2024 Current State of the Union: US Economy (2024)

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Budget Economy Standard of Living Immigration Population Health Defense Education Infrastructure Energy Environment

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Budget The federal government collected nearly $4.5 trillion in revenue in fiscal year 2023 (FY 2023). The federal government spent almost $6.2 trillion in FY 2023, including funds distributed to states. Federal revenue decreased 15.5% in FY 2023 but remained almost 8% higher than in FY 2019. Federal spending decreased by 8.4% in FY 2023, the second year of decreased spending since a record high in FY 2021. Federal revenue in FY 2023 was $13,341 per person and spending was $18,406. The federal government spent 38.0% more than it collected in FY 2023, resulting in a $1.7 trillion deficit. The national debt hit nearly $33.2 trillion at the end of fiscal year 2023.

Economy US gross domestic product (GDP) increased 1.9% in 2022 and another 2.5% in 2023. Year-over-year inflation — the rate at which consumer prices increase — was 3.1% in January 2023. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates seven times in 2022 and four times in 2023. It raised the target rate to between 5.25% to 5.50% in late July 2023 and has left rates unchanged since then. Workers’ average hourly earnings were up 4% in December 2023 compared to a year prior. However, when accounting for inflation, it was less than 1%. The ratio of unemployed people to job openings hit a record low in 2022 but trended upward in 2023. The 2023 average of 0.64 unemployed people per opening was 0.11 higher than in 2022. The unemployment rate was 3.4% at the beginning of 2023 and 3.7% by the end. The labor force participation rate was 62.5% in January 2024, up 0.1 percentage points over January 2023. Last year, the US continued to import more than it exported; however, the trade deficit fell 22% from $990.3 billion in 2022 to $773.4 billion.

Standard of Living In 2021, the middle 20%, or middle class, families received an average market income of $62,094 from wages, retirement, and investments. Middle-class families received $34,611 in government assistance and paid $19,595 in taxes in 2021, after adjusting for inflation. More employees are getting retirement benefits, paid vacation time, sick leave, and family leave than in 2010. Wealth increased for all income quintiles except the middle class over the first three quarters of 2023. The net worth of the middle class averaged about $449,200 per household or a combined $11.9 trillion, over the first three quarters of 2023. The poverty rate was 11.5% in 2022. It has hovered around 11.5% from 2020 through 2022, but remains 1 percentage point higher than the pre-pandemic low of 10.5% in 2019. The federal government spent $1.3 trillion on assistance to individuals in fiscal year 2023. This was 24.9% higher than in FY 2019 after adjusting for inflation, but 46.1% less than the peak in FY 2021. The number of people experiencing homelessness increased in 2023 to 653,104, and has been trending upward since 2017.

Immigration Authorized immigration to the US rebounded in FY 2022 after declining almost 50% in FY 2020. Excluding tourism and unauthorized arrivals, most people arriving in the US are temporary workers, students, or coming to be with their families. Federal immigration and border security spending rose in FY 2023 after two consecutive years of decline following a FY 2020 high. The number of immigrants turned away or apprehended at US borders reached 3.2 million in FY 2023, the most since at least 1980. Immigration officials removed nearly 109,000 people from the US in FY 2022, the most recent year where data is available. This is the fewest removals since 1996, except for 2021. In 2022, there were about 46.2 million foreign-born people in the US, an increase from 44.7 million in 2018. The federal government estimated 11.4 million unauthorized immigrants were in the country in 2018. About 13.9% of people in the US were foreign-born in 2022. Immigrants are more likely to be in the labor force and a married-couple family than people born in the US.

Population 334.9 million people lived in the United States in 2023. The population grew more last year than in recent years, but 2023 still had the fifth-lowest growth in US history after 2021’s record low. Population growth rates vary between states. Nevada residents almost quadrupled between 1980 and 2023, while West Virginia’s population decreased by 9%. The birth rate fell slightly to 1,101 births per 100,000 people in 2022. According to preliminary data, the death rate fell in 2023 for the second consecutive year. It remains above pre-pandemic levels. The country is growing more racially and ethnically diverse. The population is getting older. Single adults without kids comprised 29.0% of all US households in 2023, up from 13.1% in 1960.

Health Provisional data for 2022 shows that life expectancy increased by 1.1 years to 77.5, after decreasing in 2020 and 2021. Accidents have consistently been the leading cause of death for children since data collection started in 1999. In 2022, nearly half of those deaths were motor vehicle accidents. About 3.3 million people died in 2022, 5.3% fewer than in 2021, but 14.9% more than 2019. The top three causes — heart disease, cancer, and accidents — accounted for 47% of deaths. Fentanyl-involved overdose deaths increased from 0.8 per 100,000 people (or 2,628 deaths) in 2012 to 22.8 per 100,000 people (74,127) in 2022. Fentanyl has been involved in more overdose deaths than any other drug annually since 2016. In 2022, an estimated 23.1% of US adults suffered from a mental illness. The federal government spent nearly $117.0 billion on public health in 2023 — 35.9% less than in 2022 but 59.1% more than in 2019. In 2022, 92.1% of the population (304.0 million people) had health insurance. This is back to pre-pandemic levels after dropping below 92% in 2020 and 2021. Per-enrollee spending fell across Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP, and private insurance plans in 2022.

In 2022, the violent crime rate fell for the second consecutive year, down to 380.7 per 100,000 people. The property crime rate increased for the first time since 2001, up 6.7% to 1,954.4 per 100,000 people. For the first time in two decades, larceny-theft crime rates increased (up 7.4%) in 2022. In 2022, violent crime rates per 100,000 people decreased across all types of crimes, except for robbery. Federal, state, and local governments spent $282.1 billion on law enforcement and corrections in 2021 — the most since at least 1980 (after adjusting for inflation). By 2022, the number of police officers per 100,000 people had fallen 8.9% from its 2009 peak. Nearly 5.6 million people were in prison, jail, or on probation or parole when counted in 2021, though an estimated 6.9 million were admitted to jail throughout the year. The share of state prisoners whose most serious offense, as defined by the FBI, was a drug crime has declined annually since 2007. The firearm death rate dropped to 14.5 deaths per 100,000 people in 2022, but remained higher than any year from 1999 to 2020.

Defense Defense spending increased 2.9% to $994.6 billion in 2023, but was 14.0% lower than its 2010 peak. The nation spent $73.9 billion on foreign aid in FY 2022, a 23.9% increase from FY 2021 and 1% of the federal budget. According to preliminary data, the US made $13.1 billion in Ukraine aid obligations in FY 2022, more than 23 times higher than FY 2021 and nearly 32 times higher than the 2000–2021 average. There were about 1.3 million active-duty military in 2023, 41% fewer than in 1987 — the recent peak. There were 168,571 permanently assigned active-duty troops abroad in 2023. Veterans consistently have a lower unemployment level than the national rate.

Education Eighth-grade math and reading proficiency fell between 2019 and 2022 to the lowest rates in at least 15 years. The public-school student-teacher ratio dropped from 15.9 in fall 2019 to 15.4 in fall 2020 and remained unchanged in 2021. Public schools spent an average of $16,280 per student in the 2020–2021 school year, more than any previous year after adjusting for inflation. Of the students who started high school in 2011, 24% completed a four-year college degree by 2021. Another 13% had enrolled in a four-year college within one year of high school graduation but had not completed their degree. The median student loan balance per household decreased between 2019 and 2022, but it dropped most for Black-led households, falling 25% to $27,070 in 2022. Forty-eight percent of the population ages 25 and older has a college degree. On average, people whose highest level of education is a bachelor’s degree earned $1,493 per week in 2023, roughly 66% more than workers with a high school diploma.

Infrastructure About 44% of 2023 federal transportation and infrastructure spending* was for highway transportation and 23% was for air travel. The rest was for rail and mass transit (22%) and water (10%). The federal government spent $44.8 billion on infrastructure in 2023 and transferred an additional $81.5 billion to states. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) has so far allocated more than $210.0 million for repairing and rebuilding infrastructure after natural disasters that occurred in 2023. Air travel increased in 2023 but is down from 2019, with 7.6% fewer scheduled flights January through November. About 44% of the nation’s bridges are in good condition, down 3 percentage points since 2012. Eleven percent of rural roads and 32% of urban roads were in unsatisfactory condition in 2020. In 2022, 16.7% of American households did not have a fixed broadband subscription at home.

Energy In 2022, the US exported about 27.1% more energy than it imported. Average prices for a gallon of regular-grade gas fluctuated between $3.29 and $3.81 in 2023 after reaching nearly $6 in June 2022. Average energy consumption per person, as measured by a 12-month average, has trended downward since 2000. Petroleum and natural gas sources accounted for 72% of energy consumed in the US in 2022, while renewable and nuclear sources accounted for 17%. Coal was 10% of energy consumption. Coal was the most common fossil fuel produced in the United States from the late 1980s until April 2011*; since then, average monthly coal production has dropped 47%. Nuclear energy production, the nation’s leading non-fossil fuel energy source since the mid-1970s, has remained flat for more than two decades. Out of 8.1 million energy-related jobs in 2022, jobs in energy efficiency technology employed more people than any other field: 2.2 million people.

Environment In 2023, the average global temperature reached the highest recorded average temperature since data collection began in 1850. In 2023, the US experienced 28 "billion-dollar" disasters, resulting in a total cost of $92.9 billion. Wildfires burned 2.7 million acres in 2023. Thirty-five major US cities had a combined total of 597 unhealthy air quality days in 2022. The average American generated 4.9 pounds of trash daily in 2018. Carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption* have generally been decreasing since mid-2008. The federal government spent $35.1 billion on the environment and natural resources in FY 2023.

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Economy

2024 Current State of the Union: US Economy (1)

Economy

US gross domestic product (GDP) increased 1.9% in 2022 and another 2.5% in 2023.

GDP reached $27.4 trillion in 2023. The increase in real GDP (or GDP adjusted for inflation) was primarily due to increased consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, government spending, and exports.

Economy

Year-over-year inflation — the rate at which consumer prices increase — was 3.1% in January 2023.

That’s down from June 2022’s rate of 9.1%, the largest 12-month increase in 40 years. Shelter was the largest contributor to monthly inflation growth for most of 2023. Gasoline was the largest contributor in August.

Economy

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates seven times in 2022 and four times in 2023. It raised the target rate to between 5.25% to 5.50% in late July 2023 and has left rates unchanged since then.

Rate increases make it more expensive for banks to borrow from each other. Banks pass these costs on to consumers through higher interest rates. (Read more about how the Federal Reserve tries to control inflation here.)

Economy

Workers’ average hourly earnings were up 4% in December 2023 compared to a year prior. However, when accounting for inflation, it was less than 1%.

Inflation-adjusted average hourly earnings rose in all private industries (which excludes government employees) except in education and health services, where earnings decreased by 1 cent.

Economy

The ratio of unemployed people to job openings hit a record low in 2022 but trended upward in 2023. The 2023 average of 0.64 unemployed people per opening was 0.11 higher than in 2022.

However, there was fewer than one unemployed worker for every open job throughout 2023. The ratio was lower than any other year prior to the pandemic for which there is data.

Economy

The unemployment rate was 3.4% at the beginning of 2023 and 3.7% by the end.

It increased 0.3 percentage points for white and Hispanic people, decreased by 0.1 for Black people, and remained unchanged for Asian people. Black and Hispanic people continue to have unemployment rates higher than the national average.

Economy

The labor force participation rate was 62.5% in January 2024, up 0.1 percentage points over January 2023.

Although participation increased last year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics projects it will decline over the next decade due to the aging population.

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Economy

Last year, the US continued to import more than it exported; however, the trade deficit fell 22% from $990.3 billion in 2022 to $773.4 billion.

According to preliminary data, the US imported more goods and services from Mexico than China for the first time in 20 years.

Continue exploring the State of the Union

Budget How much does the government spend and where does the money go?​ How does this affect the national debt?
Standard of Living How is the American middle class doing? What support does the government provide people?

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2024 Current State of the Union: US Economy (2024)

FAQs

How strong is the U.S. economy today in 2024? ›

From 2024 through 2028, GDP will increase at an average annual rate of 2.2% per year, 0.5 percentage points higher than the baseline forecast. This scenario also results in higher long-term potential for the economy at 2.3%, compared to 1.7% in the baseline.

What is the economic outlook for 2024? ›

Economic growth is projected to slow from 3.1 percent in calendar year 2023 to 2.0 percent in 2024 amid higher unemployment and slightly lower inflation. CBO expects the Federal Reserve to respond by reducing interest rates, starting in early 2025.

Will the U.S. be in a recession in 2024? ›

The latest Federal Reserve economic projections suggest that growth will rebound to an annual rate of 2.1% in 2024, but accelerating growth may prove difficult unless the Fed can cut interest rates. The U.S. Treasury yield curve has been inverted since mid-2022, a historically strong recession indicator.

What is the State of the U.S. economy right now? ›

The state of the U.S. economy is strong despite inflation remaining elevated. The economy is expanding at a crisp pace, unemployment is low, inflation is slowing from its peak.

Is the US economy in a recession? ›

Though the economy occasionally sputtered in 2022, it has certainly been resilient — and now, near the end of the second quarter of 2024, the U.S. is still not currently in a recession, according to a traditional definition.

Will there be recession in 2025 in USA? ›

“[But] I still believe there's a chance for a very mild recession in 2025.” Basu points to rising consumer debt and the uncertainty of the upcoming election among the challenges the economy is currently facing.

What is the current health of the US economy as we begin 2024? ›

We expect real GDP growth to walk the line between a slight expansion and contraction for much of next year, also known as a soft landing. After tracking to a better-than-expected 2.8% real GDP growth in 2023, we forecast a below-trend 0.7% pace of expansion in 2024.

Is business slow right now in 2024? ›

It might qualify as what we call a 'growth recession,' where we see a slow economy, but with few ramifications for the job market.” In 2024's first quarter, the economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.4%, but improved significantly in the second quarter, growing at a 2.8% annualized rate.

What state has the strongest economy in the US? ›

Overall, in the calendar year 2024, the United States' Nominal GDP at Current Prices totaled at $28.269 trillion, as compared to $25.744 trillion in 2022. The three U.S. states with the highest GDPs were California ($3.987 trillion), Texas ($2.664 trillion), and New York ($2.226 trillion).

What is the current position of the US economy? ›

It has the world's sixth highest per capita GDP (nominal) and the eighth highest per capita GDP (PPP) as of 2024. The U.S. accounted for 26% of the global economy in 2023 in nominal terms, and about 15.5% in PPP terms.

Will inflation go down in 2024? ›

Summary. Both overall and core PCE inflation stood at 2.5% year over year as of June, by our estimates. We project overall PCE inflation to average 2.4% in 2024 and 1.8% over 2025 to 2028—just below the Fed's 2% target. Supply chain improvements have yet to be fully reflected in inflation numbers.

What is the current inflation rate in the US in 2024? ›

The annual inflation rate in the US is expected to fall for a third straight month to 3.1% in June 2024, the lowest since January, compared to 3.3% in May. The decrease would indicate the disinflation process is under way, following a brief uptick in the first quarter.

What is the strength of the US economy? ›

The United States is a highly developed/advanced mixed economy. It is the world's largest economy by nominal GDP; it is also the second largest by purchasing power parity (PPP), behind China. It has the world's sixth highest per capita GDP (nominal) and the eighth highest per capita GDP (PPP) as of 2024.

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