poor increase social welfare? ›

Answer: Yes, taxing the wealthy to providing the benefits to poor increases the social welfare. This is the progressive taxation system which is used widely in many countries. Under progressive taxation, government imposes high income tax rates on w…

Did Reaganomics actually work? ›

The unemployment rate rose from 7% in 1980 to 11% in 1982, then declined to 5% in 1988. The inflation rate declined from 10% in 1980 to 4% in 1988. Some economists have stated that Reagan's policies were an important part of bringing about the third longest peacetime economic expansion in U.S. history.

Do tax cuts for the wealthy help create jobs? ›

Tax cuts for the wealthy, a common economic development tool in recessionary times, do not create jobs as conservative politics contend. But tax cuts for everyone else leads to higher employment and production in the economy, according to research by Chicago Booth's Owen Zidar.

Is Reaganomics trickle-down economics? ›

Ronald Reagan's economic policies, dubbed "Reaganomics" by opponents, included large tax cuts and were characterized as trickle-down economics.

Why do the rich get tax breaks? ›

In contrast to the 99% who earn most of their income from wages and salaries, the top 1% earn most of their income from investments. From work, they may receive deferred compensation, stock or stock options, and other benefits that aren't taxable right away.

How does capitalism benefit the rich? ›

As such, markets are free since there is an absence of planning and production/distribution control. Critics say this only empowers the rich and makes them even wealthier. That's because supply and demand are what propel capitalist societies which puts more power in the hands of producers.

What is the alternative to trickle-down economics? ›

The trickle-up effect states that policies that directly benefit lower income individuals will boost the income of society as a whole, and thus those benefits will "trickle up" throughout the population. It is the opposite of trickle-down economics.

Do rich people get social security? ›

If a millionaire paid into Social Security, then they are entitled to receive their benefits that they helped pay for, just like anyone else. If they are still working, either for wages or self employment, it will depend on how much they are currently earning as to whether they can receive their payments each month.

Who pays the most taxes in America? ›

High-Income Taxpayers Paid the Majority of Federal Income Taxes. In 2021, the bottom half of taxpayers earned 10.4 percent of total AGI and paid 2.3 percent of all federal individual income taxes. The top 1 percent earned 26.3 percent of total AGI and paid 45.8 percent of all federal income taxes.

Is paying taxes good for the economy? ›

Taxation not only pays for public goods and services; it is also a key ingredient in the social contract between citizens and the economy.

Are wealth taxes a good idea? ›

Notwithstanding the superficial appeal of a wealth tax given deceptively low tax rates and citizens' basic sense of fairness, as a matter of policy it's a terrible idea, for myriad reasons: Wealth can be difficult to measure. Unlike flow figures, stock values are often estimates.

How does taxing the rich affect the middle class? ›

But California, with its high taxes and regulatory burden on businesses, is increasingly losing out on investment in industrial jobs, the kind that provide good middle-income wages to blue-collar workers.

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