Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky (2024)

Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky (2)

Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky (3)

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

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Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposesonly. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold anyinvestments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your ownresearch before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this websiteentirely at your own risk.

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Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky (2024)

FAQs

What happens when a CME gap is filled? ›

Since CME Bitcoin futures are often used by institutional players, gaps can reflect their activity and market views. The tendency of Bitcoin prices to "fill" these gaps presents trading opportunities. Traders can use gap analysis to predict price movements and strategise their trades.

What is the CME gap on Bitcoin? ›

Understanding the Bitcoin CME gap

While CME is closed, trading still happens on other exchanges. The “CME gap” is when the opening price of a Bitcoin futures contract is significantly different from its closing price.

What percentage of CME gaps get filled? ›

The analyst says that not all gaps are filled, and some take weeks before closing, however, as much as 95% of the gaps analyzed eventually were filled.

What is the strategy of CME gap trading? ›

Timing Your Trades Around CME Gaps

Traders may position themselves before or after gaps, depending on their analysis and risk appetite. Some traders aim to capture the initial price momentum when the gap is closed, while others may take contrarian positions to capitalize on a potential retracement.

Are gap fills bullish? ›

While filling a gap often signals a market correction, it's crucial to consider the broader market trend. In a down trend, a gap fill might not be as reliable for bullish trades. The stock could fill the gap only to continue its downward trajectory.

What happens when gap is filled? ›

A stock gap is a large jump in a stock's price after the market closes, usually due to some news. When a gap has been filled, this means the stock's price has returned to its "normal" price; the pre-gap price. This happens quite often as the price settles after irrational buying and trading has stopped after the news.

What does CME futures mean for Bitcoin? ›

Bitcoin futures contracts trade on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), which introduces new monthly contracts for cash settlement. The CME offers monthly BTC futures contracts for six months and additional quarterly contracts for each of the four upcoming quarters.

How to see Bitcoin CME gap? ›

On Bitcoin charts, CME gaps are found by comparing the price levels at which the Friday close and Monday open differ. These gaps are frequently noticed by traders because they might later serve as support or resistance levels.

What time do CME Bitcoin options expire? ›

However, a position could be closed prior to expiration by trading out of the position. Please be aware that trading terminates at 4:00 p.m. London time on the last Friday of the contract month.

What happens if you don't get enough CME? ›

If you don't earn enough CME credits, you might not be able to renew your state board medical license. Most states require you to earn a specific number of CME credits over a certain time period to maintain your license to practice in the state.

What percentage of gaps get filled? ›

Gaps in the chart fill 80% of the time — Gaps act as a magnet, drawing short-term traders to chase that area as a price target. To “fill” means that at least the wick or shadow of the candle fills in the missing area in the chart.

Do gaps in the market always get filled? ›

Each type signifies different market conditions, with implications for strategy and risk management. The adage that all gaps eventually get filled might not always hold true, especially in the case of Breakaway and Runaway gaps. Waiting for breakout or runaway gaps to be filled can devastate your portfolio.

How profitable is gap trading? ›

Gap trading offers opportunities for profit, but it is not without risk. Gap traders should approach any new position with a well-defined plan, as well as the flexibility to adjust to evolving market dynamics.

How do you trade gaps successfully? ›

To trade gaps successfully, one must first identify the type of gap and the underlying cause. This could range from earnings reports to broader market trends. It's crucial to analyze the pre-gap price trend, the volume during the gap, and the post-gap price levels.

How do you avoid gap trading? ›

The most effective way to do so is to avoid holding positions overnight. While requiring active management, closing positions during the trading day would limit exposure during downtimes in the evenings and during market close over the weekend. A less active strategy to hedge against gap risk is diversification.

What happens after a stock fills a gap? ›

A gap is said to “fill” when the price of a stock moves back to the pre-gap level. After a gap up, this means that the price falls back to the top of the pre-gap candlestick. After a gap down, this means that the price rises to the bottom of the pre-gap candlestick.

Do exhaustion gaps get filled? ›

Exhaustion gaps are typically the most likely to be filled because they signal the end of a price trend. Continuation and breakaway gaps are significantly less likely to be filled because they're used to confirm the direction of the current trend.

What does it mean for a stock to gap up? ›

This means that the company's stock price opened higher (gap up) than it closed in the previous day's session. Therefore, there is a gap in the stock price.

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