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August 26, 2022
Michael J. Donoghue
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made a market-moving speech this morning, striking a deliberately hawkish tone regarding the taming of inflation continuing to be the Fed’s priority. While USD is surging against other currencies as markets now expect further interest rate hikes with a greater degree of certainty, let’s explore another currency that may be quite undervalued: the Canadian Dollar. Let’s discuss CAD’s fundamentals, and 3 great CAD pairs to potentially trade next week. What’s Special About CAD Fundamentals? Taken at face value, the state of Canada’s economy may not seem especially impressive in terms of fundamental analysis for forex. Annual inflation (7.6%) is high, but not shockingly so relative to other economies, and the unemployment rate hovers just shy of a mediocre 5%. However, upon a closer look, there are many impressive aspects to it, including an extremely hawkish Bank of Canada, a key interest rate identical to that of the US, and positive GDP growth. On top of these conditions, Canada consistently exports oil and gas to the US, an economy approximately ten times bigger, and the estimated value of Canada’s natural resources is over $30 trillion, among the highest in the world. Best Pairs to Trade For those who are interested in going long on CAD, here are three of the EdgeFinder’s top-rated suggestions for CAD pairs to sell, along with their respective ratings: 1) GBP/CAD (Earns a -8, or 'Strong Sell') 2) EUR/CAD (Earns a -7, or 'Strong Sell') 3) NZD/CAD (Earns a -3, or 'Sell')
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Leveraged trading in foreign currency contracts or other off-exchange products on margin carries a high level of risk and is not suitable for everyone. You may lose more than you invest. Price and performance data is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
There is a significant degree of risk involved in trading securities. With respect to foreign exchange trading, there is considerable risk exposure, including but not limited to, leverage, creditworthiness, limited regulatory protection and market volatility that may substantially affect the price, or liquidity of a currency or currency pair. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts lose money when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
